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Mullaitivu Polling Division

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Mullaitivu
Polling Division
Location of Mullaitivu
Coordinates: 9°07′24″N 80°40′11″E / 9.123436°N 80.669748°E / 9.123436; 80.669748
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorthern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictVanni Electoral District
Area
 • Total
2,712.46 km2 (1,047.29 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
92,238
 • Density34/km2 (90/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-11C

The Mullaitivu Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Vanni Electoral District, in the Northern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mullaitivu has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Mullaitivu is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 3.91% SLPP 41.93%
2015 NDF NDF 0.65% NDF 28.42%
2010 NDF NDF 6.86% UPFA 36.23%
2005 UPFA UNP 35.66% UPFA 6.73%
1999 PA UNP 35.58% PA 10.65%
1994 PA PA 8.95% PA 13.62%
1988 UNP UNP 2.29% UNP 9.54%
1982 ACTC UNP 15.40% UNP 19.27%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 13.66% 8/8 20.80%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[4] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 47,594 86.19% 174,739 82.12% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 4,252 7.70% 26,105 12.27% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,469 4.47% 9,388 4.41% 729,468 5.50%
DUNF 902 1.63% 2,546 1.20% 34,537 0.26%
Valid Votes 55,217 98.26% 212,778 98.48% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 979 1.74% 3,294 1.52% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 56,196 77.47% 216,072 76.59% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 72,538 282,119 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[5] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 35,441 78.95% 141,417 78.47% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 7,935 17.68% 34,377 19.07% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,513 3.37% 4,431 2.46% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 44,889 97.71% 180,225 98.14% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,052 2.29% 3,416 1.86% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 45,941 71.87% 183,641 70.25% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 63,920 261,422 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[6] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 6,882 73.47% 70,367 66.86% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 1,726 18.43% 28,740 27.31% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 423 4.52% 3,333 3.17% 141,978 1.37%
DUNF 237 2.53% 2,021 1.92% 39,226 0.38%
UDF 99 1.06% 791 0.75% 23,290 0.22%
Valid Votes 9,367 97.32% 105,252 97.75% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 258 2.68% 2,428 2.25% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 9,625 14.00% 107,680 19.60% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 68,729 549,344 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[7] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 510 57.24% 17,197 20.36% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 372 41.75% 65,798 77.89% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 9 1.01% 1,481 1.75% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 891 98.78% 84,476 98.37% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 11 1.22% 1,398 1.63% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 902 1.35% 85,874 16.66% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 66,596 515,573 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[8] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 751 63.54% 16,202 25.84% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 389 32.91% 43,803 69.87% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 27 2.28% 2,203 3.51% 176,679 2.09%
JVP 15 1.27% 482 0.77% 343,927 4.08%
Valid Votes 1,182 97.52% 62,690 97.68% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 30 2.48% 1,490 2.32% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 1,212 2.30% 64,180 31.13% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 52,688 206,176 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[9] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 1,128 76.32% 33,585 85.30% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 330 22.33% 4,493 11.41% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 20 1.35% 1,294 3.29% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 1,478 98.21% 39,372 98.30% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 27 1.79% 681 1.70% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 1,505 2.88% 40,053 22.27% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 52,197 179,858 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[10] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 3,098 52.90% 10,580 55.78% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 1,639 27.99% 4,889 25.77% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,119 19.11% 3,500 18.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 5,856 94.68% 18,969 96.40% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 329 5.32% 708 3.60% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 6,185 14.86% 19,677 20.70% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 41,624 95,061 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mullaitivu[11] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ACTC 6,654 40.97% 11,521 16.29% 173,934 2.67%
SLFP 5,471 33.69% 23,221 32.83% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 3,678 22.65% 32,834 46.42% 3,450,815 52.93%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 234 1.44% 877 1.24% 75,526 1.16%
JVP 204 1.26% 2,286 3.23% 273,428 4.19%
Valid Votes 16,241 94.36% 70,739 96.66% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 971 5.64% 2,447 3.34% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 17,212 49.93% 73,186 60.87% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 34,472 120,235 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mullaitivu has matched the final country result 1 out of 7 times.

Year Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 ITAK ITAK 11.73% UNP 32.00%
2010 ITAK ITAK 11.41% UPFA 32.48%
2004 ITAK ITAK 18.68% UPFA 40.65%
2001 PA TULF 27.52% UNP 7.60%
2000 PA TELO 20.13% PA 15.16%
1994 DPLF DPLF 5.90% PA 23.50%
1989 TULF TULF 7.23% UNP 34.73%
Matches/Mean MAE 1/7 0/7 14.66% 7/7 26.59%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[14] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ITAK 27,269 71.14% 89,886 54.79% 515,963 4.63%
UNP 6,244 16.29% 39,513 24.09% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 2,582 6.74% 20,965 12.78% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,267 3.31% 11,569 7.05% 652,154 5.85%
EPDP 970 2.53% 2,120 1.29% 33,481 0.30%
Valid Votes 38,332 86.16% 164,053 90.17% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 6,012 13.51% 17,155 9.43% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 44,487 69.60% 181,930 71.89% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 63,920 253,058 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[15] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ITAK 5,241 53.79% 41,673 39.02% 233,190 2.91%
UPFA 2,238 22.97% 37,522 35.13% 4,846,388 60.38%
EPDP 593 6.09% 2,867 2.68% 2,867 0.04%
DPLF 527 5.41% 5,900 5.52% 6,036 0.08%
EDF 393 4.03% 1,394 1.31% 3,709 0.05%
UNP 169 1.73% 12,783 11.97% 2,357,057 29.37%
IG9V 145 1.49% 262 0.25% 262 0.00%
IG1V 131 1.34% 1,979 1.85% 1,979 0.02%
TULF 124 1.27% 1,073 1.00% 9,223 0.11%
DUA 114 1.17% 506 0.47% 1,270 0.02%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 69 0.71% 852 0.80% 489,044 6.09%
Valid Votes 9,744 85.76% 106,811 91.15% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,610 14.17% 10,208 8.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 11,362 16.53% 117,185 38.53% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 68,729 304,111 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[16] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
ITAK 27,667 96.85% 90,252 74.68% 633,203 6.85%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 509 1.78% 24,181 20.01% 4,110,386 44.48%
UPFA 391 1.37% 6,415 5.31% 4,223,126 45.70%
Valid Votes 28,567 93.78% 120,848 92.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,895 6.22% 9,665 7.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 30,462 57.00% 130,513 57.60% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 53,439 226,604 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[17] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 298 49.50% 7,831 8.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 237 39.37% 26,575 28.12% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 56 9.30% 683 0.72% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 11 1.83% 59,417 62.87% 568,341 6.35%
Valid Votes 602 95.56% 94,506 92.33% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 28 4.44% 7,855 7.67% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 630 1.19% 102,361 46.77% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 53,158 218,861 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[18] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 439 67.33% 6,323 9.45% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 182 27.91% 10,618 15.88% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 18 2.76% 412 0.62% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 13 1.99% 49,522 74.05% 667,193 7.76%
Valid Votes 652 N/A 66,875 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[19] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
DPLF 7,080 32.63% 11,567 27.36% 11,567 0.15%
PA 4,869 22.44% 5,583 13.21% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 4,497 20.73% 7,850 18.57% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 1,756 8.09% 3,039 7.19% 132,461 1.67%
EPRLF 1,465 6.75% 3,465 8.20% 9,411 0.12%
SLMC 1,412 6.51% 8,142 19.26% 143,307 1.80%
IND1 502 2.31% 624 1.48% 48,199 0.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.53% 2,001 4.73% 19,127 0.24%
Valid Votes 21,697 92.47% 42,271 93.35% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,766 7.53% 3,009 6.65% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 23,463 32.39% 45,280 25.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 72,434 179,435 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mullaitivu[20] Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
TULF 2,937 38.03% 17,271 39.99% 188,594 3.37%
IND 2,882 37.32% 7,879 18.24% 12,285 0.22%
SLMC 1,440 18.65% 7,945 18.40% 202,016 3.61%
UNP 426 5.52% 8,525 19.74% 2,838,005 50.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 37 0.48% 1,568 3.63% 1,785,369 31.90%
Valid Votes 7,722 85.52% 43,188 90.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,307 14.48% 4,462 9.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 9,029 22.45% 47,650 33.69% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 40,224 141,448 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Mullaitivu Polling Division has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (85.8%) . In comparison, the Vanni Electoral District (which contains the Mullaitivu Polling Division) has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (82.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mullaitivu[1]

  Sri Lankan Tamil (85.8%)
  Sinhalese (9.7%)
  Indian Tamil (2.5%)
  Moor (2.0%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Mullaitivu Polling Division has a Hindu majority (75.2%) . In comparison, the Vanni Electoral District (which contains the Mullaitivu Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (58.5%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (21.1%) [1]

Religion in Mullaitivu[1]

  Hindu (75.2%)
  Roman Catholic (9.8%)
  Buddhist (8.9%)
  Other Christian (4.0%)
  Muslim (2.0%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the Vanni Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the Vanni Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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