Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.

The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.

Opinion polling

Election polling

Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru only stand candidates in Wales and the Scottish National Party only stand candidates in Scotland. Due to rounding total figures might not add up to 100%.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Reform	Lib Dems	Green	SNP	Others	Lead
7–8 Aug	We Think	N/A	GB	1,278	33%	20%	21%	11%	8%	3%	4% Independent on 3% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1%	12
5–7 Aug	BMG Research	The i	GB	1,523	33%	24%	18%	12%	8%	2%	2%	9
2–5 Aug	Stonehaven	N/A	GB	–	34%	22%	17%	12%	9%	–	6%	12
25–26 Jul	We Think	N/A	GB	2,012	36%	22%	17%	11%	7%	2%	5% Independent on 3% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1%	14
11–12 Jul	We Think	N/A	GB	2,005	39%	20%	16%	11%	9%	2%	3%	19
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election	–	UK	–	33.7%	23.7%	14.3%	12.2%	6.8%	2.5%	6.8%	10.0
			GB		34.7%	24.4%	14.7%	12.5%	6.9%	2.5%	4.3%	10.3

Leadership approval polling

Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Sample size	Keir Starmer			Rishi Sunak			Nigel Farage			Ed Davey			Carla Denyer			Adrian Ramsay
			Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net
14-16 Aug 2024	Opinium	2,000	32%	38%	–6	20%	50%	–30	24%	43%	–19	21%	21%	-	–			–
7–8 Aug 2024	We Think	1,278	33%	42%	–9	22%	57%	–35	29%	44%	–15	18%	36%	–18	14%	28%	–14	10%	26%	–16
5–7 Aug 2024	BMG Research	1,523	30%	33%	–3	19%	42%	–23	23%	37%	–14	21%	16%	+5	–			–
5–6 Aug 2024	YouGov	2,163	37%	53%	–16	23%	71%	–48	25%	67%	–42	–			–			–
31 Jul – 2 Aug 2024	Opinium	2,063	35%	32%	+3	18%	48%	–30	25%	40%	–15	24%	19%	+5	19%	17%	+2	19%	17%	+2
30–31 Jul 2024	YouGov	2,233	40%	49%	–9	23%	70%	–47	27%	62%	–35	27%	33%	–6	9%	12%	–3	3%	10%	–7
30 Jul	Beginning of the 2024 United Kingdom riots
25–26 Jul 2024	We Think	2,012	42%	37%	+5	25%	61%	–36	30%	50%	–20	21%	36%	–15	16%	34%	–18	12%	32%	–20
17–19 Jul 2024	Opinium	2,010	38%	20%	+18	20%	42%	–22	–			25%	18%	+7	21%	15%	+6	21%	15%	+6
8–14 Jul 2024	Morning Consult	–	45%	25%	+20	–			–			–			–			–
11–12 Jul 2024	We Think	2,005	38%	15%	+23	21%	31%	–10	–			–			–			–
5–8 Jul 2024	YouGov	2,102	44%	47%	–3	23%	70%	–47	27%	65%	–38	34%	29%	+5	13%	16%	–3	7%	14%	–7
5–6 Jul 2024	Ipsos	1,141	40%	33%	+7	21%	57%	–36	26%	52%	–26	29%	26%	+3	–			–

Party approval polling

Dates conducted	Pollster	Sample size	Lab			Con			Reform			Lib Dems			Green
			Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net	Pos.	Neg.	Net
30–31 Jul 2024	YouGov	2,163	39%	53%	–14	23%	70%	–47	–			–			–
5–8 Jul 2024	YouGov	2,102	47%	46%	+1	21%	72%	–51	28%	62%	–34	45%	37%	+8	46%	38%	+8
5–6 Jul 2024	Ipsos	1,141	40%	34%	+6	20%	59%	–39	25%	51%	–26	29%	28%	+1	33%	28%	+6

Preferred prime minister polling

Some opinion pollsters ask voters which of the party leaders they would prefer as prime minister:

Dates conducted	Pollster	Sample size	Keir Starmer	Rishi Sunak	Nigel Farage	Ed Davey	Carla Denyer	Adrian Ramsay	None	Don't know	Lead
7–8 Aug 2024	We Think	1,278	26%	10%	20%	5%	2%	2%	20%	15%	6
31 Jul – 2 Aug 2024	Opinium	2,063	38%	14%	–	–	–	–	37%	11%	24
25–26 Jul 2024	We Think	2,012	30%	11%	18%	4%	3%	1%	18%	15%	12
17–19 Jul 2024	Opinium	2,010	37%	14%	–	–	–	–	34%	15%	23
11–12 Jul 2024	We Think	2,005	30%	11%	14%	5%	4%	1%	33%		16