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Confidence and supply

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In parliamentary democracies based on the Westminster system, confidence and supply is an arrangement under which a minority government (one which does not control a majority in the legislature) receives the support of one or more parties or independent MPs on confidence votes and the state budget ("supply"). On issues other than those outlined in the confidence and supply agreement, non-government partners to the agreement are not bound to support the government on any given piece of legislation.[1][2]

A coalition government is a more formal arrangement than a confidence-and-supply agreement, in that members from junior parties (i.e., parties other than the largest) gain positions in the cabinet and ministerial roles, and are generally expected to hold the government whip on passing legislation.

Confidence

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Main article: Motion of no confidence

In most parliamentary democracies, members of a parliament can propose a motion of confidence[3] or of no confidence in the government or executive. The results of such motions show how much support the government currently has in parliament. Should a motion of confidence fail, or a motion of no confidence pass, the government will usually either resign and allow other politicians to form a new government, or call an election.

Supply

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Main articles: Appropriation bill and Loss of supply

Most parliamentary democracies require an annual state budget, an appropriation bill, also called supply bill, or occasional financial measures to be passed by parliament in order for a government to pay its way and enact its policies. The failure of a supply bill is in effect the same as the failure of a confidence motion. In early modern England, the withholding of funds was one of Parliament's few ways of controlling the monarch.

List of governments currently under a confidence-and-supply agreement

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Country Head of government Governing parties Confidence partners Seats
Government Support Total
Croatia Croatia Andrej Plenković HDZ – SDSS HSLS – HNS-LD – HDS – Ind. 67 44.4% 10 77/151 50.3%
Denmark Denmark Mette Frederiksen A – V – M B – JF – S – IA – Ind. 86 48% 5 91/179 50.8%
Indonesia Indonesia Prabowo Subianto Gerindra – Golkar – PKB – PAN – Demokrat PDI-P – NasDem – PKS 348 60% 232 580/580 100%
Pakistan Pakistan Shehbaz Sharif PMLN PPP 108 32.1% 68 176/336 52.3%
Poland Poland Donald Tusk KO – PL2050 – KP – NL Ind.[a] 242 52.6% 1 243/460 52.8%
Spain Spain Pedro Sánchez PSOE – Sumar ERC – Junts – EH Bildu – EAJ/PNV – BNG – CCa 152 43.4% 27 179/350 51.1%
Sweden Sweden Ulf Kristersson M – KD – L SD 103 29.5% 73 176/349 50.4%
Turkey Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdoğan AKP MHP – HÜDA PAR – DSP 263 43.8% 55 318/600 53.0%
Sub-national
Spain  Asturias Adrián Barbón FSA-PSOE IU/IX – IAS 19 42.2% 4 23/45 51.1%
Australia Australian Capital Territory Australian Capital Territory Andrew Barr Labor Greens 10 40.0% 4 14/25 56.0%
Portugal  Azores José Manuel Bolieiro PPD/PSD – CDS-PP - PPM Chega – IL 26 45.6% 3 29/57 50.9%
Spain  Balearic Islands Marga Prohens PP Vox 25 42.3% 9 34/59 57.6%
Canada British Columbia British Columbia David Eby NDP Green 47 50.5% 2 49/93 52.7%
Spain  Murcia Fernando López Miras PP Vox 21 46.6% 9 30/45 66.6%
Spain  Navarre María Chivite PSN – GBai – Podemos I-E 21 42.0% 9 30/50 60.0%
Australia New South Wales New South Wales Chris Minns Labor Ind. (AG, GP, JM) 45 48.3% 3 48/93 51.6%
Australia Tasmania Tasmania Jeremy Rockliff Liberal JLN – Ind. (DO & KJ) 14 40.0% 5 19/35 54.2%
Germany  Thuringia Mario Voigt CDU – BSW – SPD LINKE 44 50% 12 56/88 63.3%
Canada Yukon Yukon Ranj Pillai Liberal NDP 8 42.1% 3 11/19 57.9%

Examples of confidence-and-supply deals

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Australia

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Federal

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Main article: Gillard government § Minority government

The Australian Labor Party Gillard government formed a minority government in the hung parliament elected at the 2010 federal election resulting from a confidence-and-supply agreement with three independent MPs and one Green MP.[4]

New South Wales

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Following the 2023 New South Wales state election, the Labor opposition reached 45 out of 47 seats required for a majority. Independent MLAs, Alex Greenwich, Greg Piper, and Joe McGirr entered into a confidence-and-supply agreement with the Labor government.

Tasmania

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Following the 2024 Tasmanian state election, the incumbent Liberal government reached 14 out of 18 seats required for a majority. The Jacqui Lambie Network, along with Independent MHAs, David O'Byrne and Kristie Johnston entered into a confidence-and-supply agreement with the Liberal government.

Australian Capital Territory

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Following the 2024 Australian Capital Territory election, the ACT Labor Party party reached 10 out of 13 seats required for a majority, with the ACT Greens holding the balance of power with 4 seats. Unlike the previous three elections, Labor and the Greens did not enter into a coalition government. Instead, the Greens pledged to provide confidence and supply to a minority Labor government.[5][6]

Canada

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Federal

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In November 2008, the Liberal Party and the New Democratic Party (NDP) reached an agreement to form a minority coalition government, with the Bloc Québécois having signed a confidence agreement to support the proposed coalition. However, the proposed coalition and confidence agreement fell apart in January 2009, as a result of an ensuing parliamentary dispute.[7][8]

In 2022, a few months into the 44th Canadian Parliament, the NDP agreed to a confidence-and-supply agreement with the governing Liberal Party, to continue the Liberal minority government. The deal was intended to keep the minority Liberal government in power until 2025, with the NDP agreeing to support the government on confidence motions and budget votes. In exchange, the Liberal government pledged to advance work on key NDP policy priorities on dental care, pharmaceutical drugs, and affordable childcare.[9] NDP leader Jagmeet Singh announced the early termination of the agreement on 4 September 2024.[10]

British Columbia

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2017–2020

Further information: 2017 British Columbian government formation

After the 2017 British Columbia provincial election, the Green Party of British Columbia agreed to a confidence-and-supply agreement in support of the British Columbia New Democratic Party.[11] The incumbent British Columbia Liberal Party, which held a plurality of seats, briefly tried to form a government, but was immediately defeated in a confidence vote by the NDP and Greens.[12] The agreement, which was intended to remain in effect until the next fixed election in October 2021, was ended early when premier John Horgan requested the lieutenant governor call a snap election in 2020.[13]

2024–present

The NDP and Green Party announced on 13 December 2024 that they had concluded a confidence and supply agreement, the 2024 Co-operation and Responsible Government Accord, after the NDP won a slim 1-seat majority government a few months earlier in the 2024 provincial election.[14] The agreement will have the Green Party support the NDP government on all confidence votes for a term of four years, subject to annual renewal, in exchange for cooperation on shared policy goals like expanding health care funding and public transit.[15][16]

New Brunswick

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On 2 November 2018 (less than two months after the 2018 New Brunswick general election) the legislative assembly voted 25-23 for a motion, introduced by the Progressive Conservatives, to amend the throne speech to declare no confidence in the government. Subsequently, Premier Brian Gallant indicated his intention to resign the premiership and recommend to the lieutenant governor that PC leader Blaine Higgs be given the mandate to form a minority government: "I will go see the lieutenant-governor at her earliest convenience to inform her that I will be resigning as premier, and I will humbly suggest to her honour to allow the leader of the Conservative Party to attempt to form a government and attempt to gain the confidence of the house". People's Alliance leader Kris Austin said he would work with the new government "in the areas we agree on," and reiterated his promise to support the Progressive Conservatives on confidence votes for a period of 18 months. Green Party leader David Coon said he would start working with the Tories in an attempt to ensure his party's issues were on the government's agenda.[17]

Ontario

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Twenty-two days after the 1985 Ontario provincial election, the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario government resigned after a vote of no confidence, and the Ontario Liberal Party formed a government with the support of the Ontario New Democratic Party.[18] The agreement between the two parties was referred to as "The Accord".[19]

Yukon

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After the 2021 territorial election resulted in the Yukon Liberal Party and the Yukon Party winning the same number of seats, the third place Yukon New Democratic Party agreed to provide confidence and supply to a Liberal minority government.[20]

India

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Third Front national governments were formed in 1989 and 1996 with outside support of one of the two major parties, BJP or Congress.

The CPI-M gave outside support to the Congress Party from 2004 to 2008, but later withdrew support after the India–United States Civil Nuclear Agreement.

Ireland

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After the 2016 general election, a minority government was formed by Fine Gael and some independents, with confidence and supply (Irish: muinín agus soláthar[21]) support from Fianna Fáil in return for a published set of policy commitments from the government.[22] Fianna Fáil abstained on confidence and supply votes, but reserved the right to vote for or against any bill proposed in the Dáil or Seanad. The deal lasted until the 32nd Dáil was dissolved on 14 January 2020 for a general election to be held in February 2020.[23][24]

Italy

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In Italy, the equivalent of confidence and supply is called "external support" (Italian: appoggio esterno). Starting from the 1950s through the 1970s there were various examples of Christian Democratic cabinets being able to govern thanks to confidence and supply agreements with other minor parties. Most famously, the Andreotti III Cabinet was formed in 1976 with a confidence and supply agreement between the Christian Democrats and the Italian Communist Party, referred to as "the historic compromise" (Italian: il compromesso storico), in which the Communist Party agreed not to vote against the government during confidence votes.

The Dini Cabinet, formed in 1995, and the Monti Cabinet, formed in 2011, were technocratic governments which relied on the support of the main parties in Parliament during confidence votes.

Japan

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In Japan, the equivalent of a confidence and supply arrangement is called "extra-cabinet cooperation" (閣外協力, kakugai kyōryoku). The latest such agreement was made after the 1996 House of Representatives election between the Second Hashimoto Cabinet, an LDP single-party government somewhat short of majorities in both houses, and two parties which had formed the governing coalition with the LDP until the election: the JSP and Shintō Sakigake (NPH/NPS/Sakigake). By 1997, the LDP had gained a House of Representatives majority of its own through accessions (see New Frontier Party) and was hoping to regain full parliamentary control in the 1998 House of Councillors election. Instead, the cooperation agreement was ultimately terminated while the government lost seats in the 1998 election, leaving clear control to the opposition, a so-called "Twisted Diet". The Hashimoto Cabinet resigned to give way for a new cabinet led by prime minister Keizō Ōbuchi which entered formal negotiations with other parties to form a coalition government by January 1999 (First Reshuffled Obuchi Cabinet).

There is another implicit form of cooperation where (usually very small) parties which are not part of the cabinet join one of the ruling parties in joint parliamentary groups in one or both houses of the National Diet and vote with the government. A recent example were the joint LDP groups with the Party for Japanese Kokoro and New Party Daichi during the 2nd Reshuffled Third Abe Cabinet.

Malaysia

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A confidence and supply agreement was signed on 13 September 2021 between Barisan Nasional and Pakatan Harapan to strengthen political stability amid the COVID-19 pandemic. This is the first such agreement signed to ensure bipartisan cooperation.[25]

New Zealand

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In New Zealand, confidence and supply arrangements are common due to the MMP system used in the country. The parties providing confidence and supply have a more prominent role than in other countries, with MPs from the support parties often being appointed to ministerial portfolios outside of Cabinet.[26] New Zealand codified the procedures it used to form these Governments in its Cabinet Manual.[27]

John Key's National Party administration formed a minority government in 2008 thanks to a confidence-and-supply agreement with the ACT, United Future and the Māori Party.[28] A similar arrangement in 2005 had led to Helen Clark's Labour Party forming a coalition government with the Progressive Party, with support on confidence and supply from New Zealand First and United Future. After the 2014 election, National re-entered confidence-and-supply agreements with United Future, the ACT Party, and the Māori Party. In 2017, despite National winning more votes than Labour in the election, New Zealand First chose to enter coalition with Labour to help them change the government, with support on confidence and supply from the left-wing Green Party.[27]

United Kingdom

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Between 1977 and 1978, Jim Callaghan's Labour Party stayed in power thanks to a confidence-and-supply agreement with the Liberal Party, in a deal which became known as the Lib-Lab Pact. In return, the Labour Party agreed to modest policy concessions for the Liberal Party.[29][30]

In the aftermath of the 2017 general election which left Theresa May's Conservative Party without a majority, a confidence-and-supply agreement was agreed with the Democratic Unionist Party.[31]

Devolved government

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Confidence and supply deals are more frequent in the devolved legislatures of Scotland and Wales due to the use of proportional representation.[citation needed] The Scottish National Party and Scottish Green Party had a confidence and supply deal in the Scottish Parliament.[32] The Welsh Labour Party and Plaid Cymru had a similar co-operation deal in the Welsh Assembly until October 2017.[33]

Notes

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  1. ^ Adam Gomoła, MP, former of the Poland 2050.

References

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  1. ^ James Cook, Governments, coalitions and border politics, BBC News, 7 May 2010
  2. ^ Why the PM is safe in No 10 for the moment, The Independent, 8 May 2010
  3. ^ Otherwise, when it is proposed by the Government itself upon a piece of legislation, "the Chambers are enslaved in the exercise of their principal function just because it was thought that their being master of the fiduciary relationship were to be reaffirmed on each bill": Argondizzo, Domenico; Buonomo, Giampiero (April 2014). "Spigolature intorno all'attuale bicameralismo e proposte per quello futuro". Mondoperaio.net. Archived from the original on 1 August 2012. Retrieved 14 March 2016.
  4. ^ Rodgers, Emma (7 September 2010). "Labor clings to power". ABC News Online. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
  5. ^ Harry Frost (6 November 2024). "ACT Greens say 'business as usual won't cut it' as the party confirms it won't form another coalition with Labor". ABC News. Archived from the original on 1 December 2024. Retrieved 3 December 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 Supply and Confidence Agreement" (PDF). greens.org.au. 6 November 2024.
  7. ^ Paun, Akash; Hibben, Ashley (June 2017). "Supplying confidence" (PDF). www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk. Institute for Government. p. 2. Retrieved 5 July 2022.
  8. ^ "Liberals, NDP, Bloc sign deal on proposed coalition". www.cbc.ca. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 1 December 2008. Retrieved 5 June 2022.
  9. ^ "Liberals, NDP strike tentative deal to keep government in power until 2025: reports". Canada's National Observer. 22 March 2022. Retrieved 2 June 2022.
  10. ^ Boynton, Sean; Piper, Jillian (4 September 2024). "NDP pulls out of supply-and-confidence deal with Liberal government". Global News. Retrieved 4 September 2024.
  11. ^ Kines, Lindsay (29 June 2017). "Lieutenant-governor invites Horgan to take over, rejects another election". Times Colonist. Retrieved 1 July 2017.
  12. ^ Keller, James; Hunter, Justine; Hager, Mike (29 June 2017). "B.C. NDP to take power following confidence vote, ending 16 years of Liberal rule". The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on 4 November 2020. Retrieved 11 November 2018.
  13. ^ Yoshida-Butryn, Carly (21 September 2020). "'Irresponsible and unnecessary': B.C. Green leader tears into Horgan over snap election". CTV News Vancouver. Retrieved 5 September 2020.
  14. ^ Lazenby, Alec (13 December 2024). "Both parties talk 'balance' as Greens agree to deal that stabilizes B.C. NDP". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved 15 December 2024.
  15. ^ Larsen, Karin (13 December 2024). "B.C. NDP and B.C. Greens announce co-operation agreement". CBC News. Retrieved 15 December 2024.
  16. ^ Holliday, Ian; Miljure, Ben (13 December 2024). "B.C. Greens to support NDP on confidence votes, work together on shared priorities". CTV News Vancouver. Retrieved 15 December 2024.
  17. ^ Poitras, Jacques (2 November 2018). "Brian Gallant's minority New Brunswick government defeated after losing confidence vote". CBC News.
  18. ^ Stephens, Robert (8 June 1985). "NDP, Liberals move non-confidence". The Globe and Mail. ISSN 0319-0714.
  19. ^ Peterson, David (20 December 1986). "Minority is working". The Toronto Star. ISSN 0319-0781. ProQuest 435524082.
  20. ^ "Yukon Liberals, NDP make deal to work together in government". CBC News. 28 April 2021.
  21. ^ "Muinín agus soláthar?". comhar.ie.
  22. ^ "Confidence and Supply Arrangement". Fianna Fáil. 2016. Archived from the original on 27 August 2016. Retrieved 3 August 2016.
  23. ^ Lehane, Mícheál (12 December 2018). "Fianna Fáil renews Confidence and Supply Agreement". RTÉ.
  24. ^ "Taoiseach Leo Varadkar calls general election for February 8". Independent.ie. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 26 January 2020.
  25. ^ Tan, Vincent (13 September 2021). "Malaysian government and opposition Pakatan Harapan ink 'historic' MOU on bipartisan cooperation". CNA. Retrieved 17 September 2021.
  26. ^ "What is confidence and supply… and how does it differ from a coalition?". Newshub. 10 April 2017. Retrieved 19 October 2017.
  27. ^ a b "CO (17) 10: Labour-New Zealand First Coalition, with Confidence and Supply from the Green Party: Consultation and Operating Arrangements". Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. Retrieved 25 June 2018.
  28. ^ Bryant, Nick (7 May 2010). "Lessons from New Zealand in art of coalition building". BBC News.
  29. ^ Weaver, Matthew (16 March 2015). "Politics: what is confidence and supply?". The Guardian. Retrieved 22 May 2016.
  30. ^ "Election 2017: DUP agrees 'confidence' deal with Tories". BBC News.
  31. ^ Peck, Tom (10 June 2017). "Theresa May to enter into 'confidence and supply' arrangement with the Democratic Unionists". The Independent. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  32. ^ "Scots budget vote passed after Green deal". BBC News. 2 February 2017.
  33. ^ "Plaid to end Labour co-operation deal". BBC News. 6 October 2017.
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