2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 2,587,287 (63.6%) [a] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Johnson: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 6, to elect the 41st Governor of Minnesota as incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Mark Dayton chose not to run for re-election for a third term. The Democratic nominee was U.S. Representative Tim Walz from Minnesota's 1st congressional district while the Republican Party nominated Hennepin County commissioner Jeff Johnson for a second consecutive time. The Independence Party of Minnesota did not field a candidate for the first time since 1994. Going into the election polls showed Walz ahead; the race was characterized as lean or likely DFL.
Walz went on to defeat Johnson by the largest margin for a DFL candidate since 1986, receiving more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Minnesota history. This was the first Minnesota gubernatorial election since 1958 in which any party won more than two consecutive elections, as well as the first time since 1998 where the party of the incumbent president lost.
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Tim Walz, U.S. Representative[2]
- Running mate: Peggy Flanagan, State Representative[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tim Holden,[4] real estate investor and candidate for Mayor of Saint Paul in 2017[5]
- Running mate: James P. Mellin II
- Erin Murphy, State Representative[6]
- Running mate: Erin Maye Quade, State Representative[7]
- Olé Savior, perennial candidate[4]
- Running mate: Chris Edman
- Lori Swanson, Attorney General of Minnesota
- Running mate: Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative[8]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Paul Thissen, State Representative, former House Minority Leader, and former Speaker of the House[9][10]
- Chris Coleman, former Mayor of Saint Paul[11][12]
- Tina Liebling, State Representative[13][14]
- Rebecca Otto, Minnesota State Auditor[15]
- Running mate: Zarina Baber, IT professional
Declined
[edit]- Tom Bakk, Minority Leader of the Minnesota Senate and candidate for governor in 2010[16][17][18]
- Mark Dayton, incumbent governor[19][20]
- Debra Hilstrom, state representative and candidate for Secretary of State in 2014 (running for Minnesota Attorney General)[21][22]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (running for re-election)[23]
- Rick Nolan, U.S. Representative[24] (running for Lieutenant Governor)
- R. T. Rybak, former vice chair of the Democratic National Committee, former Mayor of Minneapolis and candidate for governor in 2010[25][26][27]
- Tina Smith, U.S. Senator (running for election)[16][28][29]
Endorsements
[edit]- Mark Dayton, governor of Minnesota
- Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party
- Labor unions
- State elected officials
- Joan Growe, former Minnesota secretary of state
- Yvonne Prettner Solon, former Minnesota lieutenant governor and former state senator
- Ilhan Omar, state representative
- Mike Freiberg, state representative[32]
- Mary Kunesh-Podein, state representative
- Rena Moran, state representative
- JoAnn Ward, state representative
- Sandra Masin, state representative
- Liz Olson, state representative
- Erin Maye Quade, state representative
- Carlos Mariani, state representative
- Tim Mahoney, state representative
- Raymond Dehn, state representative
- Erin Koegel, state representative
- David Bly, state representative
- Lyndon Carlson, state representative
- Linda Slocum, state representative
- Karen Clark, state representative
- Susan Allen, state representative
- Chris Eaton, state senator
- Ann Rest, state senator
- Sandy Pappas, state senator
- Melisa Franzen, state senator[32]
- Matt Klein, state senator
Erik Simonson, state senator- Becky Lourey, former state senator
- Frank Hornstein, state representative
- Diane Loeffler, state representative
- Jen Schultz, state representative
- Carolyn Laine, state senator
- John Marty, state senator
- Mary Sawatzky, former state representative
- Local officials
- Melvin Carter, mayor of Saint Paul
- Lisa Bender. Minneapolis City Council president
- Alondra Cano, Minneapolis City Council
- Mary Jo McGuire, Ramsey County commissioner
- Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
- Gene Short, Currie City Council
- John Choi, Ramsey County Attorney
- Phillipe Cunningham, Minneapolis City Council
- Jeremiah Ellison, Minneapolis City Council
- Andrea Jenkins, Minneapolis City Council
- National organizations
- State officials
- Tina Liebling, state representative, former 2018 gubernatorial candidate
- Individuals
- Khizr Khan, Gold Star father
- Federal politicians
- Rick Nolan, U.S. representative and candidate for lieutenant governor on the same ticket
- State elected officials
- Tom Bakk, state senator and minority leader
- David Tomassoni, state senator
- Newspapers
- Mesabi Daily News (primary)
- International Falls Journal (primary)
- Unions
- Teamsters, Local 120
- Federal politicians
- Walter Mondale, former vice president, nominee for president in 1984, and former U.S. senator[34]
- Collin Peterson, U.S. representative[35]
- Betty McCollum, U.S. representative
- Denis McDonough, former chief of staff to President Barack Obama
- Max Cleland, former U.S. senator [36]
- Barney Frank, former U.S. representative
- Mayors
- Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[37]
- Ardell Brede, mayor of Rochester
- Nora Slawik, mayor of Maplewood
- R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[35]
- Elwin Tinklenberg, former mayor of Blaine
- State elected officials
- Clark Johnson, state representative
- Rob Ecklund, state representative
- Cheryl Youakim, state representative
- Jack Considine, state representative
- Jamie Becker-Finn, state representative
- Paul Marquart, state representative
- Jeanne Poppe, state representative
- Duane Sauke, state representative
- Leon Lillie, state representative
- Mike Sundin, state representative
- Nick Frentz, state senator
- Jason Isaacson, state senator
- Jim Carlson, state senator
- Dan Sparks, state senator
- Chuck Wiger, state senator
- Greg Clausen, state senator
- Karla Bigham, state senator
- Tony Lourey, state senator
- Foung Hawj, state senator
- Dick Cohen, state senator
- Jeff Hayden, state senator
- Erik Simonson, state senator
- Susan Kent, state senator
- Ron Latz, state senator
- Matt Little, state senator
- Fue Lee, state representative[38]
- Yvonne Selcer, former state representative
- Robin Brown, former state representative
- John Dorn, former state representative
- John Persell, former state representative
- Loren Solberg, former state representative
- Ted Suss, former state representative
- Ruth Johnson, former state representative
- Patti Fritz, former state representative
- Steve Kelley, former state senator
- Matt Schmit, former state senator
- Kevin Dahle, former state senator
- Rod Skoe, former state senator
- Tom Saxhaug, former state senator
- Kathy Sheran, former state senator
- Alice Johnson, former state senator
- Sharon Ropes, former state senator
- Roger Reinert, former state senator
- Terri Bonoff, former state senator
- Don Samuelson, former state senator
- Mark Ritchie, former Minnesota secretary of state
- Individuals
- Wesley Clark, retired general, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, candidate for President of the United States in 2004[39]
- Judy Shepard, board president of Matthew Shepard Foundation, LGBT-rights activist
- Tribal nations
- Newspapers
- Duluth News Tribune[40] (DFL Primary)
- Minneapolis Star Tribune[41] (DFL Primary)
- Labor unions
- Education Minnesota[42]
- International Union of Operating Engineers[43]
- Laborers' International Union of North America[44]
- SMART Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 – Sheet Metal Workers' International Association[45]
- United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America
- Minnesota State Council of Machinists – International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
- Teamsters Joint Council 32 [46]
- IBEW – International Brotherhood of Electrical Engineers – Minnesota State Council
- MAPE – Minnesota Association of Professional Employees[47]
- United Steelworkers
- Ironworkers Local 512 – International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- IUPAT Local 82 – International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- UFCW Local 1189 – United Food and Commercial Workers
- Minnesota State Building & Construction Trades Council
- Roofers, Waterproofers & Allied Trades Local 96 – United Union of Roofers, Waterproofers and Allied Workers
- Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes
- Minneapolis Firefighters Local 82 – International Association of Fire Fighters
- SMART Transportation Division, UTU – United Transportation Union
- Minnesota Professional Firefighters – International Association of Fire Fighters
- American Federation of Government Employees[48]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Erin Murphy |
Lori Swanson |
Tim Walz |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 217 | ± 6.9% | 19% | 29% | 28% | – | 24% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 439 | ± 5.6% | 11% | 28% | 24% | 1% | 37% |
GQR Research (D-Minnesota Victory PAC) | June 25–27, 2018 | 602 | – | 17% | 37% | 29% | 1%[49] | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Bakk |
Chris Coleman |
Amy Klobuchar |
Erin Murphy |
Rebecca Otto |
R.T. Rybak |
Tina Smith |
Lori Swanson |
Tim Walz |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA Archived 2017-11-16 at the Wayback Machine | November 17–19, 2016 | – | – | 1% | 3% | 25% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 54% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Coleman |
Tina Liebling |
Erin Murphy |
Rebecca Otto |
Lori Swanson |
Paul Thissen |
Tim Walz |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | January 8–10, 2018 | 298 | – | 12% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 4% | 21% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Erin Murphy |
Rebecca Otto |
Tim Walz |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expedition Strategies (D-Walz) | April 23–26, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 3% | 19% | 27% | 2% | 49% |
Straw poll
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c9/Straw_poll_ballot_at_the_Minnesota_DFL_February_2018_precinct_caucuses_%28cropped%29.jpg/220px-Straw_poll_ballot_at_the_Minnesota_DFL_February_2018_precinct_caucuses_%28cropped%29.jpg)
On February 6, 2018, the DFL conducted a statewide straw poll among registered Democrats in Minnesota. Caucus-goers were scheduled to elect delegates to their party's Senate district and county conventions, which in turn will elect state convention delegates who will endorse candidates for governor, two U.S. Senate seats, attorney general, state auditor and secretary of state. Congressional district delegates will endorse U.S. House candidates. Since the straw poll the three lowest performing candidates withdrew from the race (Paul Thissen, Chris Coleman, and Tina Liebling).
Congressional Unit |
Total attendance |
Chris Coleman | Tina Liebling | Erin Murphy | Rebecca Otto | Paul Thissen | Tim Walz |
Other | Uncommitted |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2,577 | 71 | 355 | 107 | 232 | 56 | 1,558 | 4 | 163 |
2 | 3,501 | 384 | 202 | 411 | 656 | 120 | 1,156 | 4 | 523 |
3 | 4,291 | 670 | 202 | 386 | 827 | 186 | 1,362 | 8 | 530 |
4 | 6,072 | 854 | 297 | 1,111 | 1,227 | 139 | 1,384 | 11 | 897 |
5 | 9,519 | 1,019 | 457 | 1,400 | 1,462 | 537 | 2,363 | 30 | 1,137 |
6 | 2,375 | 326 | 115 | 294 | 587 | 59 | 590 | 4 | 375 |
7 | 2,121 | 124 | 106 | 274 | 405 | 172 | 761 | 4 | 273 |
8 | 3,873 | 441 | 277 | 474 | 1,082 | 263 | 759 | 8 | 527 |
Statewide | 34,329 | 3,889 | 2,011 | 4,457 | 6,478 | 1,532 | 9,933 | 73 | 4,425 |
Percent | - | 11.86% | 6.13% | 13.59% | 19.75% | 4.67% | 30.29% | 0.22% | 13.49% |
Results
[edit]- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 40–50%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 40–50%
- 70–80%
- 40–50%
- 40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz | 242,832 | 41.60% | |
Democratic (DFL) | Erin Murphy | 186,969 | 32.03% | |
Democratic (DFL) | Lori Swanson | 143,517 | 24.59% | |
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Holden | 6,398 | 1.10% | |
Democratic (DFL) | Olé Savior | 4,019 | 0.69% | |
Total votes | 583,735 | 100.00% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Jeff Johnson, Hennepin County Commissioner, former state representative, and nominee for governor in 2014[50]
- Running mate: Donna Bergstrom, retired Marine Corps intelligence officer[51]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mathew Kruse[4]
- Running mate: Theresa Loeffler
- Tim Pawlenty, former governor and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[52]
- Running mate: Michelle Fischbach, incumbent lieutenant governor[53]
Withdrew
[edit]- Phillip Parrish, Naval Reserve intelligence officer and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[54]
- Mary Giuliani Stephens, mayor of Woodbury[55][56]
- Running mate: Jeff Backer, state representative[57]
- Christopher Chamberlin[58][59] (running for MN-05)
- Matt Dean, state representative[60]
- Keith Downey, former chairman of the Republican Party of Minnesota and former state representative[61][62]
- Blake Huffman, Ramsey County Commissioner[63][64]
- David Osmek, state senator[65]
Declined
[edit]- Sarah Anderson, state representative[66]
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative and candidate for president in 2012[67]
- Michelle Benson, state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[28][68]
- Kurt Daudt, Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives (Endorsed Pawlenty) [28][68]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2010[69] (running for re-election)[70]
- Karin Housley, state senator[68] (running for the U.S. Senate)[71]
- Amy Koch, former Majority Leader of the Minnesota Senate[72][73]
- Mike Lindell, CEO of My Pillow[74]
- Mike McFadden, businessman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014[28][68]
- Carla Nelson, state senator[75][76]
- Erik Paulsen, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[28][68][77]
- Julie Rosen, state senator (endorsed Pawlenty)[68][73]
- Rich Stanek, Hennepin County Sheriff and former state representative (running for reelection)[28][78]
Endorsements
[edit]- State officials
- Josh Heintzeman, state representative[79]
- John Jasinski, state senator[80]
- Steve Sviggum, former Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives[81]
- Kurt Zellers, former Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives[81]
- Organizations
- Housing First Minnesota[82]
- Associated Builders and Contractors[83]
- Minnesota Chamber of Commerce[84]
- Minnesota College Republicans[85]
- Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis[86]
- Newspapers and publications
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Johnson |
Matt Kruse |
Tim Pawlenty |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 156 | ± 8.0% | 34% | – | 43% | – | 23% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 340 | ± 6.4% | 32% | – | 51% | 1% | 16% |
BK Strategies (R) Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine | June 24–25, 2018 | 439 | ± 4.7% | 20% | 3% | 54% | – | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kurt Daudt |
Keith Downey |
Tom Emmer |
Mike McFadden |
Erik Paulsen |
Tim Pawlenty |
Rich Stanek |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA Archived 2017-11-16 at the Wayback Machine | November 17–19, 2016 | – | – | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 1% | 64% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kurt Daudt |
Matt Dean |
Keith Downey |
Jeff Johnson |
Julie Rosen |
Mary G. Stephens |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | January 8–10, 2018 | 218 | – | 12% | 2% | 1% | 24% | 4% | 1% | 54% |
Results
[edit]- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Johnson | 168,841 | 52.61% | |
Republican | Tim Pawlenty | 140,743 | 43.86% | |
Republican | Mathew Kruse | 11,330 | 3.53% | |
Total votes | 320,914 | 100.00% |
Third parties and independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Josh Welter (Libertarian Party)[4]
- Chris Wright (Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis Party), Grassroots Party nominee for governor in 1998, 2010 and 2014[90][91]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[92] | Likely D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[93] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[94] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[95] | Likely D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[96] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[97] | Lean D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[98] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[99][b] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[100] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[101] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
Debates
[edit]The debate season began only three days after the primaries with Johnson and Walz participating in two debates on Friday, August 17. A third debate was held Friday, August 31.[102][103]
Host network/sponsors |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Walz (DFL) |
Jeff Johnson (R) | ||||
MPR News | August 31, 2018 | [103] | Invited | Invited | |
KSTP-TV | August 17, 2018 | [104] | Invited | Invited | |
Twin Cities PBS (Almanac) | August 17, 2018 | [105] | Invited | Invited |
Endorsements
[edit]- Federal officials
- Donald J. Trump, 45th president of the United States[106]
- Michael R. Pence, 48th vice president of the United States[107]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida[32]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. representative and 2010 nominee for governor[108]
- Statewide and local officials
- Carol Molnau, former Minnesota lieutenant governor[109]
- Matt Dean, state representative[110]
- Tim Pawlenty, former governor of Minnesota[111]
- Al Quie, former governor of Minnesota[112]
- Michelle Benson, Minnesota state senator[113]
- Individuals
- Mike Lindell, conservative businessman and CEO of My Pillow[114]
- Organizations
- Minnesota Farm Bureau[115]
- National Federation of Independent Business[116]
- Police Officers Federation of Minneapolis[117]
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States[118]
- Walter Mondale, former vice president, nominee for president in 1984, and former U.S. senator[34]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator[119]
- Tina Smith, U.S. senator[120]
- Collin Peterson, U.S. representative[35]
- Betty McCollum, U.S. representative
- Rick Nolan, U.S. representative and former candidate for lieutenant governor[121]
- Dennis McDonough, former chief of staff to Barack Obama
- Max Cleland, former U.S. senator[36]
- Newspapers
- Star Tribune (general election)
- Duluth News Tribune (general election)
- ECM Publishers
- Mesabi Daily News (general election)
- Winona Daily News (general election)
- Minnesota Daily (general election)
- Mayors
- Eric Garcetti, mayor of Los Angeles[122]
- Jacob Frey, mayor of Minneapolis[37]
- Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul
- Rita Albrecht, mayor of Bemidji
- Emily Larson, mayor of Duluth
- Rick Cannata, mayor of Hibbing
- Bob Byrnes, mayor of Marshall
- Molly Cummings, mayor of Hopkins
- Mary Gaasch, mayor of Lauderdale
- Kirsten Hagen-Kennedy, mayor of North Branch
- Mike Kuhle, mayor of Worthington
- Mike Maguire, mayor of Eagan
- Rick Miller, mayor of Waite Park
- Harold Peterson, mayor of Blooming Prairie
- Sarah Schroeder, mayor of Spring Grove
- John Tuorilla, mayor of Columet
- Nancy Tyra-Lukens, mayor of Eden Prairie
- Ardell Brede, mayor of Rochester
- Nora Slawik, mayor of Maplewood
- Ben Schierer, mayor of Fergus Falls
- Jim Hovland, mayor of Edina
- Shep Harris, mayor of Golden Valley
- Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
- Roy Srp, mayor of Waseca
- Myron Bailey, mayor of Cottage Grove
- Pat Baustian, mayor of Luverne
- Bob Broeder, mayor of Le Seur
- Ted Kozlowski, mayor of Stillwater
- Jack L'Heureux, mayor of Mora
- Charles Novak, mayor of Ely
- Mark Peterson, mayor of Winona
- Dennis Phelps, mayor of Westbrook
- Mike Poellinger, mayor of La Crescent
- Gary Skalko, mayor of Mountain Iron
- Dave Smiglewski, mayor of Granite Falls
- Tom Stiehm, mayor of Austin
- Robert Beussman, mayor of New Ulm
- R. T. Rybak, former mayor of Minneapolis[35]
- El Tinklenberg, former mayor of Blaine
- State and local officials
- Mark Dayton, governor of Minnesota
- Arne Carlson, former governor of Minnesota (R)
- Lori Swanson, Minnesota attorney general, former candidate for governor
- Erin Murphy, state representative, former candidate for governor
- Jennifer Schultz, state representative[123]
- Clark Johnson, state representative
- Rob Eklund, state representative
- Cheryl Youakim, state representative
- Jack Considine, state representative
- Jamie Becker-Finn, state representative
- Paul Marquart, state representative
- Jeanne Poppe, state representative
- Duane Sauke, state representative
- Leon Lille, state representative
- Mike Sundin, state representative
- Tina Liebling, state representative and former candidate for governor
- Nick Frentz, state senator
- Jason Isaacson, state senator
- Jim Carlson, state senator
- Dan Sparks, state senator
- Chuck Wiger, state senator
- Greg Clausen, state senator
- Karla Bigham, state senator
- Tony Lourey, state senator
- Foung Hawj, state senator
- Dick Cohen, state senator
- Jeff Hayden, state senator
- Erik Simonson, state senator
- Susan Kent, state senator
- Ron Latz, state senator
- Matt Little, state senator
- Fue Lee, state representative[38]
- Yvonne Selcer, former state representative
- Robin Brown, former state representative
- John Dorn, former state representative
- John Persell, former state representative
- Loren Solberg, former state representative
- Ted Suss, former state representative
- Ruth Johnson, former state representative
- Patti Fritz, former state representative
- Steve Kelley, former state senator
- Matt Schmit, former state senator
- Kevin Dahle, former state senator
- Rod Skoe, former state senator
- Tom Saxhaug, former state senator
- Kathy Sheran, former state senator
- Alice Johnson, former state senator
- Sharon Ropes, former state senator
- Roger Reinert, former state senator
- Terri Bonoff, former state senator
- Don Samuelson, former state senator
- Mark Ritchie, former Minnesota secretary of state
- Local officials
- Noah Hobbs, Duluth City Council
- Renee Van Nett, Duluth City Council
- Andrew Johnson, Minneapolis City Council
- Abdi Warsame, Minneapolis City Council
- Linea Palmisano, Minneapolis City Council
- Michael Herring, Robbinsdale School Board
- David Boone, Robbinsdale School Board
- Pam Lindberg, Robbinsdale School Board
- Anne Casey, St. Louis Park School Board
- Mary Tomback, St. Louis Park School Board
- Karen Waters, St. Louis Park School Board
- Ken Morrison, St. Louis Park School Board
- Crystal Brakke, Richfield School Board
- Chris LaTondresse, Hopkins School Board
- Jen Bouchard, Hopkins School Board
- Betsy Tate Anderson, former Hopkins School Board
- Nancy Livingston, North St. Paul School Board
- Todd Rengo, Esko School Board
- Jim Grabowska, St. Clair School Board
- Dan Hartman, former Duluth Council
- Kevin Staunton, Edina City Council
- Joanie Clausen, Golden Valley Council
- Gillian Rosenquist, Golden Valley Council
- Katy Campbell, Hopkins Council
- Valerie Holthus, Andover City Council
- Christian Torkelson, Little Canada Council
- Mari Daily, Moorhead Council
- Nevada Littlewolf, Virginia City Council
- Randy Maluchnik, Carver County commissioner
- Vance Stuehrenberg, Blue Earth County commissioner
- Gordy Wagner, Pope County commissioner
- Reed Olson, Beltrami County commissioner
- Linda Higgins, Hennepin County commissioner
- Individuals
- David Wellstone, son of late senator Paul Wellstone
- Wesley Clark, retired general, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO[39]
- Judy Shepard, board president of Matthew Shepard Foundation, LGBT-rights activist
- Ken Martin, chair of the Minnesota DFL Party
- Tribal nations
- Unions
- Education Minnesota[42]
- Inter Faculty Organization[124]
- International Union of Operating Engineers – Local 49 [43]
- LiUNA! – Laborers' International Union of North America – Minnesota & North Dakota [44]
- SMART Sheet Metal Workers Local 10 – Sheet Metal Workers' International Association[45]
- North Central States Regional Council of Carpenters – United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America
- Minnesota State Council of Machinists – International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers
- Teamsters Joint Council 32 [46]
- IBEW – International Brotherhood of Electrical Engineers – Minnesota State Council
- MAPE – Minnesota Association of Professional Employees[47]
- United Steelworkers District 11 – USW
- Minnesota Pipe Trades
- Ironworkers Local 512 – International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers
- IUPAT Local 82 – International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- UFCW Local 1189 – United Food and Commercial Workers
- Minnesota State Building & Construction Trades Council
- Roofers, Waterproofers & Allied Trades Local 96 – United Union of Roofers, Waterproofers and Allied Workers
- Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes
- Minneapolis Firefighters Local 82 – International Association of Fire Fighters
- SMART Transportation Division, UTU – United Transportation Union
- Minnesota Professional Firefighters – International Association of Fire Fighters
- American Federation of Government Employees[48]
- Minnesota AFL–CIO
- AFSCME Council 5 – American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- Teamsters Local 120
- Service Employees International Union Minnesota
- National organizations
- VoteVets.org
- NARAL Pro-Choice America – Minnesota chapter
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Walz (D) |
Jeff Johnson (R) |
Josh Welter (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 953 | – | 53% | 41% | 2% | 2%[125] | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 48% | 42% | – | 1% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 5.3% | 49% | 41% | – | 2% | 9% |
St. Cloud State University | October 15–30, 2018 | 404 | – | 50% | 34% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon Archived 2018-10-21 at the Wayback Machine | October 15–17, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 39% | 3% | 2%[125] | 12% |
Change Research | October 12–13, 2018 | 1,413 | – | 47% | 44% | 3% | 4%[126] | 2% |
Marist College | September 30 – October 4, 2018 | 637 LV | ± 4.9% | 51% | 36% | 6% | <1% | 6% |
55% | 38% | – | <1% | 7% | ||||
860 RV | ± 4.2% | 49% | 37% | 7% | <1% | 7% | ||
53% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | ||||
Mason-Dixon | September 10–12, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 36% | 1% | 2%[125] | 16% |
SurveyUSA | September 6–8, 2018 | 574 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | – | 3% | 10% |
Suffolk University Archived 2018-12-08 at the Wayback Machine | August 17–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 1%[127] | 12% |
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 40% | 33% | – | – | 27% |
- with Erin Murphy and Tim Pawlenty
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Erin Murphy (D) |
Tim Pawlenty (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 876 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 9% |
- with Lori Swanson and Tim Pawlenty
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lori Swanson (D) |
Tim Pawlenty (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 36% | – | 21% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 876 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine | June 24–25, 2018 | 1,574 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
- with Tim Walz and Tim Pawlenty
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Walz (D) |
Tim Pawlenty (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 33% | – | 23% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 876 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% |
BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine | June 24–25, 2018 | 1,574 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 41% | – | 11% |
- with Lori Swanson and Jeff Johnson
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Lori Swanson (D) |
Jeff Johnson (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine | August 8–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 37% | 32% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine | June 24–25, 2018 | 1,574 | ± 2.5% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D-A Better Minnesota) | June 15–16, 2018 | 717 | – | 46% | 39% | 16% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz | 1,393,096 | 53.84% | +3.77% | |
Republican | Jeff Johnson | 1,097,705 | 42.43% | −2.08% | |
Grassroots—LC | Chris Wright | 68,667 | 2.65% | +1.07% | |
Libertarian | Josh Welter | 26,735 | 1.03% | +0.11% | |
Write-in | 1,084 | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 2,587,287 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Aitkin (largest city: Aitkin)
- Big Stone (largest city: Ortonville)
- Chippewa (largest city: Montevideo)
- Grant (largest city: Elbow Lake)
- Itasca (largest city: Grand Rapids)
- Kittson (largest city: Hallock)
- Lac qui Parle (largest city: Madison)
- Marshall (largest city: Warren)
- Norman (largest city: Ada) (became tied)
- Pennington (largest city: Thief River Falls)
- Pine (largest city: Pine City)
- Pope (largest city: Glenwood)
- Red Lake (largest city: Red Lake Falls)
- Stevens (largest city: Morris)
- Swift (largest city: Benson)
- Traverse (largest city: Wheaton)
- Watonwan (largest city: St. James)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Anoka (largest city: Blaine)
- Dakota (largest city: Lakeville)
- Olmsted (largest city: Rochester)
- Washington (largest city: Woodbury)
Results by congressional district
[edit]Walz won 5 of 8 congressional districts. Each candidate won a district won by the other party.[129]
District | Walz | Johnson | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 49.54% | 47.18% | Jim Hagedorn |
2nd | 51.52% | 44.58% | Angie Craig |
3rd | 54.44% | 42.37% | Dean Phillips |
4th | 65.72% | 30.56% | Betty McCollum |
5th | 77.91% | 18.17% | Ilhan Omar |
6th | 40.53% | 55.49% | Tom Emmer |
7th | 39.56% | 56.86% | Collin Peterson |
8th | 47.14% | 48.93% | Pete Stauber |
Voter demographics
[edit]Demographic subgroup | Walz | Johnson | No Answer |
% of Voters |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 48 | 49 | 3 | 46 |
Women | 59 | 37 | 4 | 54 |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 71 | 25 | 4 | 6 |
25–29 years old | 63 | 34 | 3 | 5 |
30–39 years old | 60 | 38 | 2 | 12 |
40–49 years old | 51 | 46 | 3 | 13 |
50–64 years old | 54 | 45 | 1 | 29 |
65 and older | 52 | 46 | 2 | 35 |
Race | ||||
White | 53 | 46 | 1 | 89 |
Black | 84 | 14 | 2 | 5 |
Latino | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Other | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 46 | 53 | 1 | 41 |
White women | 59 | 39 | 2 | 48 |
Black men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Black women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Latino men | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
Latino women | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
Others | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 52 | 45 | 3 | 17 |
Some college education | 48 | 49 | 3 | 24 |
Associate degree | 48 | 49 | 3 | 17 |
Bachelor's degree | 56 | 40 | 4 | 26 |
Advanced degree | 70 | 28 | 2 | 16 |
Education and race | ||||
White college graduates | 61 | 35 | 4 | 38 |
White no college degree | 46 | 51 | 3 | 51 |
Non-white college graduates | 70 | 26 | 4 | 4 |
Non-white no college degree | 74 | 23 | 3 | 7 |
Whites by education and gender | ||||
White women with college degrees | 68 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
White women without college degrees | 51 | 45 | 4 | 28 |
White men with college degrees | 54 | 43 | 3 | 17 |
White men without college degrees | 40 | 58 | 2 | 23 |
Non-whites | 73 | 24 | 3 | 11 |
Income | ||||
Under $30,000 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 14 |
$30,000–49,999 | 54 | 43 | 3 | 21 |
$50,000–99,999 | 48 | 51 | 1 | 36 |
$100,000–199,999 | 55 | 42 | 3 | 23 |
Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 95 | 5 | N/A | 39 |
Republicans | 10 | 90 | N/A | 32 |
Independents | 51 | 42 | 7 | 28 |
Party by gender | ||||
Democratic men | 94 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
Democratic women | 95 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
Republican men | 8 | 92 | N/A | 16 |
Republican women | 12 | 88 | N/A | 17 |
Independent men | 47 | 48 | 5 | 16 |
Independent women | 58 | 34 | 8 | 13 |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 94 | 2 | 4 | 27 |
Moderates | 65 | 32 | 3 | 39 |
Conservatives | 10 | 87 | 3 | 33 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 47 | 49 | 4 | 68 |
Unmarried | 63 | 33 | 4 | 32 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 43 | 54 | 3 | 31 |
Married women | 51 | 45 | 4 | 36 |
Unmarried men | 52 | 43 | 5 | 15 |
Unmarried women | 72 | 24 | 4 | 18 |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 52 | 44 | 4 | 12 |
No | 55 | 42 | 3 | 88 |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Health care | 74 | 24 | 2 | 50 |
Immigration | 20 | 79 | 1 | 22 |
Economy | 30 | 67 | 3 | 18 |
Gun policy | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8 |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 67 | 30 | 3 | 40 |
Suburban | 50 | 46 | 4 | 32 |
Rural | 41 | 56 | 3 | 28 |
Source: CNN[130] |
See also
[edit]- 2018 Minnesota elections
- 2018 Minnesota House of Representatives election
- 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
- 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota
- 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ https://www.sos.state.mn.us/election-administration-campaigns/data-maps/historical-voter-turnout-statistics [bare URL]
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- ^ a b Fue Lee. "Kicking off the Weekend of Action for the @Tim_Walz-@peggyflanagan Campaign at the @MinnesotaDFL North Minneapolis Office. Thank you @MNSteveSimon for the opening #OneMinnesota #MNVotesEarly #BeAVoter". Twitter.
- ^ a b "Twitter". twitter.com. Retrieved 22 May 2018.
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- ^ a b "MAPE Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. April 3, 2018. Archived from the original on April 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
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- ^ Tim Holden and Olé Savior with 0%, other 1%
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- ^ Coolican, J. Patrick (April 5, 2018). "Tim Pawlenty makes it official: He's running for governor again". Star Tribune. Retrieved April 5, 2018.
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- ^ "GOP endorses Jeff Johnson for Governor". Kare 11.
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- ^ Lease, Lawrence (December 31, 2016). "MN native Christopher Chamberlin running for governor in 2018". News Record. Retrieved December 31, 2016.
- ^ Pugmire, Tim (December 7, 2017). "As Dayton weighs Franken replacement, who may run in 2018?". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
- ^ The Associated Press, "Republican Matt Dean Is No Longer Running For Governor", WCCO, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
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- ^ Tim Pawlenty for Governor. "It's great to see one of our supporters, @SenatorJasinski, out promoting the Pawlenty-Fischbach ticket in Faribault! Don't forget to vote on Tuesday, August 14th! 🇺🇸 #mngov". Twitter.
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- ^ a b "Johnson, Walz spar at State Fair governor's debate".
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- ^ "Almanac | Jeff Johnson + Tim Walz in the first post-primary TV debate | Season 2018 | Episode 48".
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "Jeff Johnson of Minnesota had a big night in winning the Republican nomination for Governor against a very strong and well known opponent! Thanks for all of the support you showed me. You have my complete and total Endorsement. You will win in November!". Twitter.
- ^ Michael R. Pence. "CONGRATS to @MNJeffJohnson & @PeteStauber on their primary victories in Minnesota last night. They are the kind of strong leaders we need supporting @realDonaldTrump's agenda!". Twitter.
- ^ Tom Emmer. "Congratulations to @MNJeffJohnson and @doug_wardlow on their primary wins. Look forward to working with the entire @mngop ticket to #TurnMNRed this November". Twitter.
- ^ "Former Lt. Gov. snubs old boss Tim Pawlenty, endorses Jeff Johnson". 4 May 2018. Retrieved 18 August 2018.
- ^ "Republican race for governor: Matt Dean drops out, throws support behind Jeff Johnson", Twin Cities Pioneer Press, January 25, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
- ^ Tim Pawlenty. "Although the primary results were not what I had hoped, I have no regrets about the run. Am so grateful for Mary, my campaign team, supporters and friends for the great help and support. I wish @MNJeffJohnson the best as he strives to become MN's next Governor. Support him!". Twitter.
- ^ Jeff Johnson. "I'm so proud to have the support of my friend, Gov. Al Quie. He just turned 95, is sharp as a tack and wears his button with pride wherever he goes. God bless you, Al". Twitter.
- ^ Michelle Benson. "Update on @Tim_Walz government health care plan. @MNJeffJohnson is correct, it is not good for hospitals. #MNGov". Twitter.
- ^ Mike Lindell. ".@MNJeffJohnson for MN Governor! #voteAugust14th". Twitter.
- ^ Jeff Johnson. "FARMER ENDORSED. Our campaign is proud to have the endorsement of @MNFarmBureau MN Farmers are the people who move our state forward & help nourish our entire country. We're beyond excited to represent them come November! #OverthrowTheStatusQuo #MNGov". Twitter.
- ^ "Job Creators Strongly Support Jeff Johnson for Minnesota Governor". NFIB. September 25, 2018.
- ^ Smith, Kelly (October 16, 2018). "Minneapolis police union endorses Republican Jeff Johnson for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune.
- ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
- ^ Amy Klobuchar. "Great event at @HoopsBrewing in Duluth for my friend @Tim_Walz with a big crowd of supporters. Tim is standing up for Minnesota values and for our future. Looking forward to seeing him and @peggyflanagan win in November!". Twitter.
- ^ Tina Smith. "I am SO excited to see the incredible turnout everywhere @Tim_Walz and I go. We are hopeful. We have the momentum. And we are not taking ANYTHING for granted over the next 38 days. #OneMinnesota". Twitter.
- ^ News Tribune (12 March 2018). "Nolan endorses Walz for Minnesota governor". Duluth News Tribune.
- ^ Eric Garcetti. "Kicking off #EGinMN at the @MinnesotaDFL Founders' Day Dinner listening to @Tim_Walz -- a teacher and coach, veteran and congressman. Fired up by his speech, inspired by the leader he'll be for Minnesota". Twitter.
- ^ Jennifer Shultz. "Looking good, Duluth! TY @amyklobuchar, @Tim_Walz & @TonyLourey for visiting with us". Twitter.
- ^ "IFO Endorses Tim Walz For Governor!". Tim Walz for Governor. September 28, 2017. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
- ^ a b c Chris Wright (GLC) with 2%
- ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 4%
- ^ Chris Wright (GLC) with 1%
- ^ "Minnesota Secretary of State - 2018 General Election Results". Archived from the original on 2020-04-10. Retrieved 2018-12-12.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved 11 August 2020.
- ^ "Minnesota gubernatorial election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.
External links
[edit]- Elections & Voting - Minnesota Secretary of State
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites