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Statewide opinion polling for Hillary Clinton for the 2008 United States presidential election

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Many scientific, state-wide public opinion polls have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008, matching up Hillary Clinton against John McCain.

One survey group concluded that Hillary Clinton lost some support because of her gender, pointing out that in "head-to-head match-ups, Clinton bests Senator John McCain 48%-43% and Obama wins by the same five-point margin, 47%-42%" but that "given a choice between all three candidates, Obama gets 35% and McCain 37%, both running well ahead of Clinton (28%)" and that "three-way results... reflect an enormous gender gap: Clinton is narrowly the top choice of women with 36%, but only 18% of men pick her first."[1][2]

Map of the polling data

[edit]
Clinton vs. McCain
Clinton leads by over 5% (266)
Clinton leads by 1% to 5% (46)
Within 1% (17)
McCain leads by 1% to 5% (52)
McCain leads by over 5% (157)
Totals
McCain leads: 209 electoral votes

Clinton leads: 312 electoral votes

The lower map has been adjusted so that state size represents electoral strength. For details see here. Map and totals updated on June 3, 2008.

Opinion polling

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Alabama

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[3] May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association[4] 		April 16-April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36.2% John McCain 55.2%
Survey USA[5] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 60%
Rasmussen Reports[6] April 2, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
University of South Alabama[7] March 24-March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 52%
Survey USA[8] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 56%
Survey USA[9] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Survey USA[10] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 57%
Survey USA[11] January 16-January 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 58%

Alaska

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[12] May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports[13] April 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 57%
Survey USA[14] February 26-February 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%

Arizona

[edit]

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Behavior Research Center[15] May 12-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Arizona State University/KAET[16] April 24-April 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports[17] April 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 60%
Northern Arizona University[18] March 30-April 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%
Survey USA[19] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 54%
Arizona State University[20] February 21-February 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 33% John McCain 57%

Arkansas

[edit]

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[21] May 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports[22] March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 50%
Opinion Research[23] March 6-March 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 36%
Survey USA[24] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 40%

California

[edit]

55 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Field Research Corporation[25] May 16-May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 36%
Los Angeles Times/KTLA[26] May 20-May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports[27] May 19-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 35%
Public Policy Institute of California[28] May 12-May 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 39%
USA Election Polls[29] May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 37%
Rasmussen Reports[30] April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[31] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 40%
Public Policy Institute of California[32] March 11-March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 43%
Survey USA[33] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 56% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports[34] March 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 39%
Survey USA[35] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Survey USA[36] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 58% John McCain 35%
Survey USA[37] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 57% John McCain 38%

Colorado

[edit]

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[38] May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[39] April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 50%
New Leadership USA/
TargetPoint[40] 		March 31-April 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports[41] March 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 52%
Survey USA[42] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports[43] February 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 49%

Connecticut

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[44] May 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 42%
Quinnipiac University[45] March 19-March 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports[46] March 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 44%
Survey USA[47] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%

Delaware

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[48] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 41%

Florida

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27 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Quinnipiac University[49] May 13-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[50] May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University[51] April 23-April 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[52] April 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University[53] March 24-March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling[54] March 15-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[55] March 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[56] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%
Mason Dixon[57] February 21-February 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[58] February 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%
Quinnipiac University[59] February 6-February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 44%

Georgia

[edit]

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[60] May 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports[61] March 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%
Survey USA[62] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 56%

Hawaii

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[63] February 26-February 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 39%

Idaho

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[64] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 27% John McCain 63%

Illinois

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21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[65] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 37%
Research 2000[66] January 21-January 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 40%

Indiana

[edit]

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Downs Center/
Survey USA[67] 		April 28-April 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 45%
Research 2000/
South Bend Tribune[68] 		April 23-April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%
Selzer & Co./WTHR/
Indianapolis Star[69] 		April 20-April 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Downs Center/
Survey USA[70] 		April 14-April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 53%
Survey USA[71] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%
Survey USA[72] February 3-February 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%

Iowa

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[73] May 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Research2000[74] April 21-April 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[75] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports[76] March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Survey USA[77] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[78] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 46%
Des Moines Register[79] February 17-February 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[80] February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[81] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%
Survey USA[82] January 4-January 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%

Kansas

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6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[83] May 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 53%
Survey USA[84] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 57%
Survey USA[85] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 55%
Survey USA[86] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Survey USA[87] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 59%
Survey USA[88] January 16-January 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 53%

Kentucky

[edit]

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[89] May 22, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%
Mason Dixon/WKYT/
Lexington Herald-Leader[90] 		May 7-May 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 53%
Survey USA[91] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[92] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%
Survey USA[93] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[94] February 3-February 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%

Louisiana

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[95] May 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[96] April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 58%
Survey USA[97] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%

Maine

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[98] May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports[99] April 1, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[100] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 42%

Maryland

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[101] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 40%

Massachusetts

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12 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[102] May 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 60% John McCain 30%
Rasmussen Reports[103] April 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 36%
Survey USA[104] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 56% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[105] March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 39%
Survey USA[106] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[107] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 37%
Survey USA[108] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 43%
Survey USA[109] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%

Michigan

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17 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[110] May 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%
EPIC-MRA[111] April 4–9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports[112] March 25, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports[113] March 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[114] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports[115] February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%

Minnesota

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[116] May 22, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports[117] April 22, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[118] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[119] March 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[120] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[121] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 43%
Survey USA[122] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports[123] February 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[124] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%

Mississippi

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6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[125] May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 48%
Research 2000/Daily Kos[126] May 19-May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 55%
Survey USA[127] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%

Missouri

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11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[128] May 16-May 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[129] May 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[130] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[131] March 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[132] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[133] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[134] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports[135] February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 43%

Montana

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Mason Dixon/
Lee Newspapers[136] 		May 19-May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
Rasmussen Reports[137] April 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 54%
Survey USA[138] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 33% John McCain 53%

Nebraska

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[139] May 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 57%
Survey USA[140] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 57%

Nevada

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[141] May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[142] April 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[143] March 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 43%
Survey USA[144] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[145] February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%

New Hampshire

[edit]

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[146] May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 41%
Dartmouth College[147] April 28-May 2, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports[148] April 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
University of New Hampshire[149] April 25-April 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[150] March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[151] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[152] February 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 41%

New Jersey

[edit]

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey[153] 		April 24-April 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 38%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[154] March 24-March 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports[155] March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[156] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports[157] February 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 39%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[158] February 18-February 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University[159] February 13-February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%

New Mexico

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[160] May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Survey USA[161] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[162] April 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[163] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[164] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[165] February 17-February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[166] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[167] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%

New York

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31 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[168] May 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 59% John McCain 29%
Siena College[169] May 12-May 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 39%
Siena College[170] April 13-April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 42%
Quinnipiac University[171] April 14-April 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 37%
Survey USA[172] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 39%
WNBC/Marist College[173] April 3-April 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 46%
Quinnipiac University[174] March 16-March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Survey USA[175] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[176] March 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 38%
Survey USA[177] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 33%
Survey USA[178] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 41%
Siena College[179] February 11-February 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[180] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 40%

North Carolina

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15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Public Policy Polling[181] May 28-May 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 39%
Survey USA[182] May 17-May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 43%
Public Policy Polling[183] May 8-May 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[184] May 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports[185] April 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
Citivas Institute[186] April 9-April 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports[187] March 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[188] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Public Policy Polling[189] February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 48%

North Dakota

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Dakota Wesleyan University[190] March 24-April 3, 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 59%
Survey USA[191] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 54%

Ohio

[edit]

20 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Quinnipiac University[192] May 13-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[193] May 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University[194] April 23-April 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 38%
Survey USA[195] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports[196] April 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University[197] March 24-March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 39%
Public Policy Polling[198] March 15-March 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 44%
Survey USA[199] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports[200] March 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[201] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports[202] February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[203] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 42%
Quinnipiac University[204] February 6-February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 44%

Oklahoma

[edit]

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[205] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 50%

Oregon

[edit]

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[206] May 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 40%
Survey USA[207] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[208] March 26, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[209] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 44%
Survey USA[210] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[211] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports[212] February 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[213] January 11-January 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%

Pennsylvania

[edit]

21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[214] May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University[215] May 13-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 37%
Susquehanna
Polling & Research[216] 		May 1-May 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 38%
Quinnipiac University[217] April 23-April 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 37%
Rasmussen Reports[218] April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Strategic Vision[219] April 18-April 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 46%
Strategic Vision[220] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[221] April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 38%
Temple University[222] March 27-April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 40%
Strategic Vision[223] April 4-April 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 42%
Quinnipiac University[224] March 24-March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 40%
Strategic Vision[225] March 28-March 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports[226] March 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 46%
Susquehanna Polling[227] March 5-March 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision[228] March 7-March 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[229] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Quinnipiac University[230] February 21-February 25, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 42%
Franklin and Marshall College[231] February 13-February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Muhlenberg College[232] February 9-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports[233] February 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University[234] February 6-February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 40%

Rhode Island

[edit]

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[235] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 37%
Brown University[236] February 9-February 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 32%

South Carolina

[edit]

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[237] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%

South Dakota

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[238] March 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[239] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 52%

Tennessee

[edit]

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[240] April 3, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 52%
Survey USA[241] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Middle Tennessee State University[242] February 11-February 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 45%

Texas

[edit]

34 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Baselice & Associates[243] May 20-May 25, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos[244] 		May 5-May 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports[245] May 1, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%
Public Strategies/
WFAA Dallas/BELO[246] 		February 28-March 1, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[247] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49%
Survey USA[248] February 23-February 25, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%

Utah

[edit]

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates[249] 		May 13-May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 20% John McCain 65%
Survey USA[250] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 27% John McCain 65%

Vermont

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[251] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 39%

Virginia

[edit]

13 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Virginia Commonwealth University[252] May 12-May 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports[253] May 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[254] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 55%
Rasmussen Reports[255] March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 58%
Survey USA[256] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[257] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports[258] February 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Survey USA[259] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[260] January 16-January 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 52%

Washington

[edit]

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Elway Poll[261] May 26-May 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports[262] May 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Survey USA[263] May 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[264] April 14-April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[265] April 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[266] March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Elway Poll[267] March 18-March 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 41%
Survey USA[268] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports[269] February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 48%
Survey USA[270] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 46%
Survey USA[271] February 3-February 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%

West Virginia

[edit]

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[272] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%

Wisconsin

[edit]

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports[273] May 5, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 47%
University of Wisconsin[274] April 15-April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Survey USA[275] April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Wisconsin Public Radio/
St. Norbert College[276] 		March 25-April 5, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports[277] March 26, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[278] February 14-February 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 45%
Survey USA[279] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports[280] February 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Survey USA[281] February 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49%
Survey USA[282] January 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%

Wyoming

[edit]

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA[283] February 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 28% John McCain 61%

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

[edit]

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.

John McCain vs. Hillary Clinton

[edit]

Notes:

  • "R" indicates a state where the only current (2008) data is The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator Archived 2008-02-23 at the Wayback Machine
  • "§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Red color (§) indicates a state that listed safe but is in the opposite column.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Democrats split on nomination fight," Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, April 3, 2008. Accessed at http://publicmind.fdu.edu/demsplit/
  2. ^ See Krista Jenkins, Dan Cassino, and Peter J. Woolley, "Hillary Clinton, Gender and Electoral Viability: An Experimental Analysis," Sixty-Third Annual AAPOR Conference (2008). Program in Public Opinion Quarterly: Volume 72, Issue 3 Fall 2008. Accessed at http://poq.oxfordjournals.org/content/72/3/E1.full
  3. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-08-07 at the Wayback Machine
  4. ^ Capital Survey Research Center/
    Alabama Education Association
  5. ^ Survey USA
  6. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  7. ^ University of South Alabama
  8. ^ Survey USA
  9. ^ Survey USA
  10. ^ Survey USA
  11. ^ Survey USA
  12. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  13. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  14. ^ Survey USA
  15. ^ Behavior Research Center Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  16. ^ Arizona State University/KAET
  17. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2009-01-16 at the Wayback Machine
  18. ^ Northern Arizona University
  19. ^ Survey USA
  20. ^ Arizona State University
  21. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-07-01 at the Wayback Machine
  22. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-07-01 at the Wayback Machine
  23. ^ Opinion Research Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  24. ^ Survey USA
  25. ^ Field Research Corporation Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  26. ^ Los Angeles Times/KTLA
  27. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  28. ^ Public Policy Institute of California
  29. ^ USA Election Polls
  30. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-04-21. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  31. ^ Survey USA
  32. ^ Public Policy Institute of California
  33. ^ Survey USA
  34. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-19 at the Wayback Machine
  35. ^ Survey USA
  36. ^ Survey USA
  37. ^ Survey USA
  38. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  39. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  40. ^ New Leadership USA/
    TargetPoint
  41. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  42. ^ Survey USA
  43. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  44. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-22 at the Wayback Machine
  45. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived 2008-03-28 at the Wayback Machine
  46. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  47. ^ Survey USA
  48. ^ Survey USA
  49. ^ Quinnipiac University
  50. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-07-01 at the Wayback Machine
  51. ^ Quinnipiac University
  52. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-08-05 at the Wayback Machine
  53. ^ Quinnipiac University
  54. ^ Public Policy Polling
  55. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-02-23 at the Wayback Machine
  56. ^ Survey USA
  57. ^ Mason Dixon
  58. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  59. ^ Quinnipiac University
  60. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-07-01 at the Wayback Machine
  61. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  62. ^ Survey USA
  63. ^ Survey USA
  64. ^ Survey USA
  65. ^ Survey USA
  66. ^ Research 2000
  67. ^ "Downs Center/
    Survey USA"     (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-06-25. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  68. ^ Research 2000/
    South Bend Tribune
  69. ^ Selzer & Co./WTHR/
    Indianapolis Star     Archived 2008-10-21 at the Wayback Machine
  70. ^ Downs Center/
    Survey USA
  71. ^ Survey USA
  72. ^ Survey USA
  73. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-07-15. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  74. ^ Research2000
  75. ^ Survey USA
  76. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-07-15. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  77. ^ Survey USA
  78. ^ Survey USA
  79. ^ Des Moines Register
  80. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-02-26 at the Wayback Machine
  81. ^ Survey USA
  82. ^ Survey USA
  83. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-19 at the Wayback Machine
  84. ^ Survey USA
  85. ^ Survey USA
  86. ^ Survey USA
  87. ^ Survey USA
  88. ^ Survey USA
  89. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-27 at the Wayback Machine
  90. ^ Mason Dixon/WKYT/
    Lexington Herald-Leader
  91. ^ Survey USA
  92. ^ Survey USA
  93. ^ Survey USA
  94. ^ Survey USA
  95. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-02 at the Wayback Machine
  96. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  97. ^ Survey USA
  98. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  99. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-22 at the Wayback Machine
  100. ^ Survey USA
  101. ^ Survey USA
  102. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  103. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  104. ^ Survey USA
  105. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  106. ^ Survey USA
  107. ^ Survey USA
  108. ^ Survey USA
  109. ^ Survey USA
  110. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  111. ^ EPIC-MRA
  112. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-05 at the Wayback Machine
  113. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
  114. ^ Survey USA
  115. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
  116. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-04-24 at the Wayback Machine
  117. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-04-24 at the Wayback Machine
  118. ^ Survey USA
  119. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  120. ^ Survey USA
  121. ^ Survey USA
  122. ^ Survey USA
  123. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-11 at the Wayback Machine
  124. ^ Survey USA
  125. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-30 at the Wayback Machine
  126. ^ Research 2000/Daily Kos
  127. ^ Survey USA
  128. ^ Survey USA
  129. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-10 at the Wayback Machine
  130. ^ Survey USA
  131. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-10 at the Wayback Machine
  132. ^ Survey USA
  133. ^ Survey USA
  134. ^ Survey USA
  135. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  136. ^ Mason Dixon/
    Lee Newspapers
  137. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-04-14 at the Wayback Machine
  138. ^ Survey USA
  139. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  140. ^ Survey USA
  141. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-24 at the Wayback Machine
  142. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-12 at the Wayback Machine
  143. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-12 at the Wayback Machine
  144. ^ Survey USA
  145. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-12 at the Wayback Machine
  146. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-07-26 at the Wayback Machine
  147. ^ Dartmouth College Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  148. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  149. ^ University of New Hampshire Archived 2008-05-16 at the Wayback Machine
  150. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  151. ^ Survey USA
  152. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  153. ^ Monmouth University/
    Gannett New Jersey     Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  154. ^ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  155. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-08-23 at the Wayback Machine
  156. ^ Survey USA
  157. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-09 at the Wayback Machine
  158. ^ Fairleigh Dickinson University
  159. ^ Quinnipiac University
  160. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  161. ^ Survey USA
  162. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-05-17 at the Wayback Machine
  163. ^ Survey USA
  164. ^ Survey USA
  165. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  166. ^ Survey USA
  167. ^ Survey USA
  168. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2009-01-31 at the Wayback Machine
  169. ^ Siena College
  170. ^ Siena College
  171. ^ Quinnipiac University
  172. ^ Survey USA
  173. ^ WNBC/Marist College
  174. ^ Quinnipiac University
  175. ^ Survey USA
  176. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  177. ^ Survey USA
  178. ^ Survey USA
  179. ^ Siena College
  180. ^ Survey USA
  181. ^ Public Policy Polling
  182. ^ Survey USA
  183. ^ Public Policy Polling
  184. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-03-28. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  185. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-03-28. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  186. ^ Citivas Institute
  187. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-05-17. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  188. ^ Survey USA
  189. ^ Public Policy Polling
  190. ^ Dakota Wesleyan University
  191. ^ Survey USA
  192. ^ Quinnipiac University
  193. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  194. ^ Quinnipiac University
  195. ^ Survey USA
  196. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  197. ^ Quinnipiac University
  198. ^ Public Policy Polling
  199. ^ Survey USA
  200. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  201. ^ Survey USA
  202. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  203. ^ Survey USA
  204. ^ Quinnipiac University
  205. ^ Survey USA
  206. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-22 at the Wayback Machine
  207. ^ Survey USA
  208. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  209. ^ Survey USA
  210. ^ Survey USA
  211. ^ Survey USA
  212. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  213. ^ Survey USA
  214. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  215. ^ Quinnipiac University
  216. ^ Susquehanna
    Polling & Research
  217. ^ Quinnipiac University
  218. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  219. ^ Strategic Vision
  220. ^ Strategic Vision
  221. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  222. ^ Temple University
  223. ^ Strategic Vision
  224. ^ Quinnipiac University
  225. ^ Strategic Vision
  226. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  227. ^ Susquehanna Polling
  228. ^ Strategic Vision
  229. ^ Survey USA
  230. ^ Quinnipiac University
  231. ^ Franklin and Marshall College
  232. ^ Muhlenberg College
  233. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  234. ^ Quinnipiac University
  235. ^ Survey USA
  236. ^ Brown University
  237. ^ Survey USA
  238. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  239. ^ Survey USA
  240. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-08-25 at the Wayback Machine
  241. ^ Survey USA
  242. ^ Middle Tennessee State University
  243. ^ Baselice & Associates
  244. ^ Research 2000/
    Daily Kos
  245. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-12-02 at the Wayback Machine
  246. ^ Public Strategies/
    WFAA Dallas/BELO     Archived 2008-06-25 at the Wayback Machine
  247. ^ Survey USA
  248. ^ Survey USA
  249. ^ Deseret News/
    Dan Jones & Associates
  250. ^ Survey USA
  251. ^ Survey USA
  252. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
  253. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-06-22 at the Wayback Machine
  254. ^ Survey USA
  255. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  256. ^ Survey USA
  257. ^ Survey USA
  258. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  259. ^ Survey USA
  260. ^ Survey USA
  261. ^ Elway Poll Archived 2008-05-31 at the Wayback Machine
  262. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-09-13 at the Wayback Machine
  263. ^ Survey USA
  264. ^ Survey USA
  265. ^ Survey USA
  266. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  267. ^ Elway Poll
  268. ^ Survey USA
  269. ^ Rasmussen Reports Archived 2008-03-09 at the Wayback Machine
  270. ^ Survey USA
  271. ^ Survey USA
  272. ^ Survey USA
  273. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-04-02. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  274. ^ University of Wisconsin
  275. ^ Survey USA
  276. ^ Wisconsin Public Radio/
    St. Norbert College
  277. ^ "Rasmussen Reports". Archived from the original on 2008-04-02. Retrieved 2008-06-04.
  278. ^ Survey USA
  279. ^ Survey USA
  280. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  281. ^ Survey USA
  282. ^ Survey USA
  283. ^ Survey USA
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