2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
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All 7 Alabama seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||
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Elections in Alabama |
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Government |
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Alabama, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
Candidate qualifying for both major parties ended on November 10, 2023. Primary elections were held on March 5, 2024, as Alabama was a Super Tuesday state in the presidential election calendar.[1] In races where no candidate received over 50% in a primary, runoff elections occurred on April 16, 2024;[2] this occurred in both the Democratic and Republican primaries in Alabama's 2nd congressional district.[3] The general election will be held on November 5, 2024.[4]
Background
[edit]Allen v. Milligan & State
[edit]During the 2020 redistricting cycle, Alabama's congressional map faced legal challenges for alleged violations of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. 27% of Alabama's population is African American, but only one of Alabama's seven districts was drawn with a Black majority. A federal panel initially blocked the 2022 map, finding that the state illegally discriminated against Black voters by not drawing a second majority-Black district.[5][6][7] However, on February 7, 2022, the Supreme Court of the United States granted a stay on the case that had been requested by the state of Alabama, allowing the map to remain in place for the 2022 elections, but signaled it would fully review the case at a later date.[8][9]
On June 8, 2023, the Supreme Court affirmed the previous finding that the map discriminated against Black Alabamians. In a 5–4 decision in Allen v. Milligan, Justice Brett Kavanaugh and Chief Justice John Roberts joined the Supreme Court's liberal wing (Justices Ketanji Brown Jackson, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor) and ruled in favor of Milligan. The decision, considered an unexpected victory for voting rights activists in Alabama, upheld the federal panel's ruling that Alabama had illegally diluted the power of Black voters.[10][11] The decision forced Alabama to reconfigure its congressional districts in advance of the 2024 elections, including drawing a second predominantly Black district.[12] The Alabama Legislature was required to convene a special legislative session in order to draw a new map.[13] John Wahl, chair of the Alabama Republican Party, published a statement in reaction to the ruling, stating that the party would "work hard to win all seven congressional seats".[13]
Redistricting process
[edit]A special session of the Alabama Legislature was called to approve a new congressional map in July 2023, with a deadline of July 21. The Alabama House of Representatives and Alabama Senate passed two different congressional maps separately, neither of which included a second majority-minority district. The Alabama House of Representatives passed a map proposed by Republican Representative Chris Pringle that increased the Black voting age population in Alabama's 2nd congressional district to 42%, but still below the majority-minority threshold. The Alabama Senate passed a map proposed by Republican Senator Steve Livingston that increased it to only 38%.[14] A special conference committee consisting of six members from both wings of the Alabama Legislature passed a new map with additional changes on July 21.[15] The new congressional map was signed into law by Governor Kay Ivey the same day.[16] In the legislature's map, the Black voting age population in Alabama's 7th congressional district was reduced from 55.6% to 50.6%, while Alabama's 2nd congressional district's Black voting age population was increased to 39.9%.[17]
The map enacted by the state was struck down on September 5, confirming speculation by Black lawmakers in the state that it failed to comply with the requirement for a second majority Black district.[18] The panel of judges ruling on the maps wrote that they were "deeply troubled that the State enacted a map that the State readily admits does not provide the remedy we said federal law requires". The judges appointed a special master, Richard Allen (no relation to Wes Allen or Allen v. Milligan),[19] to take control of the mapmaking process following Alabama lawmakers' defiance.[20] Three proposed maps from the special master were released on September 25. In all of the maps, Coffee County, which was represented by and home to Barry Moore, was moved to Alabama's 1st congressional district, which set up a primary in which Jerry Carl and Moore were both incumbents pitted against each other.[19][21]
Finalization of special master map
[edit]The state of Alabama, under Attorney General of Alabama Steve Marshall, requested a stay on the federal panel's decision to not allow the legislature's new map. On September 26, 2023, the Supreme Court again denied Alabama's request, meaning that the special master's map was to be used in the 2024 elections. All three of the proposed remedial maps raised the Black voting-age population in the second congressional district in ranges from 48.5% to 50.1%.[22] The Alabama Democratic Conference, the Black caucus of the Alabama Democratic Party, also announced the same day that it planned to file an objection to the special master's maps, saying that they did not go far enough to create a majority-minority district. The conference offered its own redistricting map in the objection,[23] but it was denied by the federal panel.[24]
Following another hearing on the case, the federal panel issued an opinion on October 5, 2023, ordering Alabama to implement the congressional map known as Remedial Plan 3, as drawn by the special master. Secretary of State of Alabama Wes Allen said his office would implement the new map for the 2024 elections. In Remedial Plan 3, Alabama's 2nd congressional district has a Black voting-age population of 48.7%, and a Black-preferred candidate was found to have won in 16 of 17 simulated elections.[25]
District 1
[edit]
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In the new congressional map, the 1st congressional district encompasses the southernmost parts of the state, including majority white sections of the Wiregrass Region and the city of Mobile. It includes the entirety of Baldwin, Coffee, Covington, Dale, and Escambia counties, including the cities of Bay Minette, Daphne, Enterprise and Ozark.[26][27] The incumbent is Republican Jerry Carl, who was re-elected with 84.2% of the vote in 2022 against a Libertarian candidate.[28]
The final congressional map for 2024 placed Jerry Carl and Barry Moore into the 1st district, setting up a primary in which Carl and Moore are both incumbents pitted against each other in the same district.[29] On October 30, 2023, Moore confirmed to 1819 News that he would run in the first congressional district, challenging Carl in the Republican primary.[30]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Barry Moore, incumbent U.S. representative[30]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jerry Carl, incumbent U.S. representative[29]
Endorsements
[edit]- State legislators
- Greg Albritton, state senator from the 22nd district (Atmore, 2014–present) and candidate for the 2nd district[31]
- Chris Elliott, state senator from the 32nd district (Josephine, 2018–present)[31]
- David Sessions, state senator from the 35th district (Grand Bay, 2018–present)[31]
- Jack Williams, state senator from the 34th district (Mobile, 2018–present)[31]
- Chris Pringle, Speaker pro tempore of the Alabama House of Representatives (2023–present) and state representative from the 101st district (Mobile, 1994–2002, 2014–present)[31]
- 10 additional state representatives[31]
- County officials
- Local officials
- Sandy Stimpson, mayor of Mobile[33]
- 21 other mayors[33]
- Organizations
- AIPAC (co-endorsement with Moore)[34]
- Associated General Contractors of America PAC[35]
- U.S. senators
- U.S. representatives
- Andy Biggs, U.S. representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[37]
- Eli Crane, U.S. representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district (2023–present)[37]
- Warren Davidson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present)[37]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[38]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[39]
- Troy Nehls, U.S. representative for Texas's 22nd congressional district (2021–present)[37]
- State legislators
- Bill Hightower, former state senator from the 35th district (Mobile, 2013–2018)[40]
- Organizations
- AIPAC (co-endorsement with Carl)[34]
- Alabama Republican Assembly[41]
- Club for Growth[42]
- Eagle Forum[43]
- House Freedom Fund[44]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jerry Carl (R) | $2,204,868 | $2,586,226 | $72,539 |
Barry Moore (R) | $969,981 | $1,314,556 | $118,222 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[45] |
Debates and forums
[edit]No. | Date | Location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invited | |||||||||||
Carl | Moore | ||||||||||
1[46] | January 15, 2024 | Mobile | Mobile County Republican Party | None (forum) | N/A | P | P | ||||
2[47] | January 24, 2024 | Daphne | Baldwin County Republican Party | Peter Albrecht Jeff Poor Sean Sullivan |
P | P | |||||
3[48] | February 8, 2024 | Fairhope | Eastern Shore Republican Women | None (forum) | N/A | P | P | ||||
4[48] | February 19, 2024 | Orange Beach | Baldwin County Conservative Coalition | Robert Monk | N/A | P | P | ||||
5[49] | February 21, 2024 | Enterprise | Republican Women of Coffee County | Sheridan Smith | P | P |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jerry Carl |
Barry Moore |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Auburn University | February 27, 2024 | 1,909 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
Montgomery Research | January 2024 | 697 (V) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 41% | 22% |
Results
[edit]Moore won the six counties in the eastern part of the district, recording his best performance in his home Coffee County.[50] Meanwhile, Carl won Escambia and Baldwin counties, as well as his home Mobile County.[51]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Barry Moore (incumbent) | 53,956 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Jerry Carl (incumbent) | 50,312 | 48.3 | |
Total votes | 104,268 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tom Holmes, nonprofit executive[53]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Tom Holmes (D) | $8,469 | $5,968 | $2,001 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[45] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Holmes | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | — | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Barry Moore (R) | $969,981 | $1,314,556 | $118,222 |
Tom Holmes (D) | $8,469 | $5,968 | $2,001 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[45] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Barry Moore (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Tom Holmes | |||
Write-in | ||||
Total votes |
District 2
[edit]
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In the new congressional map, the 2nd district encompasses all of Montgomery County and the capital city of Montgomery, as well as majority Black sections of the Wiregrass Region and the city of Mobile. It also includes the entirety of Butler, Macon, Monroe, Pike, and Russell counties, including the cities of Greenville, Monroeville, Troy, and Tuskegee.[26][27] The district is currently represented by Republican Barry Moore, who was re-elected with 69.12% of the vote in 2022; however, Moore's home county of Coffee was drawn out of the 2nd district and into the first. This left the district with no incumbent, as Moore instead chose to run in the 1st district.[28][29]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Caroleene Dobson, real estate attorney[60]
Eliminated in runoff
[edit]- Dick Brewbaker, former state senator from the 25th district (2010–2018)[61]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Greg Albritton, state senator from the 22nd district (2014–present)[62]
- Karla DuPriest, restaurant owner, former Mobile County Absentee Ballot Manager, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[63]
- Hampton Harris, real estate broker[64][65]
- Stacey Shepperson, college instructor[66]
- Belinda Thomas, Newton town councilor and Alabama Republican Party outreach coalition director[67]
Withdrew
[edit]- Wallace Gilberry, former professional football player for the New York Giants[68] (endorsed Brewbaker)[69]
Declined
[edit]- Wes Allen, Alabama Secretary of State (2023–present)[70]
- Barry Moore, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in the 1st district)[30]
- Gordon Stone, mayor of Pike Road (2004–present)[71]
Endorsements
[edit]- Executive branch officials
- Michael Flynn, 24th United States National Security Advisor (2017)[72]
- State legislators
- Perry Hooper Jr., former state representative from the 73rd district (1984–2003) and co-chair of the Donald Trump 2016 presidential campaign in Alabama[73]
- Individuals
- Wallace Gilberry, former professional football player and withdrawn candidate for this seat[69]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Albritton (R) | $187,965 | $187,965 | $0 |
Dick Brewbaker (R) | $2,129,338 | $2,129,219 | $119 |
Caroleene Dobson (R) | $2,218,688 | $1,746,874 | $471,813 |
Wallace Gilberry (R) (withdrew) | $165,335 | $165,335 | $0 |
Hampton Harris (R) | $58,137 | $56,310 | $1,827 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[77] |
Debates and forums
[edit]No. | Date and location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||||
Albritton | Brewbaker | Dobson | DuPriest | Harris | Shepperson | Thomas | |||||
1[78] | January 9, 2024 Prichard |
United Alliance for Change[79] | Kym Anderson | N/A | A | A | A | P | A | P | A |
2[46] | January 15, 2024 Mobile |
Mobile County Republican Party | None (forum) | N/A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
3[80] | January 29, 2024 Greenville |
Butler County Republican Party | Cliff Burkette | N/A | P | P | P | A | A | A | A |
4[81] | February 15, 2024 Montgomery |
Montgomery County Republican Party Capital City Young Republicans |
None (forum) | N/A | P | P | P | A | P | A | P |
5[82] | February 25, 2024 Montgomery |
Alabama Republican Party Gray Television |
Mark Bullock Lenise Ligon |
WSFA-12 | P | P | P | P | P | A | P |
6[83] | February 29, 2024 Mobile |
Mobile United | Kesshia Davis Janelle Adams |
A | P | A | A | A | P | A |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Greg Albritton |
Dick Brewbaker |
Caroleene Dobson |
Wallace Gilberry |
Undecided | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gilberry withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | December 5–7, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± ? | 12% | 24% | 5% | 5% | 54% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dick Brewbaker | 22,589 | 39.6 | |
Republican | Caroleene Dobson | 15,102 | 26.5 | |
Republican | Greg Albritton | 14,470 | 25.3 | |
Republican | Hampton Harris | 1,414 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Belinda Thomas | 1,082 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Wallace Gilberry (withdrawn) | 838 | 1.5 | |
Republican | Karla DuPriest | 823 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Stacey Shepperson | 773 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 57,091 | 100.0 |
Runoff
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]- Statewide officials
- Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General (2015–present)[84]
- State legislators
- Will Barfoot, state senator from the 25th district (Pike Road, 2018–present)[85]
- Reed Ingram, state representative from the 75th district (Pike Road, 2014–present)[85]
- State legislators
- David Sessions, state senator from the 35th district (Grand Bay, 2018–present)[86]
- Jack Williams, state senator from the 34th district (Mobile, 2018–present)[86]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dick Brewbaker (R) | $2,129,338 | $2,129,219 | $119 |
Caroleene Dobson (R) | $2,218,688 | $1,746,874 | $471,813 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[77] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Caroleene Dobson | 14,705 | 58.4 | |
Republican | Dick Brewbaker | 10,471 | 41.6 | |
Total votes | 25,176 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Shomari Figures, former deputy chief of staff and counsel to U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland and son of state senators Vivian Davis Figures and Michael Figures[89]
Eliminated in runoff
[edit]- Anthony Daniels, minority leader of the Alabama House of Representatives (2017–present) from the 53rd district (2014–present)[90]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- James Averhart, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and nominee for the 1st district in 2020[91]
- Napoleon Bracy Jr., state representative from the 98th district (2010–present)[92] (endorsed Figures in runoff)[93]
- Merika Coleman, state senator from the 19th district (2022–present)[94] (endorsed Daniels in runoff)[95]
- Juandalynn Givan, state representative from the 60th district (2010–present)[96] (endorsed Figures in runoff)[93]
- Jeremy Gray, state representative from the 83rd district (2018–present)[97] (endorsed Figures in runoff)[93]
- Phyllis Harvey-Hall, education consultant, retired teacher, and nominee for this district in 2020 and 2022[91]
- Willie Lenard, management consultant[64][65]
- Vimal Patel, real estate broker and candidate for this district in 2022[65]
- Larry Darnell Simpson, band manager and musician[65]
Withdrew
[edit]- Brian Gary, surgeon[98]
- Kirk Hatcher, state senator from the 26th district (2021–present)[99] (endorsed Figures)[93]
- Darryl Sinkfield, assistant executive director for field services with the Alabama Education Association[100]
Declined
[edit]- Steven Reed, mayor of Montgomery (2019–present) (endorsed Hatcher, then Gary, then Sinkfield)[101]
- Quinton Ross, president of Alabama State University and former minority leader of the Alabama Senate (2014–2017) from the 26th district (2002–2017)[102][103]
Endorsements
[edit]- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Local officials
- Steven Reed, mayor of Montgomery (2019–present)[108] (previously endorsed Hatcher, then Gary)[109]
- Local officials
Steven Reed, mayor of Montgomery (2019–present)[109] (switched endorsement to Sinkfield)[108]
- Local officials
Steven Reed, mayor of Montgomery (2019–present)[101] (switched endorsement to Gary, then Sinkfield)[109]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
James Averhart (D) | $8,876 | $6,240 | $2,757 |
Napoleon Bracy Jr. (D) | $201,092 | $196,476 | $4,615 |
Merika Coleman (D) | $142,030 | $110,017 | $32,013 |
Anthony Daniels (D) | $567,548 | $554,083 | $13,464 |
Shomari Figures (D) | $894,272 | $592,324 | $301,948 |
Juandalynn Givan (D) | $150,251 | $126,936 | $23,314 |
Jeremy Gray (D) | $161,092 | $160,830 | $262 |
Phyllis Harvey-Hall (D) | $16,284 | $5,610 | $10,894 |
Willie Lenard (D) | $53,721 | $51,681 | $2,039 |
Vimal Patel (D) | $16,300 | $11,218 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[77] |
Debates and forums
[edit]No. | Date and location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Averhart | Bracy Jr. | Coleman | Daniels | Figures | Givan | Gray | Harvey-Hall | Lenard | Petal | |||||
1[78] | January 9, 2024 Prichard |
United Alliance for Change[79] | Kym Anderson | N/A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | A |
2[110] | January 25, 2024 Montgomery |
Rollin to the Polls | Unknown | P | P | P | P | P | A | P | P | P | P | |
3[81] | February 20, 2024 Montgomery |
Southern Poverty Law Center Action Fund |
Tafeni English-Relf | Vimeo | A | P | P | A | P | P | P | A | A | A |
4[111] | February 22, 2024 Montgomery |
Montgomery Metro Ministers Union |
Valorie Lawson | A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | |
5[82] | February 25, 2024 Montgomery |
Alabama Democratic Party Gray Television |
Mark Bullock Lenise Ligon |
WSFA-12 | A | P | P | P | P | A | P | A | A | A |
6[83] | February 29, 2024 Mobile |
Mobile United | Kesshia Davis Janelle Adams |
A | A[b] | A | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | |
7[112] | March 3, 2024 Selma |
Transform Alabama | Mark A. Thompson | N/A | P | A | A | A | A | P | P | A | P | A |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
James Averhart |
Napoleon Bracy, Jr. |
Merika Coleman |
Anthony Daniels |
Shomari Figures |
Juandalynn Givan |
Jeremy Gray |
Darryl Sinkfield |
Others | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lester & Associates[A] | January 19–24, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 4% | 16% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 1% | 3% | – | – | 49% | |||
Sinkfield withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Impact Research (D)[B] | December 16–20, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ? | – | 15% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 47% |
Results
[edit]Figures won eight counties, performing best in the two westernmost counties of the district: Mobile and Washington. Daniels won four counties in the eastern part, securing his best result in Bullock County, where he graduated from high school. Bracy likewise performed well in the western portion of the district, carrying Clarke County. [113]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shomari Figures | 24,980 | 43.4 | |
Democratic | Anthony Daniels | 12,879 | 22.4 | |
Democratic | Napoleon Bracy Jr. | 9,010 | 15.7 | |
Democratic | Merika Coleman | 3,445 | 6.0 | |
Democratic | Phyllis Harvey-Hall | 2,007 | 3.5 | |
Democratic | James Averhart | 1,623 | 2.8 | |
Democratic | Jeremy Gray | 1,580 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | Juandalynn Givan | 1,261 | 2.2 | |
Democratic | Vimal Patel | 289 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Larry Darnell Simpson | 247 | 0.4 | |
Democratic | Willie Lenard | 199 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 57,520 | 100.0 |
Runoff
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]- State legislators
- Merika Coleman, state senator from the 19th district (2022–present)[95]
- Phillip Ensler, state representative from the 74th district (2022–present)[93]
- Berry Forte, state representative from the 84th district (2010–present)[93]
- Kenyatté Hassell, state representative from the 78th district (2021–present)[114]
- Kelvin Lawrence, state representative from the 69th district (2014–present)[114]
- Patrice McClammy, state representative from the 76th district (2021–present)[93]
- Tashina Morris, state representative from the 77th district (2018–present)[114]
- Curtis Travis, state representative from the 72nd district (2022–present)[93]
- Local officials
- Johnny Ford, former mayor of Tuskegee (1972–1996, 2004–2008, 2012–2016)[114]
- State legislators
- Napoleon Bracy Jr., state representative from the 98th district (2010–present)[115]
- Adline Clarke, state representative from the 97th district (2013–present)[116]
- Juandalynn Givan, state representative from the 60th district (2010–present)[93]
- Jeremy Gray, state representative from the 83rd district (2018–present)[93]
- Kirk Hatcher, state senator from the 26th district (2021–present)[93]
- Individuals
- Joe Reed, chair of the Alabama Democratic Conference and father of Montgomery mayor Steven Reed[114]
- Organizations
- Alabama Democratic Conference (previously endorsed Bracy)[114]
- College Democrats of America[117]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[118]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Anthony Daniels (D) | $567,548 | $554,083 | $13,464 |
Shomari Figures (D) | $894,272 | $592,324 | $301,948 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[77] |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Anthony Daniels |
Shomari Figures |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Impact Research | March 14–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 59% | 17% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shomari Figures | 21,926 | 61.0 | |
Democratic | Anthony Daniels | 13,990 | 39.0 | |
Total votes | 35,916 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Likely D (flip) | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Likely D (flip) | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Likely D (flip) | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe D (flip) | October 10, 2024 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid D (flip) | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Lean D (flip) | October 27, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[119]
- Hakeem Jeffries, NY-08 (2013–present), House Minority Leader (2023–present)[120]
- Terri Sewell, AL-03 (2011–present)[121]
- Eric Holder, U.S. Attorney General (acting 2001, 2009–2015) U.S. Deputy Attorney General (1997–2001) U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia (1993–1997), Judge of the Superior Court of the District of Columbia (1988–1993)[122]
- State legislators
- Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present)[123]
- Anthony Daniels, minority leader of the Alabama House of Representatives (2017–present) from the 53rd district (2014–present)[124]
- Organizations
- Statewide officials
- Kay Ivey, Governor of Alabama (2017–present)[128]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Shomari Figures (D) |
Caroleene Dobson (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Montgomery Research | October 22, 2024 | 994 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[C] | October 14–17, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 38% | 14% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[C] | September 3–8, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 38% | 14% |
Impact Research (D)[B] | July 28 – August 3, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Strategy Management (R)[D] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Caroleene Dobson | |||
Democratic | Shomari Figures | |||
Total votes |
District 3
[edit]
| |||||||||||
|
The 3rd district is based in eastern Alabama, taking in Calhoun, Etowah, Lee, and Talladega counties, including the cities of Anniston, Auburn, Gadsden, and Talladega. The incumbent is Republican Mike Rogers, who was re-elected with 71.3% of the vote in 2022.[28]
Rogers has qualified to run for reelection. Rogers faced criticism from conservative colleagues over his initial refusal to support Jim Jordan in the October 2023 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives election, as well as his stated willingness to compromise with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries to elect a different candidate.[129] In response, members of the Alabama Republican Party state executive committee, including members from the 3rd district, threatened to file a challenge against Rogers' ballot access in the 2024 election.[130] On October 16, 2023, Rogers issued a statement endorsing Jordan for Speaker of the House, reversing his position and establishing his support for Jordan.[131]
No Democratic candidates qualified to run in this district, though Rogers faced two unsuccessful primary challengers.[132]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Mike Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[133]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Robert McCollum, businessman (running for Alabama Public Service Commission president)[135]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Barron Rae Bevels (R) [c] | $270 | $3,816 | $479 |
Bryan Newell (R) | $6,475 | $6,057 | $172 |
Mike Rogers (R) | $1,711,825 | $1,114,626 | $1,625,534 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[140] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Rogers (incumbent) | 71,242 | 81.9 | |
Republican | Bryan Newell | 10,926 | 12.6 | |
Republican | Barron Rae Bevels | 4,856 | 5.6 | |
Total votes | 87,024 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Mike Rogers (R) | $1,932,464 | $1,322,441 | $1,638,357 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[140] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Rogers (incumbent) | |||
Write-in | ||||
Total votes |
District 4
[edit]
| |||||||||||
|
The 4th district is located in rural north-central Alabama, including Colbert, Cullman, Fayette, and Marion counties, as well as half of Lauderdale and Tuscaloosa counties. Blount County was also re-added to the district with the new map.[141] It includes the cities of Cullman, Haleyville, Jasper, and Muscle Shoals. In 2022, according to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, it was the most Republican district in the country, with an index rating of R+33.[142] The incumbent is Republican Robert Aderholt, who was re-elected with 84.2% of the vote in 2022.[28]
No Democratic candidates qualified to run in this district, though Aderholt faced one unsuccessful primary challenger, Justin Holcomb.[132]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Robert Aderholt, incumbent U.S. representative[133]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Justin Holcomb, businessman[143]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Robert Aderholt (R) | $816,371 | $837,622 | $1,138,193 |
Justin Holcomb (R) | $6,200[d] | $4,616 | $3,669 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[146] |
Debates and forums
[edit]No. | Date | Location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invited | |||||||
Aderholt | Holcomb | ||||||
1[147] | February 22, 2024 | Guntersville | Marshall County Republican Women | Unknown (forum) | N/A | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Robert Aderholt (incumbent) | 79,083 | 79.8 | |
Republican | Justin Holcomb | 20,025 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 99,108 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Safe R | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Safe R | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Safe R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Robert Aderholt (R) | $1,025,854 | $1,289,920 | $895,378 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[146] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Robert Aderholt (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
District 5
[edit]
| |||||||||||
|
The 5th district is based in northern Alabama, including the city of Huntsville, as well as Athens, Decatur, Madison, and Scottsboro, as well as half of Lauderdale County.[141] The incumbent is first-term Republican Dale Strong, who was elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022.[28]
No Democratic candidates qualified to run in this district. Strong initially faced one primary challenger, former state representative Daniel Boman, who was a member of the Democratic Party during most of his tenure, but switched back to the Republican Party after leaving office.[148] Boman faced a challenge to his candidacy from within the Alabama Republican Party; he was officially removed from the ballot in December 2023. This effectively left Strong unopposed in 2024.[149]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dale Strong, incumbent U.S. representative[133]
Removed from ballot
[edit]- Daniel Boman, former state representative from the 16th district (2011–2015)[149]
Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dale Strong (R) | $750,902 | $402,246 | $367,701 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[151] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dale Strong (incumbent) | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | — | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dale Strong (R) | $920,490 | $447,119 | $492,416 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[151] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dale Strong (incumbent) | |||
Total votes |
District 6
[edit]
| |||||||||||
|
The 6th district encompasses the central part of the state near Greater Birmingham, taking in the northeastern parts of the city of Birmingham and Jefferson County, as well as the surrounding suburbs, including Bibb, Chilton, Coosa, and Shelby counties. Other cities include Alabaster, Hoover and Montevallo. The incumbent is Republican Gary Palmer, who was re-elected with 84.7% of the vote in 2022 against a Libertarian candidate.[28]
Palmer's re-election campaign gained attention due to his 2014 signing of the U.S. Term Limits Pledge and campaign promise to not run for more than five terms to Congress. Palmer's previous statements meant that he would have retired in 2024, however, Palmer chose to seek a sixth term in this election.[152] Palmer cited his reasons for seeking re-election, including recent high turnover in Alabama's congressional delegation, his rise to Republican leadership within the House of Representatives,[153] and personal prayer, saying that he had "prayed for God to give me clarity on it".[152] He disputed media reports (including an article by AL.com) that characterized his five-term limit as being part of the U.S. Term Limits pledge, when in fact, the pledge only applied to sponsoring legislation. However, Palmer acknowledged that he did claim during his 2014 campaign that he would serve no more than five terms, and said he would "own that", regarding breaking that campaign promise.[154]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Gary Palmer, incumbent U.S. representative[152]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- April Weaver, state senator from the 14th district (2021–present)[157]
Endorsements
[edit]- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States[158]
- Cliff Sims, Deputy Director of National Intelligence for Strategy and Communications (2020–2021)[159]
- U.S. representatives
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present)[39]
- Organizations
- Executive branch officials
- Local officials
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Gary Palmer (R) | $1,167,042 | $1,260,807 | $352,300 |
Gerrick Wilkins (R) | $275,121[e] | $270,506 | $4,615 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[162] |
Debates and forums
[edit]No. | Date | Location | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent I Invited | ||||||||
McFeeters | Palmer | Wilkins | ||||||
1[163] | January 13, 2024 | Vestavia Hills | Mid-Alabama Republican Club | Justin Barkley[164] | N/A | P | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gary Palmer (incumbent) | 76,488 | 83.2 | |
Republican | Gerrick Wilkins | 9,701 | 10.6 | |
Republican | Ken McFeeters | 5,705 | 6.2 | |
Total votes | 91,894 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Elizabeth Anderson, businesswoman[165]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Elizabeth Anderson (D) | $16,642[f] | $11,459 | $5,182 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[162] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Elizabeth Anderson | Unopposed | |||
Total votes | — | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Solid R | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe R | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe R | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Gary Palmer (R) | $1,385,658 | $1,620,289 | $211,433 |
Elizabeth Anderson (D) | $26,618[g] | $15,172 | $11,445 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[162] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gary Palmer (incumbent) | |||
Democratic | Elizabeth Anderson | |||
Total votes |
District 7
[edit]
| |||||||||||
|
The 7th district encompasses the west-central part of the state in the Black Belt, including the cities of Demopolis, Greensboro, and Selma, as well as taking in majority-black areas of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. The incumbent is Democrat Terri Sewell, who was re-elected with 63.6% of the vote in 2022.[28]
Sewell is running for reelection to an eighth term.[166][167] State senator and Senate Minority Leader Bobby Singleton formed an exploratory committee to run against Sewell,[168] but ultimately did not enter the race. However, Sewell did face one unsuccessful Democratic primary challenger, Chris Davis.[132]
In the Republican primary, candidate Christian Horn officially withdrew from the race on February 25, 2024, leaving Robin Litaker as the only active candidate seeking the Republican nomination. 1819 News reported that votes for Horn would not be certified, and that the Alabama Republican Party had been notified of Horn's withdrawal.[169] However, Horn won the primary on March 5 despite his withdrawal.[170] The Alabama Republican Party later published a press release clarifying that Horn had dropped out of the race and Litaker would be the party's nominee in 2024.[171]
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Terri Sewell, incumbent U.S. representative[167]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Terri Sewell (D) | $1,603,504 | $903,592 | $3,595,843 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[175] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Terri Sewell (incumbent) | 59,153 | 92.6 | |
Democratic | Chris Davis | 4,715 | 7.4 | |
Total votes | 63,868 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Robin Litaker, retired teacher and perennial candidate[133]
Withdrew
[edit]- Christian Horn, engineer and candidate for Secretary of State in 2022[169] (unofficially won primary after withdrawal)[170]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Robin Litaker (R) | $7,423[h] | $5,214 | $2,208 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[175] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Robin Litaker | 12,990 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 12,990[i] | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[54] | Solid D | October 20, 2023 |
Inside Elections[55] | Solid D | October 20, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] | Safe D | October 4, 2023 |
Elections Daily[57] | Safe D | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis[58] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[59] | Safe D | October 22, 2024 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Terri Sewell (D) | $2,031,082 | $1,281,941 | $3,645,072 |
Robin Litaker (R) | $8,224[j] | $5,969 | $2,255 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[175] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Terri Sewell (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Robin Litaker | |||
Total votes |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ According to the event organizers, Bracy was disqualified from participating due to a failure to RSVP for the forum. Bracy attended as a spectator in the audience.[83]
- ^ Did not file for 6 week filing deadline
- ^ $4,500 of this total was self-funded by Holcomb
- ^ $90,000 of this total was self-funded by Wilkins
- ^ $3,480 of this total was self-funded by Anderson
- ^ $3,480 of this total was self-funded by Anderson
- ^ $4,680 of this total was self-funded by Litaker
- ^ Christian Horn, having withdrawn from the race but subsequently winning said race, had his vote count nullified in the official results released by the Secretary of State.
- ^ $4,680 of this total was self-funded by Litaker
- Partisan clients
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Figures's campaign
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Southern Poverty Law Center Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Protect Progress PAC
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Alabama Families PAC, which is a sponsor of Republican candidates.
References
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Earlier this year, he explored possibly running for Congress against incumbent Mike Rogers
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External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates