Opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 2015 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 10th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 20 November 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 20 December 2015.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The dates of when the survey fieldwork was done are used, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Electoral polling
[edit]Nationwide polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]
Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.
2015
[edit]- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
BNG | ![]() |
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Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec | — | 69.7 | 28.7 123 |
22.0 90 |
3.7 2 |
0.6 0 |
– | 0.9 2 |
1.2 6 |
2.4 9 |
0.3 0 |
0.3 1 |
[a] | 13.9 40 |
20.7 69 |
2.2 8 |
6.7 |
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] | 20 Dec | 177,100 | ? | 26.8 114/118 |
20.5 81/85 |
4.1 3/4 |
1.1 0 |
– | 1.0 3/4 |
1.1 4/5 |
2.5 9/11 |
0.3 0 |
0.3 0/1 |
[a] | 15.2 47/50 |
21.7 76/80 |
1.7 6/7 |
5.1 |
Redondo & Asociados[3] | 18–19 Dec | 1,790 | ? | 29.3 124 |
20.7 83 |
3.3 1 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.2 6 |
1.4 6 |
1.7 6 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
[a] | 16.6 53 |
19.5 63 |
1.8 7 |
8.6 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[4] | 17–19 Dec | 950 | 75–77 | 26.6 112/116 |
20.1 76/80 |
4.0 1/3 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 15.3 45/49 |
21.5 80/84 |
– | 5.1 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[5] | 16–18 Dec | 800 | 75–77 | 26.6 111/115 |
20.8 82/86 |
4.4 2/4 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 15.5 47/51 |
20.1 70/74 |
– | 5.8 |
GAD3/Antena 3[6] | 14–18 Dec | 7,000 | 74 | 28.1 121/124 |
20.4 79/83 |
4.3 2/4 |
– | – | 0.9 2/4 |
1.3 5/6 |
2.7 8/9 |
– | 0.3 0/1 |
[a] | 14.9 46/50 |
21.1 70/74 |
1.8 5/7 |
7.0 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[7] | 15–17 Dec | 750 | 74–76 | 25.8 107/111 |
21.4 84/88 |
3.8 2/4 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 16.0 50/54 |
20.4 71/75 |
– | 4.4 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[8] | 14–16 Dec | 700 | 74–76 | 26.2 108/112 |
21.0 83/87 |
3.7 2/4 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 15.9 50/54 |
20.4 71/75 |
– | 5.2 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[9] | 13–15 Dec | 650 | ? | 25.4 106/110 |
20.6 81/85 |
4.5 3/5 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 16.3 54/58 |
19.6 66/70 |
– | 4.8 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[10] | 12–14 Dec | 700 | ? | 25.4 104/108 |
20.9 81/85 |
4.8 3/5 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 17.2 57/61 |
19.0 63/67 |
– | 4.5 |
GAD3/Antena 3[11] | 7–14 Dec | 3,200 | ? | 28.6 120/125 |
21.0 79/82 |
3.9 3/4 |
– | – | 1.1 5 |
1.3 6 |
2.3 8 |
– | 0.4 0/1 |
[a] | 17.6 60/63 |
17.9 52/55 |
2.4 9 |
7.6 |
Encuestamos[12] | 7–14 Dec | 2,000 | ? | 26.9 116/120 |
22.9 87/91 |
4.0 1/5 |
– | – | 1.1 5/7 |
1.4 5/6 |
2.2 8/11 |
? 0/2 |
? 1/2 |
[a] | 17.0 45/49 |
18.6 57/61 |
1.9 8/10 |
4.0 |
GIPEyOP[13] | 27 Nov–14 Dec | 14,005 | ? | 23.3– 25.9 99/111 |
20.0– 22.3 77/89 |
3.3– 4.3 1/6 |
0.6– 1.2 0/1 |
– | 0.9– 1.6 4/7 |
0.9– 1.5 4/7 |
2.7– 3.6 11/14 |
0.3– 0.7 0/2 |
0.3– 0.8 1/3 |
[a] | 15.4– 17.5 48/59 |
18.6– 21.1 62/74 |
2.2– 3.2 8/11 |
3.3– 3.6 |
JM&A/Público[14] | 13 Dec | ? | 74.6 | 27.7 120 |
18.6 70 |
3.1 1 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.0 5 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 8 |
0.5 0 |
0.5 1 |
[a] | 20.1 68 |
18.0 61 |
2.3 9 |
7.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[15][16] | 30 Nov–13 Dec | 1,017 | ? | 28.9 | 18.9 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 20.0 | 17.3 | – | 8.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico[17][18] | 10–12 Dec | 800 | ? | 25.2 103/107 |
20.8 80/84 |
? 3/5 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.0 60/64 |
18.4 59/63 |
– | 4.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[19][20] | 9–12 Dec | 3,000 | 75.8 | 29.9 125/128 |
22.0 88/92 |
3.3 1 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.1 6 |
1.0 6 |
2.0 8 |
0.4 1 |
0.3 1 |
[a] | 17.8 55/62 |
16.3 49/51 |
1.9 7 |
7.9 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[21][22] | 7–11 Dec | 1,100 | 72.7 | 28.1 115/123 |
22.7 85/92 |
3.5 1/3 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.1 5/6 |
1.2 5/6 |
2.0 7/8 |
0.4 0/1 |
0.3 1 |
[a] | 18.1 53/61 |
17.0 47/53 |
2.0 7/8 |
5.4 |
InvyMark/laSexta[23][24][25] | 7–11 Dec | ? | ? | 29.0 | 18.9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.9 | 17.2 | – | 10.1 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[26][27] | 7–11 Dec | 1,500 | ? | 28.8 123 |
19.7 72 |
2.7 1 |
0.2 0 |
– | – | – | ? 7 |
– | – | [a] | 19.9 70 |
17.9 59 |
1.2 7 |
8.9 |
Simple Lógica[28] | 1–11 Dec | 1,005 | 70.3 | 27.0 | 18.2 | 5.2 | 0.6 | – | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | [a] | 20.9 | 17.2 | 2.0 | 6.1 |
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[29] | 1–11 Dec | 1,206 | ? | 26.5 100/120 |
22.7 80/90 |
3.2 4/6 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.1 4/6 |
1.1 4/6 |
2.0 8/11 |
– | 0.2 0/1 |
[a] | 20.3 60/80 |
18.1 45/60 |
1.7 7/9 |
3.8 |
GAD3/ABC[30][31] | 16 Nov–11 Dec | 7,300 | 77 | 28.3 117/124 |
21.2 83/85 |
4.1 3/5 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.1 5 |
1.3 6 |
2.3 8 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
[a] | 18.1 59/63 |
17.6 50/53 |
2.4 9 |
7.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[32][33][34] | 7–10 Dec | 2,800 | 79 | 25.3 105/112 |
21.0 85/94 |
5.0 1/3 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.2 53/67 |
19.1 55/64 |
– | 4.3 |
IBES/Última Hora[35] | 7–10 Dec | 1,800 | ? | 27.7 113/117 |
20.5 86/90 |
4.3 5/7 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.1 5/7 |
1.1 4/6 |
2.1 8/9 |
0.4 0/1 |
0.3 0/1 |
[a] | 19.8 65/69 |
16.2 42/48 |
2.1 8/9 |
7.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[36][37] | 3–9 Dec | 1,500 | ? | 26.5 114/118 |
21.7 82/86 |
4.0 3/4 |
1.0 0 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.6 61/66 |
17.0 51/57 |
– | 4.8 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[38][39] | 1–9 Dec | 8,350 | ? | 27.2 114/119 |
20.3 76/81 |
3.7 3/5 |
– | – | 1.1 4 |
1.2 5 |
2.5 9 |
– | ? 0/1 |
[a] | 19.6 62/69 |
18.4 56/60 |
2.4 9 |
6.9 |
Redondo & Asociados[40][41][42] | 1–9 Dec | 1,500 | ? | 28.3 120 |
20.8 80 |
3.3 1 |
– | – | 1.2 4 |
1.4 6 |
1.9 8 |
– | 0.4 1 |
[a] | 19.8 73 |
16.6 50 |
1.8 7 |
7.5 |
DYM/El Confidencial[43] | 27 Nov–9 Dec | 1,012 | ? | 26.7 | 17.0 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 23.2 | 19.1 | – | 3.5 |
Infortécnica[44][45] | 16 Nov–9 Dec | 2,114 | ? | ? 110/120 |
? 70/76 |
? 2/6 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | ? 66/72 |
? 57/63 |
– | ? |
Encuestamos[46] | 1–7 Dec | 1,800 | ? | 26.7 | 24.9 | 4.9 | – | – | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | – | – | [a] | 16.2 | 16.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
JM&A/Público[47] | 6 Dec | ? | 70.1 | 26.6 118 |
18.8 75 |
3.1 1 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.0 4 |
1.2 6 |
2.0 8 |
0.5 0 |
0.5 1 |
[a] | 21.2 75 |
16.6 51 |
2.2 10 |
5.4 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[48][49] | 23 Nov–6 Dec | 1,035 | ? | 27.9 | 20.4 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 21.9 | 15.1 | – | 6.0 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[50][51] | 30 Nov–4 Dec | 1,000 | ? | 27.8 124 |
19.4 78 |
3.6 1 |
– | – | 0.7 4 |
1.2 7 |
2.1 6 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
[a] | 19.9 63 |
18.2 56 |
3.0 9 |
7.9 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[52] | 30 Nov–4 Dec | 1,100 | 71.7 | 28.2 118/121 |
23.1 90/93 |
3.8 2/3 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.0 5/6 |
1.2 5/6 |
1.9 7/8 |
0.4 0/1 |
0.3 1 |
[a] | 18.8 61/67 |
16.2 46/51 |
2.0 7/8 |
5.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[53][54][55] | 30 Nov–4 Dec | ? | ? | 28.9 | 19.9 | 3.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.7 | 16.0 | – | 9.0 |
A+M/20minutos[56] | 23 Nov–4 Dec | 5,000 | 73.8 | 28.1 112/116 |
21.0 78/82 |
3.8 2 |
– | – | 1.4 6/7 |
1.4 5 |
1.8 9 |
– | 0.1 1 |
[a] | 21.0 70/72 |
15.1 53/54 |
1.6 7/8 |
7.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[57][58] | 23 Nov–4 Dec | 1,500 | 74.6 | 29.8 126/133 |
22.7 89/92 |
3.7 3 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.0 5 |
1.2 6 |
2.0 7/8 |
0.3 1 |
0.4 2 |
[a] | 17.8 55/62 |
15.6 40/45 |
2.1 8/9 |
7.1 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[59][60] | 1–3 Dec | 1,800 | ? | 27.5 117/121 |
19.4 70/74 |
4.0 3/4 |
– | – | – | 1.0 ? |
2.0 8/9 |
– | – | [a] | 21.6 75/79 |
17.2 48/52 |
2.0 8/9 |
5.9 |
GAD3/ABC[61][62] | 10 Nov–3 Dec | 5,700 | 76 | 28.2 120/123 |
21.5 85/87 |
3.7 1/3 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.1 5 |
1.5 5 |
2.2 8 |
0.2 0 |
0.4 1 |
[a] | 17.9 59/63 |
16.6 51/52 |
2.5 9 |
6.7 |
Encuestamos[63] | 25 Nov–1 Dec | 1,800 | ? | 26.5 | 25.2 | 5.3 | – | – | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | [a] | 15.8 | 16.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Redondo & Asociados[64][65] | 25 Nov–1 Dec | 1,500 | ? | 28.1 114 |
21.5 84 |
3.9 2 |
– | – | 1.1 4 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 8 |
– | 0.5 2 |
[a] | 20.2 74 |
15.3 48 |
2.0 7 |
6.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[66][67] | 16–29 Nov | 1,033 | ? | 27.1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 21.6 | 15.5 | – | 5.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[68][69] | 23–28 Nov | 1,816 | ? | 23.9 98/102 |
21.4 82/86 |
4.9 4/6 |
– | – | – | – | 2.7 9/11 |
– | – | [a] | 21.0 76/80 |
16.0 52/56 |
2.0 7/8 |
2.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[70] | 23–27 Nov | 1,100 | ? | 28.1 118/121 |
23.9 95/98 |
3.6 2/3 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.0 5/6 |
1.2 5/6 |
1.9 8/9 |
0.5 0/1 |
0.4 1/2 |
[a] | 18.6 57/61 |
15.3 39/44 |
1.9 8/9 |
4.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[71][72] | 23–27 Nov | 1,200 | ? | 29.5 | 20.8 | 3.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.0 | 14.3 | – | 8.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[73][74] | 9–27 Nov | 3,000 | 74.0 | 29.3 125/130 |
23.1 91/95 |
3.5 3 |
0.3 0 |
– | 0.9 5 |
1.2 6 |
2.0 7/8 |
0.3 1 |
0.4 2 |
[a] | 17.4 52/55 |
15.6 42/46 |
2.1 8/9 |
6.2 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[75][76][77] | 24–26 Nov | 1,500 | ? | 27.1 111/115 |
20.2 78/79 |
3.8 3/5 |
– | – | – | 1.1 5/6 |
2.2 8/9 |
– | – | [a] | 23.0 82/84 |
16.2 43/45 |
2.2 8/9 |
4.1 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[78][79] | 23–26 Nov | 1,500 | ? | 28.3 117 |
21.2 83 |
4.1 2 |
0.2 0 |
– | 1.1 4 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 8 |
– | ? 2 |
[a] | 19.9 72 |
15.5 48 |
2.0 7 |
7.1 |
GAD3/ABC[80][81] | 2–26 Nov | 4,300 | 74.5 | 28.3 125 |
23.1 91 |
4.0 3 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.3 5 |
1.4 5 |
2.5 9 |
0.2 0 |
0.4 1 |
[a] | 17.4 59 |
14.9 41 |
2.5 9 |
5.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[82][83] | 23–25 Nov | 1,200 | 78 | 22.7 | 22.5 | 5.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 22.6 | 17.1 | – | 0.1 |
Encuestamos[84] | 18–24 Nov | 1,800 | ? | 26.6 | 25.4 | 6.2 | – | – | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | [a] | 15.1 | 16.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
Deimos Estadística[85] | 22 Nov | ? | ? | 25.0 111 |
21.7 88 |
5.0 6 |
– | – | 1.6 7 |
1.6 6 |
2.7 10 |
0.5 1 |
0.5 2 |
[a] | 20.2 62 |
16.8 47 |
2.2 8 |
3.3 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[86] | 9–22 Nov | 1,018 | ? | 27.4 | 20.6 | 4.3 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 21.3 | 14.3 | – | 6.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[87] | 16–20 Nov | 1,100 | 71.4 | 27.5 115/118 |
23.9 97/100 |
3.4 2/3 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.0 5/6 |
1.2 5/6 |
1.8 7/8 |
0.5 0/1 |
0.4 1/2 |
[a] | 18.9 59/63 |
15.1 36/42 |
2.0 8/9 |
3.6 |
JM&A/Público[88] | 19 Nov | ? | 69.9 | 27.2 121 |
18.7 76 |
4.2 4 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.2 5 |
1.3 6 |
2.7 11 |
– | 0.5 2 |
[a] | 19.5 70 |
15.9 46 |
2.2 8 |
7.7 |
GAD3/ABC[89][90] | 26 Oct–19 Nov | 3,000 | 75 | 28.5 129 |
22.8 93 |
4.4 2 |
0.2 0 |
– | 1.3 5 |
1.5 5 |
2.6 10 |
0.2 0 |
0.3 0 |
[a] | 16.4 52 |
15.6 44 |
2.2 9 |
5.7 |
Encuestamos[91] | 1–17 Nov | 1,800 | ? | 26.2 | 25.7 | 6.8 | – | – | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | – | – | [a] | 15.0 | 15.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
Simple Lógica[92] | 2–16 Nov | 1,746 | 74.5 | 26.5 | 20.4 | 4.5 | 0.6 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | – | [a] | 21.9 | 16.9 | 1.6 | 4.6 |
CIS[93][94] | 27 Oct–16 Nov | 17,452 | ? | 28.6 120/128 |
20.8 77/89 |
3.6 3/4 |
0.7 0 |
– | 1.2 6/7 |
1.1 5 |
1.9 7 |
0.3 0 |
0.3 1 |
[a] | 19.0 63/66 |
15.7 45/49 |
2.2 0 |
7.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[95][96] | 2–15 Nov | 1,018 | ? | 26.4 | 20.5 | 5.1 | 0.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 20.4 | 14.2 | – | 5.9 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[97][98] | 11–13 Nov | ? | ? | 27.3 112/115 |
20.3 77/79 |
4.7 5/6 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 21.4 73/75 |
15.7 42/44 |
– | 5.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[71][99] | 9–13 Nov | ? | ? | 28.5 | 22.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 18.2 | 14.0 | – | 6.7 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[100] | 9–13 Nov | 1,100 | 71.2 | 27.1 114/118 |
23.8 97/101 |
3.5 2/3 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.0 5/6 |
1.3 5/6 |
1.7 7/8 |
0.5 0/1 |
0.4 1/2 |
[a] | 19.5 63/68 |
14.6 33/39 |
2.1 8/9 |
3.3 |
GAD3/ABC[101][102] | 19 Oct–12 Nov | 3,100 | 75 | 27.9 127 |
22.1 89 |
4.9 5 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.4 6 |
1.6 6 |
2.5 9 |
0.4 1 |
0.4 1 |
0.9 2 |
17.9 56 |
13.7 37 |
2.2 9 |
5.8 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[103] | 28 Oct–9 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 29.4 | 19.3 | 3.7 | 0.6 | – | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | – | 20.9 | 15.2 | 2.7 | 8.5 |
IBES/Última Hora[104] | 8 Nov | 2,508 | ? | 27.4 118 |
20.3 93 |
4.4 6 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.2 6 |
1.0 6 |
3.1 10 |
0.4 0 |
0.2 1 |
0.5 2 |
18.0 58 |
15.0 40 |
2.8 9 |
7.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[105][106] | 26 Oct–8 Nov | 1,014 | ? | 26.3 | 19.6 | 4.7 | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.2 | 15.0 | – | 6.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[107][108] | 2–6 Nov | 1,100 | 71.1 | 26.4 118/122 |
24.0 102/104 |
4.2 4/5 |
0.6 0 |
– | 1.1 6/7 |
1.3 5/6 |
1.7 6/7 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.1 4 |
21.1 58/62 |
10.8 26/30 |
2.3 9/10 |
2.4 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[109][110] | 29 Oct–6 Nov | 1,800 | ? | 29.0 123 |
22.3 91 |
5.3 8 |
0.6 0 |
– | – | ? 6 |
? 7 |
– | – | – | 18.1 64 |
13.4 32 |
2.4 9 |
6.7 |
JM&A/Público[111] | 4 Nov | ? | 68.3 | 28.0 125 |
18.2 72 |
3.7 2 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.3 6 |
1.3 6 |
1.9 8 |
– | 0.6 2 |
0.9 1 |
19.7 68 |
14.8 44 |
3.0 13 |
8.3 |
GAD3/ABC[112][113] | 14 Oct–4 Nov | 3,300 | 75.5 | 28.1 128 |
22.4 89 |
4.6 5 |
0.2 0 |
– | 1.4 5 |
1.6 6 |
2.5 10 |
0.5 2 |
0.5 2 |
0.9 2 |
17.7 55 |
13.2 35 |
2.4 9 |
5.7 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[114][115] | 19 Oct–1 Nov | 1,010 | ? | 26.7 | 19.3 | 4.4 | 0.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.8 | 15.4 | – | 6.9 |
GAD3/ABC[116][117] | 14–29 Oct | 2,800 | 75.5 | 27.8 128 |
22.1 88 |
4.4 5 |
0.2 0 |
– | 1.4 5 |
1.6 6 |
2.6 9 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 2 |
0.9 2 |
17.5 55 |
13.9 37 |
2.6 9 |
5.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[118][119] | 26–28 Oct | 1,400 | 77 | 23.5 93/100 |
21.0 88/98 |
6.3 5 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 72/84 |
17.0 42/46 |
– | 1.0 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[120][121] | 22–26 Oct | 1,001 | ? | 26.3 | 21.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 | 14.9 | – | 4.7 |
DYM/El Confidencial[122] | 15–26 Oct | 1,002 | ? | 27.0 | 18.2 | 6.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.3 | 13.8 | – | 6.7 |
Encuestamos[123] | 3–26 Oct | 1,800 | ? | 23.5 | 26.3 | 7.7 | – | – | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | – | – | – | 15.2 | 15.4 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[124][125] | 12–25 Oct | 1,009 | ? | 26.0 | 20.5 | 4.4 | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.2 | 14.6 | – | 5.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[126][127] | 19–23 Oct | ? | ? | 28.6 | 23.9 | 3.0 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.3 | 13.5 | – | 4.7 |
JM&A/Público[128] | 22 Oct | ? | 71.1 | 27.4 120 |
22.9 94 |
3.7 2 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.1 5 |
1.2 6 |
1.6 7 |
– | 0.6 2 |
0.7 1 |
17.7 59 |
14.5 39 |
2.9 12 |
4.5 |
Demoscopia Servicios/13TV[129][130] | 19–22 Oct | 1,500 | ? | 29.5 127 |
24.1 92 |
4.5 4 |
– | – | 1.0 4 |
1.3 6 |
1.6 6 |
– | ? 1 |
? 1 |
16.6 57 |
13.7 41 |
2.5 10 |
5.4 |
GAD3/ABC[131][132] | 14 Sep–19 Oct | 2,600 | 75.5 | 27.7 128 |
21.8 84 |
4.1 4 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.5 6 |
1.6 6 |
2.5 9 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 2 |
0.9 1 |
17.6 56 |
14.1 39 |
2.7 11 |
5.9 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[133][134] | 5–18 Oct | 1,050 | ? | 26.7 | 21.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | 14.3 | – | 5.4 |
NC Report/La Razón[135][136] | 12–17 Oct | 1,500 | 69.8 | 31.3 125/130 |
24.9 109/112 |
4.1 3/5 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.1 5/6 |
1.3 7/8 |
1.9 6/7 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.1 3/4 |
15.4 32/38 |
10.3 23/25 |
2.2 9/10 |
6.4 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[137][138] | 13–15 Oct | 1,800 | ? | 27.4 | 23.7 | 4.1 | – | – | – | 1.5 | 2.0 | – | – | – | 18.1 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 3.7 |
NC Report[139] | 8–15 Oct | ? | ? | 30.9 | 24.5 | 4.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.9 | 12.4 | – | 6.4 |
CIS[140][141][142] | 1–12 Oct | 2,493 | ? | 29.1 130 |
25.3 109 |
4.7 5 |
1.2 0 |
– | 1.2 ? |
0.7 ? |
2.2 8 |
0.5 ? |
0.6 ? |
1.4 ? |
14.7 48 |
10.8 25 |
2.9 11 |
3.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[143][144] | 28 Sep–11 Oct | 1,072 | ? | 26.9 | 21.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 | 14.2 | – | 5.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[145] | 5–9 Oct | ? | ? | 27.6 | 24.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | – | – | 1.4 | 2.6 | – | – | – | 17.2 | 16.1 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
Simple Lógica[146] | 1–9 Oct | 1,047 | 70.0 | 28.0 | 20.3 | 6.2 | 0.7 | – | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | 22.6 | 11.9 | 1.7 | 5.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[147][148] | 7–8 Oct | 1,200 | 77 | 23.4 | 23.5 | 5.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.5 | 14.1 | – | 0.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[149][150] | 1–7 Oct | 1,100 | 70.8 | 28.9 121/125 |
27.1 106/108 |
4.4 4/5 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.0 6/7 |
1.3 5/6 |
1.5 6/7 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.0 3 |
16.2 56/59 |
10.1 20/23 |
2.0 8/9 |
1.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[151] | 21 Sep–4 Oct | 1,040 | ? | 27.0 | 21.9 | 4.5 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 | 14.8 | – | 5.1 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[152][153] | 29 Sep–2 Oct | 1,000 | ? | 30.4 139 |
26.5 111 |
4.4 7 |
0.3 0 |
– | – | ? 6 |
? 6 |
– | – | – | 12.3 27 |
16.7 36 |
2.2 8 |
3.9 |
NC Report/La Razón[154][155] | 28 Sep–2 Oct | 1,500 | 69.1 | 33.8 136/139 |
24.8 108/112 |
4.2 3/5 |
0.4 0 |
– | 1.2 5/6 |
1.2 7/8 |
2.0 7/8 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.2 3/4 |
11.7 26/28 |
11.2 26/27 |
2.5 9/10 |
9.0 |
Intercampo/GETS[156] | 8 Sep–2 Oct | 2,321 | ? | 25.0– 28.0 |
29.0– 32.0 |
4.0– 6.0 |
0.1– 0.3 |
– | – | 1.4– 2.0 |
2.0– 4.0 |
– | – | – | 11.0– 15.0 |
16.0– 18.0 |
0.7– 1.5 |
4.0 |
JM&A/Público[157] | 1 Oct | ? | 69.8 | 28.3 124 |
22.7 96 |
3.7 2 |
0.5 0 |
– | 0.9 3 |
1.2 6 |
1.8 8 |
– | 0.6 3 |
1.1 3 |
15.4 42 |
15.0 48 |
3.1 11 |
5.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[158][159] | 14–27 Sep | 1,060 | ? | 27.9 | 23.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.0 | 15.9 | – | 4.9 |
Podemos[160] | 10–24 Sep | 1,738 | ? | 27.0– 29.0 |
19.0– 21.0 |
3.0– 4.0 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.0– 21.0 |
19.0– 21.0 |
– | 8.0 |
Encuestamos[161] | 3–24 Sep | 1,600 | ? | 26.2 | 26.1 | 6.1 | – | – | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 11.0 | 17.9 | 2.5 | 0.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[162] | 7–20 Sep | 1,054 | ? | 28.6 | 22.5 | 4.8 | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.7 | 16.2 | – | 6.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[163][164] | 31 Aug–13 Sep | 1,040 | ? | 29.0 | 22.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.2 | 16.5 | – | 7.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[165][166][167] | 7–11 Sep | 1,800 | 73 | 23.4 | 24.6 | 5.0 | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.1 | 18.6 | – | 1.2 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[168][169] | 3–11 Sep | 1,800 | ? | 31.7 153 |
25.6 102 |
3.9 5 |
0.4 0 |
– | – | ? 6 |
? 5 |
– | – | – | 10.5 18 |
18.2 41 |
2.3 9 |
6.1 |
Simple Lógica[146][170] | 1–9 Sep | ? | ? | 28.0 | 19.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 | – | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | 19.6 | 16.1 | 2.8 | 8.4 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[171][172] | 1–7 Sep | 1,100 | 66.8 | 32.0 134/137 |
27.4 116/120 |
4.6 2/4 |
0.6 0 |
– | 1.1 5/6 |
1.3 5/7 |
1.6 8/9 |
0.8 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.1 3/5 |
10.0 17/19 |
12.2 31/36 |
2.1 10/11 |
4.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[173][174] | 24 Aug–6 Sep | 1,096 | ? | 28.6 | 22.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.7 | 16.0 | – | 6.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[175][176] | 26 Aug–5 Sep | 1,000 | ? | 31.5 118 |
22.7 85 |
3.7 14 |
0.5 2 |
– | 0.8 3 |
1.1 4 |
1.6 6 |
0.5 2 |
0.3 1 |
– | 11.8 44 |
16.3 61 |
2.4 9 |
8.8 |
JM&A/Público[177] | 30 Aug | ? | 69.8 | 29.5 127 |
22.4 93 |
3.3 2 |
0.6 0 |
– | 0.9 3 |
1.2 6 |
1.8 8 |
– | 0.6 3 |
1.1 3 |
12.7 33 |
16.7 56 |
3.1 12 |
7.1 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[178][179] | 17–30 Aug | 1,118 | ? | 28.5 | 22.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.3 | 16.2 | – | 5.7 |
NC Report/La Razón[180][181] | 25–29 Aug | 900 | 67.3 | 32.1 138/141 |
24.9 107/114 |
4.4 4/5 |
1.0 0/1 |
– | 1.1 5 |
1.3 5 |
1.7 7/8 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.5 2/3 |
10.4 21/23 |
12.1 30/32 |
2.3 8/9 |
7.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[182][183] | 20–27 Aug | 1,001 | ? | 28.3 | 25.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.3 | 15.4 | – | 2.4 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[184][185] | 10–23 Aug | 1,112 | ? | 27.3 | 22.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.2 | 16.3 | – | 4.7 |
Encuestamos[186] | 1–23 Aug | 1,500 | ? | 27.5 | 26.0 | 5.7 | – | – | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 8.6 | 19.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[187][188] | 3–16 Aug | 1,086 | ? | 27.0 | 22.9 | 4.5 | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.9 | 16.5 | – | 4.1 |
Simple Lógica[189] | 3–11 Aug | 1,022 | 72.2 | 29.9 | 21.4 | 5.4 | 1.2 | – | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 17.1 | 16.5 | 1.2 | 8.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[190][191] | 27 Jul–9 Aug | 1,080 | ? | 26.4 | 22.4 | 4.7 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.4 | 16.8 | – | 4.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[192] | 3–7 Aug | 1,100 | 66.3 | 31.4 135/137 |
27.6 118/121 |
4.6 2/4 |
0.8 0 |
– | 0.9 5/6 |
1.1 5/7 |
1.6 8/9 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.2 3/4 |
9.9 18/20 |
11.9 30/34 |
2.0 8/9 |
3.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[193] | 20 Jul–2 Aug | 1,075 | ? | 25.7 | 22.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.6 | 16.9 | – | 2.8 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[194][195] | 13–26 Jul | 920 | ? | 26.8 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.7 | 17.6 | – | 3.8 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[196][197] | 16–24 Jul | 1,800 | ? | 30.5 142 |
25.1 98 |
3.3 4 |
0.7 0 |
– | – | ? 6 |
? 6 |
– | – | – | 10.6 17 |
19.3 56 |
2.5 10 |
5.4 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[198][199] | 21–23 Jul | 1,800 | ? | 28.8 | 24.2 | 4.2 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 11.1 | 20.3 | 2.1 | 4.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[200] | 20–22 Jul | 1,000 | 72 | 23.1 | 23.5 | 5.6 | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.0 | 18.1 | – | 0.4 |
Encuestamos[201] | 1–20 Jul | 1,450 | ? | 26.0 | 25.4 | 4.1 | – | – | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 9.2 | 21.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[202][203] | 6–19 Jul | 910 | ? | 27.1 | 22.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.5 | 18.6 | – | 4.5 |
NC Report[204] | 8–16 Jul | 955 | ? | 31.7 | 24.8 | 4.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.0 | 12.3 | – | 6.9 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[205] | 29 Jun–12 Jul | 1,000 | ? | 26.1 | 22.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.6 | 19.1 | – | 3.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[206][207] | 6–10 Jul | 1,200 | ? | 27.7 | 23.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | – | – | 1.4 | 2.8 | – | – | – | 11.5 | 21.9 | 2.6 | 4.4 |
CIS[208][209][210] | 1–9 Jul | 2,486 | ? | 28.2 126 |
24.9 105 |
3.7 2 |
1.3 ? |
– | 1.1 3 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 8 |
0.7 ? |
0.4 ? |
1.2 ? |
11.1 26 |
15.7 53 |
3.3 14 |
3.3 |
Simple Lógica[211] | 1–9 Jul | 1,040 | 71.5 | 26.2 | 23.1 | 5.4 | 0.5 | – | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 18.4 | 14.9 | 1.4 | 3.1 |
GAD3/ABC[212] | 23 Jun–8 Jul | 1,000 | 71 | 29.1 131 |
25.5 106 |
3.6 2 |
0.3 0 |
– | 1.3 6 |
1.2 5 |
2.3 9 |
0.6 2 |
0.6 2 |
0.9 2 |
12.1 32 |
15.0 41 |
2.7 11 |
3.6 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[213][214] | 1–7 Jul | 1,100 | 66.0 | 30.7 133/135 |
27.4 118/123 |
4.8 3/5 |
1.0 0 |
– | 0.9 5/6 |
1.1 5/7 |
1.7 8/9 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.2 3/4 |
10.2 20/21 |
13.3 33/37 |
1.8 7/8 |
3.3 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[215] | 22 Jun–5 Jul | ? | ? | 26.0 | 22.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.5 | 19.2 | – | 3.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[216][217] | 1–2 Jul | 1,000 | 72 | 23.0 | 22.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.0 | 21.5 | – | 0.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[215] | 15–28 Jun | ? | ? | 26.9 | 22.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.7 | 19.3 | – | 4.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[218][219] | 22–27 Jun | 900 | 66.9 | 31.2 136/144 |
24.4 108/116 |
4.4 4/6 |
1.1 0/1 |
– | 1.1 5 |
1.2 5 |
1.8 7/8 |
0.5 1 |
0.3 1 |
1.5 3 |
11.6 25/27 |
12.5 30/33 |
2.2 8/9 |
6.8 |
InvyMark/laSexta[220][221] | 22–26 Jun | 1,200 | ? | 25.9 | 23.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | – | 1.4 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 13.2 | 23.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[222][223] | 16–26 Jun | 1,800 | ? | 29.2 131 |
24.4 92 |
2.8 2 |
0.6 0 |
2.6 12 |
1.0 5 |
1.2 6 |
1.6 6 |
0.4 0 |
0.7 3 |
0.7 3 |
11.8 23 |
20.2 65 |
– | 4.8 |
Encuestamos[224] | 1–23 Jun | 1,450 | ? | 25.7 | 25.2 | 4.3 | – | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 21.4 | – | 0.5 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[215] | 8–21 Jun | ? | ? | 26.6 | 22.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.8 | 19.7 | – | 4.6 |
JM&A/Público[225] | 19 Jun | ? | ? | 26.8 118 |
22.7 95 |
3.9 2 |
0.6 0 |
? 11 |
? 3 |
? 5 |
? 7 |
– | – | – | 14.7 43 |
17.1 58 |
– | 3.3 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[226][227][228] | 15–17 Jun | 1,800 | ? | 27.0 | 26.1 | 4.1 | – | 2.5 | – | 1.5 | 2.5 | – | – | – | 10.3 | 20.2 | – | 0.9 |
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[229][230] | 1–14 Jun | 1,087 | ? | 23.8 | 21.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.5 | 19.2 | – | 2.7 |
Simple Lógica[211] | 1–10 Jun | 1,026 | ? | 23.8 | 19.4 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | 17.3 | 23.3 | – | 0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón[231][232] | 2–6 Jun | 900 | 66.6 | 29.7 134/144 |
24.2 106/108 |
4.9 5/7 |
1.4 0/1 |
2.5 10/12 |
1.0 5 |
1.3 5 |
1.9 7/9 |
0.5 1 |
0.3 1 |
1.4 2/3 |
11.6 28/30 |
12.1 28/30 |
– | 5.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[233][234] | 1–5 Jun | 1,100 | 65.9 | 30.1 134/138 |
27.2 118/125 |
4.7 4/6 |
1.0 0 |
2.6 10/11 |
1.0 4/5 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.9 8/9 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 1/2 |
1.3 3 |
10.5 20/22 |
13.2 31/35 |
– | 2.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[235][236] | 28 May–2 Jun | 2,000 | 72 | 24.5 | 23.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.0 | 21.5 | – | 1.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[237][238] | 25–29 May | 1,200 | ? | 25.4 | 22.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.6 | – | 1.4 | 2.8 | – | – | – | 15.2 | 21.9 | – | 3.4 |
2015 local elections | 24 May | — | 64.8 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 6.6 | – | – | 2.0 |
JM&A/Público[239] | 18 May | ? | ? | ? 115 |
? 94 |
? 3 |
? 0 |
? 12 |
? 4 |
? 6 |
? 8 |
– | – | – | ? 45 |
? 59 |
– | ? |
JM&A/Público[240] | 13 May | ? | 65.3 | 25.7 111 |
22.4 93 |
3.7 2 |
0.6 0 |
? 12 |
? 4 |
? 6 |
? 8 |
– | – | – | 15.3 46 |
17.7 64 |
– | 3.3 |
Simple Lógica[211] | 4–12 May | 1,064 | ? | 25.9 | 19.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | 18.9 | 18.6 | – | 6.7 |
Encuestamos[241] | 1–12 May | 1,000 | ? | 23.0 | 24.3 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 14.9 | 20.7 | – | 1.3 |
Celeste-Tel[242] | 4–8 May | 1,100 | 65.3 | 29.2 132/136 |
26.6 120/123 |
5.2 7/8 |
1.2 1/2 |
2.5 9/10 |
1.0 5/6 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.8 7/8 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.6 2 |
1.0 2/3 |
12.1 22/25 |
12.9 26/32 |
– | 2.6 |
NC Report/La Razón[243][244] | 20–25 Apr | 900 | ? | 28.6 | 23.8 | 6.8 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.0 | 12.9 | – | 4.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[245][246] | 17–22 Apr | 1,000 | ? | 22.0 | 21.0 | 3.1 | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.4 | 17.9 | – | 1.0 |
Encuestamos[247] | 2–20 Apr | 1,000 | ? | 22.9 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – | – | 15.8 | 21.2 | – | 1.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[248] | 13–17 Apr | ? | ? | 26.2 | 21.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 2.7 | – | 1.3 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 17.6 | 19.4 | – | 5.2 |
NC Report[204] | 8–16 Apr | ? | ? | 28.6 | 23.7 | 6.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.7 | 13.2 | – | 4.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico[249][250] | 8–13 Apr | 1,000 | ? | 23.5 102/107 |
19.1 75/78 |
3.7 2/4 |
1.4 1/2 |
2.9 10/12 |
– | – | 1.9 6/8 |
– | – | – | 17.7 55/59 |
20.1 78/82 |
– | 3.4 |
Simple Lógica[251] | 1–13 Apr | 1,059 | 67.4 | 21.3 | 21.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | 20.8 | 21.3 | – | Tie |
CIS[252][253][254] | 1–12 Apr | 2,479 | ? | 25.6 112 |
24.3 102 |
4.8 ? |
1.9 ? |
3.2 ? |
0.9 ? |
0.7 ? |
2.0 ? |
0.6 ? |
0.5 ? |
0.8 ? |
13.8 41 |
16.5 57 |
– | 1.3 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[255][256] | 7–9 Apr | 1,800 | ? | 26.6 | 19.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | – | 1.2 | 2.3 | – | – | – | 16.6 | 20.9 | – | 5.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[257][258] | 7–9 Apr | 1,000 | 74 | 20.8 | 21.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.4 | 22.1 | – | 0.2 |
Celeste-Tel[259] | 1–8 Apr | 1,100 | 64.6 | 29.5 134/138 |
26.6 120/123 |
5.1 7/8 |
1.3 1/2 |
2.4 9/10 |
1.0 5/6 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.8 7/8 |
0.8 1/2 |
0.7 2 |
0.9 2/3 |
12.1 22/25 |
12.8 25/31 |
– | 2.9 |
NC Report/La Razón[260][261] | 30 Mar–2 Apr | 900 | 65.6 | 29.7 136/142 |
23.5 99/107 |
6.0 8/10 |
2.4 2/3 |
2.7 11/12 |
0.9 5 |
1.2 5 |
2.1 8/9 |
0.4 1 |
0.4 2 |
0.7 2 |
10.5 21/27 |
14.1 35/41 |
– | 6.2 |
Intercampo/GETS[262] | 13–29 Mar | 2,024 | 80 | 26.0– 27.0 |
27.0– 28.0 |
4.0– 5.0 |
1.0– 1.5 |
1.5– 2.0 |
– | 1.0– 1.5 |
1.5– 2.5 |
– | – | – | 10.0– 11.0 |
21.0– 22.0 |
– | 1.0 |
InvyMark/laSexta[263][264] | 23–27 Mar | 1,200 | ? | 26.4 | 20.3 | 3.0 | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.8 | 20.8 | – | 5.6 |
Encuestamos[265] | 26 Mar | 900 | ? | 23.7 | 23.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 14.7 | 21.7 | – | 0.1 |
Simple Lógica[266] | 2–13 Mar | 1,058 | 70.5 | 23.0 | 18.7 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 21.0 | – | 2.0 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[267][268] | 4–9 Mar | 1,000 | ? | 22.0 | 19.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.8 | 23.4 | – | 1.4 |
Celeste-Tel[269] | 2–6 Mar | 1,100 | 63.6 | 30.9 139/143 |
26.4 118/121 |
4.9 8/9 |
1.3 1/2 |
2.4 8/9 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.0 5/6 |
1.9 7/8 |
0.8 1/2 |
0.7 2/3 |
0.6 2 |
11.7 20/23 |
12.2 22/28 |
– | 4.5 |
Metroscopia/El País[270][271] | 3–4 Mar | 1,000 | 74.6 | 18.6 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 3.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.4 | 22.5 | – | 2.3 |
JM&A/El Español[272][273] | 1 Mar | ? | 68.0 | 25.9 114 |
18.6 80 |
4.3 4 |
3.1 2 |
2.8 11 |
1.2 5 |
1.1 5 |
2.0 8 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
0.6 1 |
9.4 19 |
24.1 99 |
– | 1.8 |
Encuestamos[274] | 26 Feb | 600 | ? | 25.5 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | – | – | – | 10.1 | 25.4 | – | 0.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[275][276] | 23–26 Feb | ? | ? | 27.8 | 21.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 | – | 1.3 | 2.8 | – | – | – | 6.4 | 23.6 | – | 4.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[277][278] | 15 Feb | ? | 65.4 | 29.3 125/136 |
22.8 87/91 |
5.5 6/9 |
3.8 2/4 |
2.6 11 |
0.8 4 |
1.2 6 |
2.0 9 |
0.4 1 |
0.4 2 |
0.6 2 |
3.3 7 |
22.5 71/74 |
– | 6.5 |
JM&A/El Español[279][280] | 14 Feb | ? | 65.1 | 27.1 121 |
19.6 84 |
4.5 5 |
3.5 3 |
2.9 11 |
1.0 3 |
1.0 5 |
2.3 9 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
0.7 2 |
4.0 8 |
25.6 96 |
– | 1.5 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[281][282] | 9–12 Feb | 1,800 | ? | 29.6 | 20.1 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 | – | 1.2 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 7.3 | 25.8 | – | 3.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[283][284] | 9–11 Feb | 1,000 | ? | 22.5 | 19.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.4 | 24.6 | – | 2.1 |
Simple Lógica[285] | 2–9 Feb | 1,058 | 71.0 | 26.8 | 17.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 8.5 | 29.6 | – | 2.8 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[286][287] | 2–6 Feb | 1,100 | 59.4 | 31.8 132/139 |
24.4 90/93 |
4.5 6/8 |
3.0 3/4 |
2.2 8/9 |
1.0 5/6 |
1.0 5/6 |
2.0 8/9 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.6 2 |
6.2 10/11 |
18.3 61/64 |
– | 7.4 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[288][289] | 2–6 Feb | ? | ? | 28.3 133 |
21.8 75 |
4.9 9 |
3.9 7 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.5 10 |
25.3 78 |
– | 3.0 |
InvyMark/laSexta[290][291][292] | 2–6 Feb | 1,200 | ? | 26.1 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 2.9 | – | 1.2 | 3.1 | – | – | – | 3.8 | 26.0 | – | 0.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[293][294] | 3–4 Feb | 1,000 | 72.0 | 20.9 | 18.3 | 6.5 | 4.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.2 | 27.7 | – | 6.8 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[295][296] | 26–29 Jan | 1,000 | ? | 27.1 | 21.4 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | – | – | 2.4 | – | – | – | 5.0 | 26.3 | – | 0.8 |
Encuestamos[297] | 23 Jan | ? | ? | 22.0 | 19.1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 30.2 | – | 8.2 |
GAD3/ABC[298][299] | 9–16 Jan | 1,000 | 76 | 29.3 132 |
19.2 80 |
3.7 2 |
4.8 5 |
2.8 11 |
1.0 3 |
1.3 6 |
1.8 8 |
– | – | 1.4 1 |
6.3 11 |
21.1 89 |
– | 8.2 |
NC Report[204] | 7–15 Jan | ? | ? | 29.3 | 23.0 | 5.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.8 | 23.2 | – | 6.1 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[300] | 12–14 Jan | 1,800 | ? | 29.4 | 19.4 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | – | 1.1 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 4.6 | 26.2 | – | 3.2 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 7–14 Jan | 1,025 | 68.6 | 24.5 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 2.3 | – | 0.4 | – | – | – | – | 5.8 | 30.8 | – | 6.3 |
CIS[302][303][304] | 2–12 Jan | 2,481 | ? | 27.3 120 |
22.2 91 |
5.2 6 |
4.6 4 |
3.0 14 |
1.0 4 |
0.7 3 |
1.6 6 |
0.5 ? |
0.5 ? |
0.6 ? |
3.1 3 |
23.9 96 |
– | 3.4 |
PP[305][306] | 9–10 Jan | ? | ? | 28.0– 29.0 |
20.0– 21.0 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24.0– 26.0 |
– | 3.0– 4.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[307][308] | 2–9 Jan | 1,100 | 60.2 | 31.1 128/135 |
23.8 89/92 |
4.7 7/9 |
2.7 3/4 |
2.1 9/10 |
1.1 6/7 |
1.0 5/6 |
2.0 9/10 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.5 2/3 |
0.6 2 |
4.5 9/10 |
20.9 62/65 |
– | 7.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[309][310] | 7–8 Jan | 1,000 | 71.6 | 19.2 | 23.5 | 5.3 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.1 | 28.2 | – | 4.7 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[311][312] | 30 Dec–6 Jan | 1,001 | ? | 24.6 | 19.0 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 1.9 | – | – | 2.4 | – | – | – | 5.0 | 27.5 | – | 2.9 |
2014
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Lead |
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NC Report/La Razón[313][314] | 9–30 Dec | 1,600 | 66.1 | 28.6 113/120 |
23.4 86/90 |
5.1 6/10 |
3.9 3/4 |
2.6 11/12 |
0.8 4 |
1.3 6 |
2.0 9/10 |
? 1 |
? 2 |
? 2 |
2.8 4/7 |
23.2 73/77 |
5.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[315][316] | 15–19 Dec | 1,200 | ? | 25.5 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 2.9 | – | 1.2 | 3.1 | – | – | – | 3.1 | 25.3 | 0.2 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[317][318] | 12–18 Dec | 1,800 | ? | 26.5 | 18.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.8 | – | 1.1 | 2.8 | – | – | – | 3.1 | 28.7 | 2.2 |
GESOP/El Periódico[319][320][321] | 9–15 Dec | 1,000 | ? | 26.1 115/118 |
19.8 77/80 |
4.1 2/4 |
6.5 8/10 |
2.9 9/10 |
– | – | 2.2 8/9 |
– | – | – | 3.8 3/5 |
25.6 101/104 |
0.5 |
DYM/El Confidencial[322] | 13 Dec | ? | ? | 26.1 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.2 | 29.6 | 3.5 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 1–10 Dec | 1,039 | ? | 23.1 | 19.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 0.9 | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 31.1 | 8.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[323][324] | 1–5 Dec | 1,100 | 60.7 | 29.9 125/130 |
24.1 89/94 |
4.9 10/11 |
3.2 5/6 |
2.0 9/10 |
1.0 6/7 |
1.0 5/6 |
2.1 9/10 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.7 2/3 |
3.9 8/10 |
21.7 60/66 |
5.8 |
InvyMark/laSexta[325][326] | 1–5 Dec | ? | ? | 25.7 | 21.8 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.0 | – | – | 3.1 | – | – | – | 2.7 | 24.8 | 0.9 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[327] | 2–4 Dec | 1,000 | ? | 26.5 | 19.6 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | – | 1.0 | 2.6 | – | – | – | 2.4 | 29.1 | 2.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[328][329] | 2–3 Dec | 1,000 | 73 | 20.0 | 27.7 | 5.6 | 4.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.0 | 2.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[330][331] | 17–19 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 26.3 | 20.1 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 | – | – | – | 2.5 | 28.3 | 2.0 |
JM&A[332] | 14 Nov | ? | 66.9 | 27.7 123 |
22.0 94 |
5.5 10 |
4.0 5 |
2.9 12 |
1.0 3 |
1.0 4 |
2.6 10 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
0.6 1 |
2.6 3 |
22.0 80 |
5.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[333][334] | 10–14 Nov | ? | ? | 26.0 | 21.6 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 2.9 | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | – | 2.3 | 24.7 | 1.3 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 1–12 Nov | 1,030 | ? | 25.0 | 18.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | – | 31.1 | 6.1 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[335][336] | 3–7 Nov | 1,100 | 61.6 | 30.5 127/131 |
24.5 92/97 |
4.4 11/12 |
3.2 6/7 |
1.8 8/9 |
1.0 6/7 |
1.0 5/6 |
2.2 10/11 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.6 2/3 |
4.0 8/10 |
21.6 57/61 |
6.0 |
DYM/El Confidencial[337] | 28 Oct–6 Nov | 985 | ? | 26.9 | 19.5 | 7.3 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 | 26.3 | 0.6 |
Llorente & Cuenca[338] | 31 Oct | ? | ? | 25.1 | 22.6 | 8.7 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 2.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[339][340][341] | 27–31 Oct | ? | ? | 26.4 | 20.5 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 2.6 | – | – | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | 22.7 | 3.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[342][343] | 28–29 Oct | 1,000 | 70.5 | 20.7 | 26.2 | 3.8 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27.7 | 1.5 |
Asturbarómetro/ICNdiario[344][345] | 10–25 Oct | 402 | ? | 29.5 | 23.9 | 5.8 | 5.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.0 | 5.6 |
InvyMark/laSexta[346][347][348] | 13–17 Oct | ? | ? | 28.2 | 21.4 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 2.7 | – | 1.2 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | 18.6 | 6.8 |
Sigma Dos/Mediaset[349][350] | 13–16 Oct | 1,100 | ? | 28.3 | 23.7 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | – | 1.2 | 2.6 | – | – | – | 1.8 | 24.1 | 3.7 |
CIS[351][352][353] | 1–13 Oct | 2,480 | ? | 27.5 120 |
23.9 101 |
4.8 6 |
4.1 3 |
3.8 15 |
0.9 3 |
1.0 4 |
2.3 8 |
0.4 ? |
0.3 ? |
1.1 ? |
2.1 ? |
22.5 87 |
3.6 |
Intercampo/GETS[354] | 15 Sep–12 Oct | 1,724 | 60–70 | 20.0– 22.0 |
31.0– 34.0 |
6.0– 9.0 |
2.0– 3.0 |
1.0– 1.5 |
– | 1.3– 1.6 |
2.5– 3.5 |
– | – | – | – | 21.0– 24.0 |
10.0 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 3–10 Oct | ? | ? | 29.7 | 24.6 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 23.3 | 5.1 |
JM&A[332] | 9 Oct | ? | 60.4 | 32.6 147 |
21.6 90 |
5.5 9 |
5.4 8 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.4 54 |
11.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[355][356] | 1–7 Oct | 1,100 | 61.7 | 32.6 137/141 |
25.4 90/98 |
5.4 13/15 |
3.4 6/8 |
2.3 10/11 |
1.0 6/7 |
1.0 5/6 |
1.9 8/9 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.7 2/3 |
3.6 7/9 |
17.1 42/51 |
7.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[357][358][359] | 29 Sep–3 Oct | ? | ? | 28.6 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 2.8 | – | 1.2 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | 17.9 | 7.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[360][361] | 29–30 Sep | 1,000 | 70 | 30.2 | 30.9 | 5.2 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.8 | 0.7 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[362][363] | 22–26 Sep | ? | ? | 32.7 151 |
24.2 89 |
5.2 12 |
4.3 8 |
? 9 |
? 6 |
? 6 |
? 8 |
– | – | – | 3.1 5 |
20.4 48 |
4.0 |
InvyMark/laSexta[364][365][366] | 15–19 Sep | ? | ? | 29.2 | 20.7 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 2.8 | – | 1.2 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | 17.6 | 8.5 |
NC Report[367] | 8–12 Sep | 955 | ? | 34.2 | 23.3 | 5.8 | 4.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 | 10.9 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 5–12 Sep | ? | ? | 32.8 | 20.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 23.1 | 9.7 |
Celeste-Tel[368] | 1–5 Sep | 1,100 | 60.1 | 33.1 142/149 |
24.5 89/96 |
4.7 11/14 |
4.0 7/9 |
2.5 10/11 |
1.1 6/7 |
1.0 5/6 |
2.0 8/9 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.9 2/3 |
3.7 7/9 |
16.1 36/44 |
8.6 |
NC Report/La Razón[369][370] | 25–30 Aug | 900 | 61.3 | 33.9 132/138 |
23.4 89/93 |
5.6 9/13 |
4.4 7/10 |
2.8 9/11 |
1.2 6 |
1.3 5 |
2.2 8/10 |
0.6 1/2 |
1.0 2 |
0.9 2 |
2.6 4/6 |
15.0 56/60 |
10.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[371][372] | 26–28 Aug | 1,000 | ? | 30.1 | 22.3 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | 21.2 | 7.8 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 1–8 Aug | 1,053 | ? | 29.4 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 | – | 0.8 | – | – | – | – | – | 28.4 | 1.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[373][374] | 18–24 Jul | 1,100 | 59.4 | 33.8 143/151 |
24.1 90/94 |
5.0 11/15 |
4.7 9/11 |
2.9 12/13 |
1.1 7/8 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.8 7/8 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.9 2/3 |
3.7 7/9 |
13.7 32/37 |
9.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[375][376] | 16–24 Jul | 1,200 | 71 | 32.3 | 31.7 | 4.9 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 0.6 |
InvyMark/laSexta[377] | 14–18 Jul | ? | ? | 26.4 | 22.7 | 11.2 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 | 12.1 | 3.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[377] | 7–11 Jul | ? | ? | 26.5 | 22.4 | 11.3 | 7.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 | 11.8 | 4.1 |
CIS[378][379][380] | 1–9 Jul | 2,471 | ? | 30.0 142 |
21.2 93 |
8.2 15 |
5.9 9 |
2.9 12 |
1.0 4 |
1.0 5 |
3.3 13 |
0.5 ? |
0.3 ? |
1.4 ? |
0.9 ? |
15.3 52 |
8.8 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 1–8 Jul | 1,112 | ? | 29.0 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 1.1 | – | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 27.1 | 1.9 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[381] | 5 Jul | ? | ? | 30.0 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.0 | 4.0 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[382][383] | 1–5 Jul | 1,100 | 58.8 | 33.5 144/149 |
23.2 89/92 |
5.1 12/15 |
4.9 9/12 |
3.0 12/13 |
1.1 7/8 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.7 6/7 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.8 2/3 |
3.7 6/8 |
14.1 34/37 |
10.3 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 2–14 Jun | 1,035 | ? | 28.8 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | – | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 26.7 | 2.1 |
NC Report[384] | 28 May–11 Jun | 955 | ? | 34.6 | 21.9 | 6.1 | 5.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.3 | 12.7 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[385][386] | 4–6 Jun | 1,100 | 57.9 | 32.4 139/142 |
22.3 94/98 |
5.6 13/15 |
5.7 12/14 |
3.0 12/13 |
1.2 7/8 |
1.1 6/7 |
1.9 7/8 |
0.6 1/2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.9 2/3 |
3.7 5/6 |
13.9 28/32 |
10.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[387][388] | 27–31 May | 1,000 | ? | 25.6 125/127 |
19.4 87/89 |
8.1 15/17 |
7.8 13/14 |
3.4 12/13 |
– | – | 3.3 11/12 |
– | – | – | 3.5 3/5 |
15.1 56/58 |
6.2 |
2014 EP election[389] | 25 May | — | 43.8 | 26.1 (138) |
23.0 (105) |
10.0 (25) |
6.5 (10) |
3.5 (14) |
1.4 (8) |
1.4 (7) |
3.8 (15) |
0.5 (0) |
0.4 (2) |
0.9 (2) |
3.2 (4) |
8.0 (19) |
3.1 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[390] | 13–15 May | 1,111 | ? | 33.8 | 25.7 | 10.3 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 | 3.1 | 8.1 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 2–10 May | ? | ? | 30.9 | 22.9 | 12.4 | 12.3 | 2.7 | – | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.0 |
Celeste-Tel[391] | 2–8 May | 1,100 | 57.9 | 32.4 138/147 |
29.0 114/118 |
12.1 25/27 |
7.3 11/13 |
2.6 11/12 |
1.4 7 |
1.3 6 |
1.8 6/7 |
0.8 2 |
0.8 3/4 |
0.9 3 |
2.0 3/4 |
1.8 1 |
3.4 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia[392] | 30 Apr–8 May | 1,500 | 56.9 | 34.9 144 |
27.1 105 |
12.5 38 |
9.2 24 |
3.9 13 |
1.5 6 |
1.4 5 |
2.4 7 |
– | – | – | – | – | 7.8 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[393][394] | 10–15 Apr | 1,000 | ? | 33.1 | 30.2 | 10.4 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.9 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 1–9 Apr | 1,020 | ? | 28.4 | 23.8 | 11.5 | 13.3 | 3.5 | – | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
CIS[395][396] | 1–7 Apr | 2,469 | ? | 31.9 | 26.2 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | – | – | 5.7 |
Celeste-Tel[397] | 1–5 Apr | 1,100 | 57.5 | 32.3 139/149 |
28.9 115/118 |
12.5 26/28 |
7.5 12/14 |
2.7 11/12 |
1.6 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.9 6/7 |
0.9 2/3 |
0.9 3/4 |
1.0 3 |
1.4 3/4 |
– | 3.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[398][399] | 25 Mar–1 Apr | 1,200 | 65 | 31.8 | 32.3 | 11.7 | 6.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 |
NC Report[400] | 3–14 Mar | 955 | ? | 33.3 | 27.8 | 12.3 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.5 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 3–7 Mar | 1,068 | 54.6 | 29.3 | 22.8 | 13.3 | 12.7 | 3.5 | – | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
Celeste-Tel[402] | 1–6 Mar | 1,100 | 56.9 | 32.0 138/150 |
28.9 115/118 |
12.8 26/28 |
7.7 12/14 |
2.6 11/12 |
1.5 7 |
1.4 6 |
2.0 6/7 |
1.0 2 |
1.0 3 |
1.0 3 |
1.4 2/4 |
– | 3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[403][404] | 25 Feb–4 Mar | 1,200 | 65 | 31.5 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón[405][406] | 28 Feb–1 Mar | 630 | 58.7 | 32.6 | 26.7 | 12.1 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | – | – | 5.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[407] | 24–28 Feb | ? | ? | 28.8 | 23.6 | 14.5 | 12.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[408][409] | 13–19 Feb | 1,000 | ? | 27.5 | 23.2 | 11.5 | 15.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.3 |
InvyMark/laSexta[407] | 10–14 Feb | ? | ? | 28.9 | 23.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.7 |
GAD3/ABC[410] | 5–13 Feb | 1,000 | ? | 32.3 148 |
26.3 115 |
10.7 21 |
10.1 20 |
3.3 12 |
1.3 6 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 7 |
– | – | – | 0.9 1 |
– | 6.0 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 3–10 Feb | 1,119 | ? | 29.6 | 20.3 | 14.9 | 11.8 | 3.8 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[411][412] | 5–6 Feb | 1,200 | 65 | 30.8 | 31.7 | 13.5 | 8.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[413][414] | 1–6 Feb | 1,100 | 56.6 | 31.6 137/148 |
28.7 114/118 |
13.1 26/29 |
7.8 12/14 |
2.4 11/12 |
1.6 8 |
1.2 6 |
2.1 7/8 |
0.9 2 |
0.8 3 |
1.1 3 |
1.4 2/4 |
– | 2.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[415] | 20–24 Jan | ? | ? | 28.7 | 23.3 | 14.7 | 12.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[416] | 20–23 Jan | 1,000 | ? | 28.6 126/129 |
24.9 104/107 |
13.2 37/39 |
11.5 30/32 |
3.3 12/13 |
– | – | 2.1 7/8 |
– | – | – | 4.1 2/4 |
– | 3.7 |
CIS[417][418][419] | 3–15 Jan | 2,480 | ? | 32.1 150 |
26.6 112 |
11.3 26 |
9.2 18 |
3.4 13 |
1.2 6 |
1.5 7 |
2.5 9 |
0.7 ? |
1.0 ? |
0.8 ? |
– | – | 5.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[420] | 4–11 Jan | ? | ? | 28.5 | 23.4 | 14.7 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 2–10 Jan | 1,030 | ? | 28.1 | 22.0 | 14.8 | 13.0 | 2.6 | – | 1.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[421][422] | 8–9 Jan | 1,200 | 65 | 32.0 | 33.5 | 12.5 | 7.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[423][424] | 2–7 Jan | 1,100 | 56.3 | 32.1 139/149 |
28.8 114/118 |
13.2 27/29 |
7.7 12/14 |
2.3 11 |
1.6 8 |
1.3 6 |
2.2 8 |
0.9 2 |
0.9 3/4 |
1.1 3 |
1.3 2/3 |
– | 3.3 |
2013
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
BNG | ![]() |
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Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[425] | 26–28 Dec | 1,000 | ? | 33.3 | 24.4 | 14.7 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 8.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[426] | 16–20 Dec | ? | ? | 28.2 | 23.6 | 14.6 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 2–10 Dec | 1,044 | ? | 30.7 | 22.8 | 14.1 | 13.6 | 2.8 | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 7.9 |
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[427][428] | 1–5 Dec | 1,100 | 55.4 | 32.0 138/148 |
28.6 114/118 |
13.1 27/30 |
7.8 12/14 |
2.3 11 |
1.7 8 |
1.3 6 |
2.3 8/9 |
0.9 2 |
0.9 4 |
1.1 3 |
1.3 2/3 |
3.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[429][430] | 30 Nov | 12,000 | 65 | 33.9 146 |
31.5 131 |
12.0 25 |
7.1 11 |
2.8 11 |
1.2 5 |
1.5 7 |
2.2 8 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 2 |
0.6 2 |
– | 2.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[431] | 25–28 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 29.5 132/136 |
25.1 104/108 |
12.9 32/34 |
11.1 28/29 |
3.0 11/12 |
– | – | 2.5 8/9 |
– | – | – | 4.0 2/4 |
4.4 |
NC Report[432] | 18–28 Nov | 955 | ? | 34.2 | 28.4 | 12.2 | 7.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.8 |
InvyMark/laSexta[433] | 18–22 Nov | ? | ? | 28.4 | 23.3 | 14.5 | 12.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[434] | 12–14 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 30.6 | 27.0 | 13.4 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 3.6 |
GAD3/Antena 3[435][436] | 11–14 Nov | 801 | ? | 33.1 150 |
28.5 122 |
9.2 16 |
11.2 21 |
3.6 12 |
1.3 6 |
1.3 6 |
2.1 7 |
– | – | – | – | 7.4 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 4–13 Nov | 1,959 | ? | 30.9 | 21.7 | 12.2 | 14.8 | 2.3 | – | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 9.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[437] | 4–8 Nov | ? | ? | 28.2 | 23.1 | 14.7 | 13.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
Celeste-Tel[438] | 2–7 Nov | 1,100 | 55.1 | 31.8 138/147 |
28.2 113/117 |
13.3 27/30 |
7.9 12/14 |
2.3 11 |
1.7 8 |
1.4 7 |
2.4 8 |
0.9 2 |
0.9 4 |
1.2 3 |
1.4 3 |
3.6 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[439][440] | 30 Oct–4 Nov | 1,000 | ? | 27.1 | 22.7 | 13.5 | 15.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.4 |
DYM/El Confidencial[441] | 22–31 Oct | 967 | ? | 32.5 | 21.2 | 17.3 | 11.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.3 |
InvyMark/laSexta[442] | 14–18 Oct | ? | ? | 27.2 | 23.4 | 14.8 | 13.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.8 |
Intercampo/GETS[443] | 16 Sep–14 Oct | 1,726 | High | 28.3 | 34.8 | 12.7 | 6.8 | 2.3 | – | 1.6 | 2.2 | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
Low | 26.5 | 35.6 | 13.8 | 7.2 | 2.4 | – | 1.8 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 9.1 | |||
NC Report/La Razón[444][445] | 2–11 Oct | 920 | 58.8 | 35.0 150/154 |
26.9 106/110 |
12.2 26/28 |
7.8 13/14 |
2.8 12 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 6 |
2.2 8 |
– | – | – | – | 8.1 |
GAD3/Antena 3[446][447] | 7–10 Oct | 805 | ? | 33.2 154 |
25.8 109 |
13.3 28 |
8.6 16 |
3.0 10 |
1.4 7 |
1.4 6 |
2.6 8 |
– | – | – | – | 7.4 |
CIS[448][449][450] | 1–9 Oct | 2,485 | ? | 34.0 161 |
26.8 111 |
11.3 24 |
7.7 12 |
2.9 12 |
1.2 7 |
1.2 5 |
2.5 9 |
1.1 ? |
0.5 ? |
0.5 ? |
– | 7.2 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 1–7 Oct | 1,001 | 51.0 | 27.5 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 13.8 | 3.0 | – | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 5.9 |
Celeste-Tel[452] | 1–5 Oct | 1,100 | 53.9 | 31.5 137/143 |
28.1 114/116 |
13.7 28/31 |
8.0 12/15 |
2.4 11 |
1.6 8 |
1.4 7 |
2.3 8 |
0.8 2 |
0.9 4 |
1.2 3 |
1.3 3 |
3.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[453][454][455] | 2–3 Oct | 1,000 | 62 | 34.1 | 29.0 | 11.5 | 9.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[456] | 23–27 Sep | ? | ? | 26.0 | 23.5 | 14.8 | 13.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5 |
NC Report[457] | 9–20 Sep | 955 | ? | 33.8 | 26.5 | 12.7 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.3 |
GAD3/Antena 3[458][459] | 10–13 Sep | 935 | ? | 32.4 147 |
27.4 118 |
12.8 27 |
9.3 17 |
3.1 11 |
1.4 7 |
1.4 6 |
2.1 7 |
– | – | – | – | 5.0 |
InvyMark/laSexta[460] | 9–13 Sep | ? | ? | 26.1 | 23.6 | 14.7 | 13.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 3–9 Sep | ? | ? | 28.1 | 23.3 | 14.9 | 13.3 | 2.6 | – | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.8 |
Celeste-Tel[461] | 2–6 Sep | 1,100 | 52.3 | 30.9 137/140 |
27.8 114/115 |
14.2 28/31 |
8.3 13/16 |
2.6 11 |
1.7 8 |
1.5 7 |
2.3 8 |
0.8 2 |
0.9 4 |
1.3 3 |
1.2 3 |
3.1 |
Feedback/La Vanguardia[462] | 2–6 Sep | 1,500 | 58.6 | 37.9 153 |
25.2 98 |
12.0 37 |
9.6 25 |
3.4 13 |
1.4 6 |
1.2 5 |
2.1 7 |
– | – | – | – | 12.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[463][464][465] | 4–5 Sep | 700 | 62 | 30.1 | 30.5 | 11.6 | 9.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[466][467] | 26–30 Aug | 1,000 | ? | 28.4 | 20.9 | 15.0 | 14.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.5 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 1–10 Aug | 1,025 | ? | 29.6 | 22.2 | 16.5 | 10.2 | 1.9 | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 7.4 |
TNS Demoscopia[468] | 29–31 Jul | 1,000 | 57 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.0 |
Celeste-Tel[469] | 26–31 Jul | 1,100 | 50.8 | 31.3 139/142 |
27.1 114/115 |
14.0 28/29 |
8.2 13/14 |
2.6 11 |
1.7 8 |
1.5 7 |
2.2 8 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.9 4 |
1.3 3 |
1.4 3 |
4.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[470][471][472] | 24–25 Jul | 1,000 | 65 | 34.7 148 |
27.5 127 |
11.4 28 |
7.7 12 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.2 |
52 | 23.0 | 22.8 | 16.2 | 11.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.2 | |||
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[473] | 16–18 Jul | 1,000 | ? | 30.7 | 27.8 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | 2.9 |
CIS[474][475][476] | 1–10 Jul | 2,476 | ? | 32.5 150 |
27.2 114 |
11.5 26 |
8.8 16 |
3.1 13 |
1.4 7 |
1.4 6 |
2.3 9 |
0.7 ? |
0.5 ? |
0.9 ? |
– | 5.3 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 1–9 Jul | 1,012 | ? | 25.8 | 24.2 | 14.7 | 12.3 | 3.4 | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.6 |
Celeste-Tel[477] | 1–5 Jul | 1,100 | 51.2 | 31.7 138/144 |
27.0 111/116 |
13.6 26/28 |
8.0 11/14 |
2.7 11 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 7 |
2.2 8 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.9 4 |
1.4 3/4 |
1.4 3/4 |
4.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[478] | 1–5 Jul | ? | ? | 29.1 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[479][480][481] | 3–4 Jul | 1,000 | 52 | 23.0 | 21.6 | 16.6 | 13.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[482][483] | 25–28 Jun | 1,000 | ? | 28.1 118/122 |
25.5 104/107 |
15.6 48/50 |
12.2 31/33 |
3.0 11/12 |
– | – | 2.1 7/9 |
– | – | – | – | 2.6 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[484][485] | 14–18 Jun | 1,000 | ? | 30.3 | 22.0 | 15.2 | 17.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.3 |
InvyMark/laSexta[486] | 10–14 Jun | ? | ? | 28.9 | 24.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.5 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 3–11 Jun | 1,018 | ? | 31.9 | 21.2 | 12.9 | 10.6 | 3.7 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 |
Celeste-Tel[487] | 3–7 Jun | 1,100 | 49.9 | 30.9 136/144 |
26.5 110/115 |
13.8 26/28 |
8.4 13/15 |
2.9 12 |
1.5 7 |
1.6 7 |
2.1 7 |
0.6 1 |
0.9 4 |
1.5 3/4 |
1.6 3/4 |
4.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[488][489][490] | 5–6 Jun | 1,000 | 52 | 24.5 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 13.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.0 |
Asturbarómetro/El Comercio[491] | 5 May–3 Jun | 403 | ? | 39.7 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 8.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.1 |
GAD3/Antena 3[492][493] | 27–30 May | 1,000 | ? | 34.1 155 |
25.7 111 |
12.5 26 |
9.7 19 |
3.2 10 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.4 |
NC Report[494] | 13–23 May | 955 | ? | 32.6 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[495][496] | 18 May | 14,000 | 55 | 28.6 139 |
25.1 90 |
15.9 48 |
10.7 30 |
2.9 10 |
1.5 7 |
1.1 5 |
2.7 9 |
1.0 5 |
0.8 4 |
0.6 2 |
– | 3.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[497] | 8–10 May | 1,000 | ? | 35.4 | 25.3 | 13.4 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 10.1 |
InvyMark/laSexta[498] | 6–10 May | ? | ? | 29.0 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.5 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 3–10 May | 987 | ? | 29.2 | 22.4 | 14.0 | 12.6 | 1.7 | – | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 6.8 |
Metroscopia/El País[499][500][501] | 8–9 May | 1,000 | 52 | 22.5 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 13.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[502][503] | 2–8 May | 1,000 | ? | 28.7 | 24.4 | 13.3 | 14.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.3 |
Celeste-Tel[504] | 2–7 May | 1,100 | 46.6 | 30.5 134/144 |
26.7 110/116 |
14.0 26/29 |
8.9 13/16 |
3.0 12 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 7 |
2.2 7 |
0.5 1 |
1.0 4 |
1.6 3/4 |
1.7 3/4 |
3.8 |
InvyMark/laSexta[505] | 8–12 Apr | ? | ? | 29.2 | 24.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.3 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 1–8 Apr | 1,010 | ? | 29.2 | 21.4 | 13.6 | 11.8 | 2.8 | – | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | – | 7.8 |
CIS[506][507][508] | 1–8 Apr | 2,482 | ? | 34.0 155 |
28.2 122 |
9.9 20 |
7.4 12 |
3.4 15 |
0.9 4 |
1.2 6 |
2.0 7 |
0.7 ? |
0.9 ? |
0.5 ? |
– | 5.8 |
Celeste-Tel[509] | 1–5 Apr | 1,100 | 44.1 | 30.4 136/145 |
27.1 112/118 |
13.9 26/28 |
8.6 13/15 |
3.2 12 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 7 |
2.1 6 |
0.5 1 |
1.1 4 |
1.7 3/4 |
1.6 3/4 |
3.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[510][511][512] | 3–4 Apr | 1,000 | 53 | 24.5 | 23.0 | 15.6 | 13.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 |
InvyMark/laSexta[513] | 18–22 Mar | ? | ? | 29.1 | 25.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.1 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 4–8 Mar | 1,017 | 48.3 | 31.2 | 21.5 | 14.2 | 11.2 | 2.2 | – | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | 9.7 |
Celeste-Tel[515] | 1–6 Mar | 1,100 | 44.3 | 29.4 134/146 |
27.8 114/120 |
13.8 25/28 |
8.6 13/16 |
3.4 13 |
1.6 7 |
1.5 7 |
2.0 5 |
0.6 1 |
1.1 4 |
1.8 3/4 |
– | 1.6 |
InvyMark/laSexta[513] | 25 Feb–1 Mar | ? | ? | 29.0 | 25.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[516][517][518] | 27–28 Feb | 1,000 | 53 | 24.3 | 23.1 | 15.4 | 10.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[519] | 11–15 Feb | ? | ? | 29.4 | 24.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[520] | 6–8 Feb | 1,000 | ? | 33.5 | 28.2 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | 5.3 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 4–8 Feb | ? | ? | 33.3 | 24.2 | 13.0 | 9.9 | 3.2 | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 9.1 |
Celeste-Tel[521] | 1–6 Feb | 1,100 | 49.2 | 29.8 136/146 |
28.6 117/121 |
12.8 23/25 |
9.1 14/17 |
3.7 14 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 4/5 |
0.6 1 |
1.0 3/4 |
1.8 3/4 |
– | 1.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[522][523][524] | 30 Jan–1 Feb | 2,000 | 53 | 23.9 | 23.5 | 15.3 | 13.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[525][526] | 25–29 Jan | 1,000 | ? | 30.2 133/135 |
28.0 120/123 |
12.3 22/25 |
11.5 23/26 |
3.0 13/15 |
– | – | 1.7 6/7 |
– | – | – | – | 2.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[527] | 21–25 Jan | ? | ? | 30.0 | 24.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.3 |
NC Report[528] | 10–21 Jan | 955 | ? | 36.5 | 26.3 | 11.8 | 7.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.2 |
CIS[529][530][531] | 4–14 Jan | 2,483 | ? | 35.0 155 |
30.2 125 |
9.4 18 |
6.8 10 |
3.6 15 |
0.9 4 |
1.3 7 |
2.0 7 |
0.8 ? |
0.9 ? |
1.1 ? |
– | 4.8 |
InvyMark/laSexta[532] | 8–11 Jan | ? | ? | 30.6 | 24.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.8 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 7–11 Jan | ? | ? | 32.5 | 25.5 | 13.2 | 10.5 | 3.2 | – | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 7.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[533][534][535] | 9–10 Jan | 1,000 | 61 | 29.8 | 23.3 | 15.6 | 10.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
Celeste-Tel[536] | 2–9 Jan | 1,100 | 58.9 | 32.8 146/154 |
28.6 113/117 |
12.0 21/23 |
8.2 10/13 |
3.8 14/15 |
1.5 7 |
1.6 7 |
1.7 5/6 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.9 3/4 |
1.6 3 |
– | 4.6 |
2012
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
![]() |
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![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
PNV | ![]() |
BNG | ![]() |
![]() |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[537][538] | 21–28 Dec | 1,000 | ? | 36.7 | 30.7 | 9.8 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | – | – | – | 6.0 |
InvyMark/laSexta[532] | 17–21 Dec | ? | ? | 30.9 | 24.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.2 |
Celeste-Tel[539] | 3–12 Dec | 1,100 | 58.4 | 33.1 147/154 |
28.5 112/117 |
11.8 21/23 |
8.5 11/13 |
3.6 14/15 |
1.5 7 |
1.5 7 |
1.8 5/6 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.7 3/4 |
1.6 3 |
4.6 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 3–10 Dec | 1,009 | ? | 33.6 | 23.0 | 13.5 | 9.9 | 3.2 | – | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | 10.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[540][541][542] | 28–29 Nov | 1,000 | 61 | 31.3 | 22.7 | 13.3 | 10.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.6 |
Celeste-Tel[543] | 5–9 Nov | 1,100 | 58.4 | 33.6 148/153 |
28.3 112/115 |
12.0 22/25 |
8.4 11/13 |
3.6 15 |
1.5 7 |
1.7 7 |
1.9 6 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.8 4 |
1.4 3 |
5.3 |
InvyMark/laSexta[544] | 5–9 Nov | ? | ? | 32.0 | 26.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.0 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 1–8 Nov | 1,025 | ? | 34.5 | 24.3 | 13.4 | 10.1 | 3.8 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 10.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[545][546][547] | 6–7 Nov | 1,000 | 61 | 31.8 | 22.9 | 12.9 | 8.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.9 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[548][549] | 26–31 Oct | 1,000 | ? | 33.0 | 22.3 | 9.4 | 11.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 |
InvyMark/laSexta[550] | 22–26 Oct | ? | ? | 32.9 | 26.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.2 |
Intercampo/GETS[551] | 15 Sep–17 Oct | 1,724 | High | 29.4 | 27.3 | 12.1 | 8.9 | 4.4 | – | 1.7 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 2.1 |
Low | 32.6 | 30.1 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 4.3 | – | 1.7 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 2.5 | |||
CIS[552][553][554] | 2–14 Oct | 2,484 | ? | 35.9 163 |
28.6 119 |
9.4 18 |
7.3 11 |
3.9 17 |
1.6 7 |
1.4 6 |
1.3 3 |
0.7 ? |
0.4 ? |
0.7 ? |
7.3 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 1–11 Oct | ? | ? | 34.1 | 24.5 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 3.9 | – | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | 9.6 |
Celeste-Tel[555] | 1–5 Oct | 1,100 | 57.4 | 32.8 148/151 |
28.0 112/114 |
12.7 24/26 |
9.0 12/14 |
3.8 16 |
1.6 7 |
1.7 7 |
1.5 5 |
0.8 2 |
0.8 4 |
1.4 3 |
4.8 |
Metroscopia/El País[556][557][558] | 3–4 Oct | 1,000 | 60 | 29.9 | 23.9 | 12.6 | 10.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.0 |
NC Report[528] | 25–30 Sep | ? | ? | 38.6 | 26.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.9 |
InvyMark/laSexta[550] | 17–21 Sep | ? | ? | 34.1 | 29.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.2 |
Simple Lógica[559] | 3–13 Sep | 1,776 | 52.8 | 34.7 | 26.0 | 10.7 | 8.6 | 2.5 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[560][561] | 7–12 Sep | 1,100 | ? | 31.1 | 24.8 | 11.3 | 13.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.3 |
Celeste-Tel[562] | 3–7 Sep | 1,100 | 59.9 | 34.0 150/153 |
29.9 119/121 |
10.8 20/21 |
8.6 12/13 |
4.0 15 |
1.6 7 |
1.6 6 |
1.2 4 |
0.8 2 |
0.8 3/4 |
1.7 3/4 |
4.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[563][564][565] | 5–6 Sep | 1,000 | 60 | 30.9 | 24.1 | 12.4 | 9.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.8 |
Simple Lógica[559] | 1–10 Aug | 2,009 | ? | 36.4 | 24.7 | 11.0 | 9.5 | 3.4 | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | 11.7 |
NC Report[566] | 26–31 Jul | 955 | ? | 35.9 | 28.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.6 |
Celeste-Tel[567] | 23–27 Jul | 1,100 | 60.3 | 34.2 152/154 |
29.5 118/121 |
10.7 19/20 |
8.7 12/13 |
4.3 15 |
1.5 7 |
1.7 6 |
1.3 4/5 |
1.1 2/3 |
0.6 2/3 |
1.9 3/4 |
4.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[568][569][570] | 25–26 Jul | 1,000 | 59 | 30.0 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 9.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[571] | 17–19 Jul | 1,000 | ? | 35.8 | 29.6 | 11.7 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 6.2 |
Simple Lógica[559] | 2–10 Jul | 1,006 | ? | 37.2 | 27.7 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 3.7 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 9.5 |
CIS[572][573] | 2–10 Jul | 2,484 | ? | 36.6 | 29.9 | 8.6 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6.7 |
Celeste-Tel[567] | 2–6 Jul | 1,100 | 62.8 | 40.6 164/168 |
29.4 117/125 |
10.2 19/20 |
5.1 5/7 |
4.2 15 |
1.5 6 |
1.6 7 |
1.1 3/5 |
1.2 3 |
0.7 2/3 |
1.0 1/3 |
11.2 |
InvyMark/laSexta[574] | 2–6 Jul | ? | ? | 40.5 | 31.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[575][576][577] | 4–5 Jul | 1,000 | 65 | 37.0 | 23.1 | 13.2 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.9 |
DYM/ABC[578] | 27–28 Jun | 857 | ? | 36.8 | 23.1 | 13.9 | 7.5 | 4.3 | – | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | 13.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico[579] | 14–18 Jun | 1,000 | ? | 38.1 168/172 |
28.1 109/112 |
10.2 19/20 |
7.5 11/12 |
3.7 15/16 |
1.1 5/6 |
1.5 6/7 |
1.0 2/3 |
– | – | – | 10.0 |
PP[580] | 16 Jun | ? | ? | 38.0– 39.0 |
29.0– 29.5 |
9.0– 9.5 |
7.5– 8.0 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.0– 9.5 |
Simple Lógica[559] | 1–15 Jun | 1,017 | ? | 39.2 | 24.4 | 10.7 | 6.8 | 2.5 | – | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | 14.8 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[581] | 12–14 Jun | 1,000 | ? | 39.1 | 29.2 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | – | – | – | 9.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[582][583][584] | 6–7 Jun | 1,004 | 65 | 37.1 | 25.9 | 12.0 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.2 |
Celeste-Tel[585] | 1–7 Jun | 1,100 | 63.2 | 40.8 164/170 |
29.3 118/125 |
10.4 20/22 |
5.1 5/8 |
4.0 15 |
1.4 7 |
1.5 7 |
0.9 3/5 |
1.1 3 |
0.6 2 |
1.0 1/3 |
11.5 |
NC Report[586] | 21–30 May | 955 | ? | 42.7 | 27.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.8 |
Simple Lógica[587] | 1–11 May | 1,015 | 64.2 | 39.9 | 27.1 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 2.7 | – | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | 12.8 |
Metroscopia/El País[588][589][590] | 9–10 May | 1,001 | 65 | 37.2 | 25.8 | 12.2 | 6.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.4 |
Celeste-Tel[585] | 2–8 May | 1,100 | 64.8 | 41.1 166/170 |
28.8 117/123 |
10.5 20/21 |
5.1 5/7 |
3.7 14 |
1.5 6 |
1.6 7 |
1.0 3/4 |
1.2 3 |
0.7 2 |
0.8 1/2 |
12.3 |
PSOE[591] | 25 Apr | ? | ? | 39.8 | 31.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.8 |
CIS[592][593][594] | 9–17 Apr | 2,484 | ? | 40.6 175/176 |
29.6 118/119 |
8.6 15 |
5.1 5 |
3.8 15 |
1.3 7 |
1.2 5 |
1.7 5 |
0.3 ? |
0.3 ? |
0.8 ? |
11.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[595][596] | 11–12 Apr | 1,000 | 65 | 38.1 | 23.0 | 11.6 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.1 |
Simple Lógica[587] | 1–11 Apr | 1,026 | ? | 42.0 | 24.9 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3.8 | – | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | 17.1 |
Celeste-Tel[597] | 2–9 Apr | 1,100 | 65.6 | 41.3 168/171 |
28.9 118/121 |
10.2 18/20 |
5.3 5/7 |
3.9 15 |
1.4 6 |
1.5 7 |
1.2 3/4 |
1.0 3 |
0.7 2 |
0.6 1 |
12.4 |
Celeste-Tel[597] | 1–7 Mar | 1,100 | 67.2 | 45.1 186/188 |
26.1 102/104 |
9.5 14/15 |
5.7 5/8 |
4.1 16 |
1.3 6 |
1.4 7 |
1.2 3/4 |
1.0 3 |
0.6 2 |
0.6 1 |
19.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[598][599][600] | 29 Feb–1 Mar | 1,007 | 71.7 | 46.3 | 24.4 | 9.1 | 5.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico[601] | 23–28 Feb | 1,000 | ? | 42.0 179/181 |
28.2 110/112 |
7.7 13/14 |
6.4 9/10 |
3.6 14/15 |
1.8 7 |
1.2 5 |
1.2 3/4 |
– | – | – | 13.8 |
NC Report/La Razón[602] | 1–17 Feb | 4,800 | 63.8 | 45.6 186/187 |
25.6 104/108 |
8.8 12/13 |
5.5 6/7 |
4.1 15/16 |
1.5 7 |
1.4 5 |
1.1 3 |
0.8 2 |
0.6 2/3 |
0.6 1/2 |
20.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[603][604][605] | 8–9 Feb | 1,003 | 71.7 | 46.2 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.2 |
Celeste-Tel[597] | 1–7 Feb | 1,100 | 67.8 | 44.6 184/185 |
27.4 105/107 |
9.1 14/15 |
5.4 5/7 |
4.1 15 |
1.4 6/7 |
1.4 6 |
1.2 3/4 |
1.0 3 |
0.6 2 |
0.7 1/2 |
17.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[606] | 16–20 Jan | 1,000 | 68.2 | 46.3 191/193 |
27.8 103/105 |
7.4 11/12 |
5.1 5 |
4.2 15/16 |
1.3 7 |
1.4 5 |
1.1 3 |
0.8 2 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 1 |
18.5 |
CIS[607][608] | 4–15 Jan | 2,480 | ? | 42.7 | 28.0 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 14.7 |
Celeste-Tel[597] | 2–6 Jan | 1,100 | 69.1 | 46.1 189/190 |
28.8 107/108 |
7.6 12 |
5.2 5 |
4.0 15 |
1.3 6 |
1.4 6 |
1.1 3 |
0.8 2 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 1/2 |
17.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[609][610][611] | 4–5 Jan | 1,000 | 71.7 | 46.4 | 26.5 | 7.7 | 4.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.9 |
2011
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() |
![]() |
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![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
PNV | ![]() |
BNG | ![]() |
![]() |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Metroscopia/El País[612][613] | 14–15 Dec | 1,000 | 71.7 | 44.9 | 28.4 | 7.0 | 4.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 |
2011 general election | 20 Nov | — | 68.9 | 44.6 186 |
28.8 110 |
6.9 11 |
4.7 5 |
4.2 16 |
1.4 7 |
1.3 5 |
1.1 3 |
0.8 2 |
0.6 2 |
0.5 1 |
15.8 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
PNV | ![]() |
BNG | ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 20.8 | 16.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | – | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | [a] | 10.1 | 15.0 | 1.6 | — | 26.8 | 4.8 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[4] | 17–19 Dec 2015 | 950 | 17.7 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | [a] | 9.2 | 16.0 | – | – | – | 1.7 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[5] | 16–18 Dec 2015 | 800 | 18.8 | 14.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | – | 15.1 | – | – | – | 3.7 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[7] | 15–17 Dec 2015 | 750 | 17.2 | 15.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | – | 15.5 | – | – | – | 1.7 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[8] | 14–16 Dec 2015 | 700 | 17.9 | 16.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.3 | 14.9 | – | – | – | 1.8 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[9] | 13–15 Dec 2015 | 650 | 16.5 | 15.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.5 | 13.4 | – | – | – | 1.4 |
GESOP/El Periòdic[10] | 12–14 Dec 2015 | 700 | 17.3 | 15.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.8 | 15.3 | – | – | – | 2.0 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[26] | 7–11 Dec 2015 | 1,500 | 19.3 | 13.6 | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 13.5 | 13.4 | – | 20.3 | 10.5 | 5.7 |
Simple Lógica[28] | 1–11 Dec 2015 | 1,005 | 13.6 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | – | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | [a] | 10.7 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 36.6 | 10.3 | 2.9 |
GAD3/ABC[31] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 7,300 | 22.7 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 0.3 | – | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 16.0 | 12.9 | 2.2 | – | – | 4.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[34] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | 2,800 | 17.0 | 12.8 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 11.8 | 13.6 | – | 35.2 | 3.4 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[37] | 3–9 Dec 2015 | 1,500 | 11.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | [a] | 12.3 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 32.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
DYM/El Confidencial[43] | 27 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 1,012 | 11.8 | 9.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.0 | 12.3 | – | – | – | 0.3 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[50] | 30 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | 17.8 | 16.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.0 | – | – | 24.6 | – | 1.5 |
GAD3/ABC[62] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 5,700 | 22.6 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 0.2 | – | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 16.1 | 13.3 | 2.2 | – | – | 4.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[614] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | [a] | 16.0 | 13.3 | 1.3 | 20.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[78] | 23–26 Nov 2015 | 1,500 | 16.5 | 13.9 | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.5 | 10.4 | – | 23.3 | 13.4 | 2.6 |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 2–26 Nov 2015 | 4,300 | 23.0 | 18.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | – | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 15.7 | 12.6 | 2.1 | – | – | 4.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[83] | 23–25 Nov 2015 | 1,200 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 16.2 | 11.3 | – | 32.0 | 1.6 | |
Simple Lógica[92] | 2–16 Nov 2015 | 1,746 | 14.8 | 13.2 | 2.9 | 0.4 | – | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | [a] | 14.1 | 12.6 | 0.9 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 0.7 |
CIS[93] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 16.2 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 | – | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | [a] | 11.6 | 11.8 | 1.2 | 25.2 | 8.0 | 1.3 |
IBES/Última Hora[104] | 8 Nov 2015 | 2,508 | 21.9 | 18.2 | 4.2 | 0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | [a] | 15.4 | 13.4 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 3.7 |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[109] | 29 Oct–6 Nov 2015 | 1,800 | 17.1 | 14.6 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.0 | 8.3 | – | 24.2 | 13.7 | 2.5 |
Metroscopia/El País[118] | 26–28 Oct 2015 | 1,400 | 15.4 | 12.1 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.9 | 10.9 | – | 35.4 | 1.5 | |
MyWord/Cadena SER[121] | 22–26 Oct 2015 | 1,001 | 12.0 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 1.2 | 26.4 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
DYM/El Confidencial[43] | 15–26 Oct 2015 | 1,002 | 11.7 | 10.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 8.8 | – | – | – | 1.0 |
CIS[140] | 1–12 Oct 2015 | 2,493 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 24.9 | 9.7 | 1.6 |
Simple Lógica[146] | 1–9 Oct 2015 | 1,047 | 14.2 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | – | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | 13.3 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 25.4 | 18.0 | 0.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[148] | 7–8 Oct 2015 | 1,200 | 15.1 | 13.6 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.7 | 8.3 | – | 37.9 | 1.4 | |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[152] | 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | 18.3 | 15.2 | 3.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.3 | 9.6 | – | 23.7 | 15.9 | 3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[166] | 7–11 Sep 2015 | 1,800 | 15.4 | 16.8 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.2 | 12.7 | – | 31.2 | 1.4 | |
Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[168] | 3–11 Sep 2015 | 1,800 | 20.8 | 13.7 | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.3 | 11.9 | – | 22.6 | 14.1 | 7.1 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[183] | 20–27 Aug 2015 | 1,001 | 13.8 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | – | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 14.9 | 1.8 | 22.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
Simple Lógica[189] | 3–11 Aug 2015 | 1,022 | 15.2 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 9.4 | 11.9 | – | 21.9 | 18.0 | 1.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[615] | 20–22 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.4 | 11.1 | – | 34.2 | 1.0 | |
CIS[208] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 12.6 | – | 20.3 | 11.1 | 1.3 |
Simple Lógica[211] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 1,040 | 13.6 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | 10.5 | 10.6 | – | 16.0 | 20.1 | 2.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[217] | 1–2 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 15.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 14.9 | – | 31.4 | 0.6 | |
Metroscopia/El País[236] | 28 May–2 Jun 2015 | 2,000 | 16.0 | 14.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 6.1 | 14.2 | – | 32.7 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[246] | 17–22 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 11.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 17.8 | 17.7 | – | 19.4 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[616] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 15.7 | 18.9 | – | 12.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 |
Simple Lógica[251] | 1–13 Apr 2015 | 1,059 | 10.4 | 12.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | 11.7 | 12.7 | – | 23.3 | 21.6 | Tie |
CIS[252] | 1–12 Apr 2015 | 2,479 | 13.5 | 15.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 10.0 | 13.6 | – | 22.6 | 10.9 | 1.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[258] | 7–9 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 12.5 | 15.3 | – | 25.5 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
Intercampo/GETS[262] | 13–29 Mar 2015 | 2,024 | 13.0 | 18.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | – | 0.5 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 7.8 | 16.3 | – | 35.0 | 1.8 | |
Simple Lógica[266] | 2–13 Mar 2015 | 1,058 | 11.1 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | 11.3 | 13.6 | – | 23.4 | 18.9 | 2.3 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[268] | 4–9 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 15.0 | 22.7 | – | 19.9 | 7.1 | 7.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[271] | 3–4 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 12.8 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | – | – | 11.0 | 17.0 | – | 26.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[284] | 9–11 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 23.5 | – | 16.1 | 4.5 | 11.3 |
Simple Lógica[285] | 2–9 Feb 2015 | 1,058 | 13.9 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 5.3 | 20.0 | – | 18.5 | 20.2 | 6.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[294] | 3–4 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 20.5 | – | 27.4 | 6.0 | 8.2 |
GAD3/ABC[299] | 9–16 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 19.5 | 12.6 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | – | – | 0.9 | 5.2 | 13.7 | – | – | – | 5.8 |
Simple Lógica[301] | 7–14 Jan 2015 | 1,025 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | – | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | 3.5 | 20.7 | – | 19.1 | 22.7 | 9.2 |
CIS[302] | 2–12 Jan 2015 | 2,481 | 12.9 | 12.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 19.3 | – | 22.0 | 13.6 | 6.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[310] | 7–8 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 20.4 | – | 25.6 | 7.9 | 7.6 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[312] | 30 Dec–6 Jan 2015 | 1,001 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | – | 4.9 | 24.0 | – | 18.4 | 7.8 | 14.1 |
GESOP/El Periódico[617] | 9–15 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 15.9 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 24.4 | – | 13.6 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
DYM/El Confidencial[322] | 13 Dec 2014 | ? | 7.8 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 | 16.9 | – | 28.4 | 14.4 | 9.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[329] | 2–3 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 12.1 | 16.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | 31.6 | 1.6 | |
DYM/El Confidencial[322] | 28 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | 985 | 7.4 | 8.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.6 | – | – | – | 7.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[343] | 28–29 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.2 | – | 36.7 | 9.1 | |
CIS[351] | 1–13 Oct 2014 | 2,480 | 11.7 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 17.6 | – | 21.9 | 15.7 | 3.3 |
Intercampo/GETS[354] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 12.8 | 18.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | – | 0.8 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | 14.8 | – | 40.0 | 4.0 | |
Metroscopia/El País[361] | 29–30 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 11.9 | 14.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.3 | – | 40.0 | 2.5 | |
Metroscopia/El País[376] | 16–24 Jul 2014 | 1,200 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.4 | – | 42.3 | 0.1 | |
CIS[378] | 1–9 Jul 2014 | 2,471 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 11.9 | – | 20.8 | 19.2 | 0.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico[618] | 27–31 May 2014 | 1,000 | 15.1 | 8.3 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | – | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 16.7 | – | 18.9 | 9.3 | 1.6 |
2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 11.7 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.6 | – | — | 54.2 | 1.3 |
CIS[395] | 1–7 Apr 2014 | 2,469 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 22.9 | 20.2 | 0.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[399] | 25 Mar–1 Apr 2014 | 1,200 | 13.6 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 28.4 | 14.5 | 0.6 |
Simple Lógica[401] | 3–7 Mar 2014 | 1,068 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 | 32.2 | 0.4 |
Metroscopia/El País[404] | 25 Feb–4 Mar 2014 | 1,200 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 22.2 | 14.7 | 0.4 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[409] | 13–19 Feb 2014 | 1,000 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 21.7 | 9.6 | 1.8 |
Metroscopia/El País[412] | 5–6 Feb 2014 | 1,200 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 24.1 | 16.8 | 0.2 |
GESOP/El Periódico[619] | 20–23 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 15.7 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.3 | – | – | 16.8 | 14.7 | 1.1 |
CIS[417] | 3–15 Jan 2014 | 2,480 | 10.8 | 11.8 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 23.6 | 24.2 | 1.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[422] | 8–9 Jan 2014 | 1,200 | 12.5 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 19.4 | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[620] | 25–28 Nov 2013 | 1,000 | 16.1 | 17.3 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | – | – | 15.6 | 11.4 | 1.2 |
GAD3/Antena 3[436] | 11–14 Nov 2013 | 801 | 22.9 | 22.1 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[440] | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2013 | 1,000 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 21.6 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
DYM/El Confidencial[322] | 22–31 Oct 2013 | 967 | 7.5 | 8.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.2 |
GAD3/Antena 3[447] | 7–10 Oct 2013 | 805 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 1.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.6 |
CIS[448] | 1–9 Oct 2013 | 2,485 | 11.4 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 24.1 | 22.0 | 1.6 |
Simple Lógica[451] | 1–7 Oct 2013 | 1,001 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 1.2 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 37.2 | 1.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[454] | 2–3 Oct 2013 | 1,000 | 14.1 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 26.3 | 13.6 | 4.5 |
GAD3/Antena 3[459] | 10–13 Sep 2013 | 935 | 18.3 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 |
Metroscopia/El País[621] | 4–5 Sep 2013 | 700 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 24.2 | 16.4 | 1.2 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[467] | 26–30 Aug 2013 | 1,000 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 11.6 | 8.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.7 | 11.0 | 3.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[471] | 24–25 Jul 2013 | 1,000 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 | 29.2 | 1.3 |
CIS[474] | 1–10 Jul 2013 | 2,476 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 21.9 | 24.0 | 0.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[480] | 3–4 Jul 2013 | 1,000 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | 18.8 | 26.0 | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[622] | 25–28 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 15.5 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | – | – | 15.6 | 13.2 | 1.7 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[485] | 14–18 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 10.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.8 | 12.6 | 2.5 |
Metroscopia/El País[623] | 5–6 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 13.7 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – | 0.4 | – | – | – | 17.6 | 25.8 | 3.5 |
GAD3/Antena 3[493] | 27–30 May 2013 | 1,000 | 18.7 | 13.1 | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[500] | 8–9 May 2013 | 1,000 | 11.3 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | – | – | – | 22.8 | 25.0 | 1.8 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[503] | 2–8 May 2013 | 1,000 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 11.1 | 9.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.3 | 13.3 | 0.6 |
CIS[506] | 1–8 Apr 2013 | 2,482 | 12.5 | 13.7 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 21.5 | 22.7 | 1.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[511] | 3–4 Apr 2013 | 1,000 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 18.0 | 27.3 | 2.7 |
Simple Lógica[514] | 4–8 Mar 2013 | 1,017 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 0.4 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.4 | 40.2 | 1.7 |
Metroscopia/El País[517] | 27–28 Feb 2013 | 1,000 | 13.6 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 5.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.8 | 25.5 | 3.1 |
Metroscopia/El País[523] | 30 Jan–1 Feb 2013 | 2,000 | 12.0 | 12.4 | 7.8 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 24.6 | 0.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico[624] | 25–29 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 13.6 | 20.8 | 10.1 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 13.8 | 12.4 | 7.2 |
CIS[529] | 4–14 Jan 2013 | 2,483 | 15.8 | 17.0 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 19.7 | 21.5 | 1.2 |
Metroscopia/El País[534] | 9–10 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 13.9 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.0 | 24.7 | 2.6 |
Metroscopia/El País[625] | 6–7 Nov 2012 | 1,000 | 16.7 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.6 | 24.8 | 3.4 |
MyWord/Cadena SER[549] | 26–31 Oct 2012 | 1,000 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 9.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.3 | 10.2 | 1.5 |
CIS[552] | 2–14 Oct 2012 | 2,484 | 16.1 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 20.1 | 18.8 | 1.5 |
Simple Lógica[559] | 3–13 Sep 2012 | 1,776 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.9 | 33.5 | 3.5 |
CIS[572] | 2–10 Jul 2012 | 2,484 | 18.2 | 17.1 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 18.7 | 22.3 | 1.1 |
DYM/ABC[322] | 27–28 Jun 2012 | 857 | 17.4 | 10.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[626] | 14–18 Jun 2012 | 1,000 | 24.8 | 22.3 | 9.5 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 11.9 | 7.4 | 2.5 |
Simple Lógica[587] | 1–11 May 2012 | 1,015 | 17.8 | 15.8 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.2 | 26.1 | 2.0 |
CIS[592] | 9–17 Apr 2012 | 2,484 | 24.0 | 20.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 15.6 | 17.2 | 3.2 |
GESOP/El Periódico[627] | 23–28 Feb 2012 | 1,000 | 33.0 | 24.0 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 10.1 | 6.4 | 9.0 |
Metroscopia/El País[605] | 8–9 Feb 2012 | 1,003 | 32.5 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 5.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9 | 13.3 | 18.1 |
CIS[607] | 4–15 Jan 2012 | 2,480 | 30.5 | 18.2 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 16.6 | 13.4 | 12.3 |
2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 31.6 | 20.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | – | – | – | — | 28.3 | 11.3 |
Victory preference
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() |
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PNV | ![]() |
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Other/ None |
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Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Metroscopia/El País[34] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | 2,800 | 20.0 | 19.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.0 | 17.0 | – | – | – | 8.8 |
CIS[93] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 18.0 | 18.9 | 3.5 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 13.1 | 0.9 | 10.6 | 19.2 | 0.9 |
Metroscopia/El País[118] | 26–28 Oct 2015 | 1,400 | 18.0 | 18.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 14.0 | – | 18.0 | 14.0 | Tie |
CIS[208] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 18.9 | 22.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 15.7 | – | 3.6 | 24.8 | 3.3 |
Intercampo/GETS[354] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 13.9 | 25.3 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 16.5 | – | 14.3 | 21.0 | 8.8 |
Intercampo/GETS[443] | 16 Sep–14 Oct 2013 | 1,726 | 14.4 | 25.6 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | – | 0.4 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 20.3 | 25.0 | 11.2 |
Intercampo/GETS[551] | 15 Sep–17 Oct 2012 | 1,724 | 16.6 | 27.1 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 0.7 | – | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 19.4 | 23.5 | 10.5 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() |
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Other/ None |
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Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/ABC[31] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 7,300 | 59.4 | 12.3 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 47.1 | |
GAD3/ABC[62] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 5,700 | 58.1 | 13.0 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 45.1 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[614] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | 61.7 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 18.1 | 50.7 |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 2–26 Nov 2015 | 4,300 | 56.3 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 13.9 | 41.3 | |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 26 Oct–19 Nov 2015 | 3,000 | 54.9 | 16.2 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 13.9 | 38.7 | |
CIS[93] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 52.4 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 24.8 | 38.9 |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 19 Oct–12 Nov 2015 | 3,100 | 53.2 | 17.5 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 13.9 | 35.7 | |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 14 Oct–4 Nov 2015 | 3,300 | 51.5 | 18.3 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 14.6 | 33.2 | |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | 2,800 | 49.0 | 18.1 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 17.8 | 30.9 | |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 14 Sep–19 Oct 2015 | 2,600 | 48.2 | 17.7 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 | 30.5 | |
CIS[208] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 40.1 | 22.2 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 28.7 | 17.9 |
GAD3/ABC[81] | 23 Jun–8 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 43.7 | 26.6 | 4.7 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 17.1 | |
GESOP/El Periódico[616] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 44.7 | 17.4 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 27.3 |
Encuestamos[274] | 26 Feb 2015 | 600 | 32.1 | – | – | 33.3 | – | – | 1.2 |
Encuestamos[297] | 23 Jan 2015 | ? | 26.5 | 9.1 | – | 45.5 | – | – | 19.0 |
GAD3/ABC[299] | 9–16 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 32.2 | 10.4 | – | 25.7 | 6.2 | 25.5 | 6.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico[617] | 9–15 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 29.8 | 16.7 | 0.5 | 26.9 | 1.3 | 24.8 | 2.9 |
Intercampo/GETS[354] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 39.6 | 20.3 | – | 5.9 | 2.7 | 31.5 | 19.3 |
GAD3/Antena 3[436] | 11–14 Nov 2013 | 801 | 48.5 | 20.8 | – | – | 30.7 | 27.7 | |
Intercampo/GETS[443] | 16 Sep–14 Oct 2013 | 1,726 | 30.5 | 23.9 | – | – | 6.8 | 38.8 | 6.6 |
GAD3/Antena 3[447] | 7–10 Oct 2013 | 805 | 43.5 | 17.6 | – | – | 20.4 | 18.6 | 25.9 |
GAD3/Antena 3[459] | 10–13 Sep 2013 | 935 | 36.0 | 19.4 | – | – | 22.3 | 22.3 | 16.6 |
GAD3/Antena 3[493] | 27–30 May 2013 | 1,000 | 39.0 | 16.4 | – | – | 20.4 | 24.2 | 22.6 |
Intercampo/GETS[551] | 15 Sep–17 Oct 2012 | 1,724 | 29.1 | 23.8 | – | – | 7.7 | 39.4 | 5.3 |
Sub-national polling
[edit]Leadership polling
[edit]Preferred coalition
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PP | PP PSOE |
PP C's |
PSOE | PSOE Podemos |
PSOE C's |
C's Podemos |
Other/ None/ Not care |
![]() | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NC Report/La Razón[628][629] | 9–12 Dec 2015 | 3,000 | – | 8.4 | 35.8 | – | 16.7 | 17.5 | – | 4.5 | 17.1 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[24] | 7–11 Dec 2015 | ? | – | 3.1 | 30.0 | – | 32.0 | 11.8 | 5.9 | – | 17.2 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[24][53] | 30 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | ? | – | 3.3 | 31.9 | – | 35.5 | 8.3 | 3.3 | – | 17.7 | |||||
GESOP/El Periódico[614] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | – | 5.3 | 28.4 | – | 24.8 | 19.9 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 12.9 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[71][630] | 23–27 Nov 2015 | 1,200 | – | 5.3 | 29.5 | – | 32.8 | 12.8 | 3.0 | – | 16.6 | |||||
MyWord/Cadena SER[121] | 22–26 Oct 2015 | 1,001 | 10.5 | 2.2 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 21.1 | 13.9 | – | 23.9 | 10.3 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[631] | 19–23 Oct 2015 | ? | – | 7.3 | 29.4 | – | 26.2 | 17.6 | 5.3 | – | 14.2 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[632] | 5–9 Oct 2015 | ? | – | 5.7 | 26.7 | – | 31.7 | 19.0 | 3.4 | – | 13.5 | |||||
CIS[208] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 10.3 | 9.1 | 21.1 | 10.9 | – | 12.8 | 19.2 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[633] | 25–29 May 2015 | 1,200 | – | 5.8 | 24.6 | – | 38.8 | 10.7 | 6.0 | – | 14.1 | |||||
InvyMark/laSexta[634] | 13–17 Apr 2015 | ? | – | 9.0 | 21.4 | – | 26.1 | 15.8 | 8.3 | – | 19.4 | |||||
GESOP/El Periódico[616] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | – | 8.3 | 21.7 | – | 29.7 | 21.0 | – | – | 19.3 |
Notes
[edit]References
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- ^ "SPAIN, 20 December 2015. TNS Demoscopia EXIT POLL". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 December 2015.
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- ^ a b "Podemos supera al PSOE, y el PP se afianza en cabeza". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Spanish). 19 December 2015. Archived from the original on 17 March 2016.
- ^ a b "El PP apuntala su victoria y Podemos sigue recortando distancias con el PSOE". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Spanish). 19 December 2015. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
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- ^ a b "El PP pierde fuelle, mientras PSOE y Podemos siguen pugnando por ser segunda fuerza". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Spanish). 18 December 2015. Archived from the original on 18 January 2016.
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- ^ a b "El bipartidismo pierde fuelle en favor de Podemos tras el cara a cara". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Spanish). 16 December 2015. Archived from the original on 22 December 2015.
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- ^ a b c "El tiempo de pactar (con todos)". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 14 December 2015. Archived from the original on 1 December 2017. Retrieved 21 November 2017.
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- ^ a b "El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER (14/ 12/ 2015)" (PDF). MyWord (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
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- ^ "Sondeo electoral para el 20-D. Informe gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
- ^ "Una encuesta sitúa al PP con 120 diputados y ampliando a 40 escaños su ventaja sobre PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
- ^ "Resultados de la encuesta de Redondo & Asociados para elecciones generales 2015 por comunidades". Europa Press (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
- ^ a b c "La semana negra de Pedro Sánchez: Podemos (19,1%) ya es tercero y supera al PSOE (17%)". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 11 December 2015.
- ^ "Las elecciones del 20-D revolucionan el mapa político de la provincia". Atlántico (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "España. Elecciones generales 2015. Estudio de intención de voto" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "Sondeo Electoral Continuo: quedan 10 días". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 10 December 2015. Archived from the original on 13 December 2015.
- ^ "Podemos remonta en los sondeos al consolidar más de 4 millones de votos y C's supera al PSOE con 5,3 millones". Público (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
- ^ "Barómetro Político Semanal de TNS Demoscopia". TNS (in Spanish). 7 December 2015. Archived from the original on 9 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, December 2015. TNS Demoscopia poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 7 December 2015.
- ^ a b "El PP ganará, pero Ciudadanos será la clave". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, December 2015. Sondaxe poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 December 2015.
- ^ "El PSOE aguanta como segunda fuerza aunque pierde casi un punto en una semana a favor de Podemos". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
- ^ a b "El PP se distancia en hasta nueve puntos del PSOE, que empataría con Ciudadanos en intención de voto". laSexta (in Spanish). 7 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP se distancia en hasta nueve puntos del PSOE, que empataría con Ciudadanos en intención de voto". laSexta (in Spanish). 7 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. Invymark poll (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 7 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP gana y tras él se desata una cerrada pugna, pero aún hay un 31,5% de indecisos". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 14 December 2015.
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- ^ "Tracking electoral de NC Report" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 6 December 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 September 2017. Retrieved 6 December 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos, segundo, se acerca al PP tras dejar tercero al PSOE; Podemos se recupera". Telecinco (in Spanish). 10 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, December 2015. SigmaDos poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2015.
- ^ "El PP se mantiene estable en la primera posición". ABC (in Spanish). 6 December 2015.
- ^ a b c "Elecciones Generales 2015. 4 diciembre de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
- ^ "Sondeo Electoral Continuo: sólo faltan 15 días". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 4 December 2015. Archived from the original on 8 December 2015.
- ^ "Una encuesta sitúa al PP como ganador con 114 escaños, 30 por encima del PSOE". Europa Press (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, December 2015. Redondo & Asociados poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
- ^ "Barómetro Político Semanal de TNS Demoscopia". TNS (in Spanish). 30 November 2015. Archived from the original on 7 December 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. TNS Demoscopia poll (5)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos tendrá la llave de una compleja gobernabilidad de España". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 1 December 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos tendrá la llave de una compleja mayoría". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 December 2015. Archived from the original on 23 December 2018. Retrieved 21 November 2017.
- ^ "El PP sube 6 décimas en una semana y supera al PSOE en 4,2 puntos". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 4 December 2015.
- ^ a b c "El PP ganaría las elecciones con el 29,5% de votos, casi nueve puntos por encima del PSOE". laSexta (in Spanish). 29 November 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. Invymark poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 29 November 2015.
- ^ "El PP arranca la campaña con 6,2 puntos de ventaja sobre PSOE y 11,9 sobre C's". La Razón (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ "A menos de un mes de las elecciones" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 30 November 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 December 2015. Retrieved 30 November 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos adelanta al PSOE y se queda sólo a cuatro puntos del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ "Encuesta Sigma Dos. Noviembre 2015". El Mundo (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. SigmaDos poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ a b "Ciudadanos pisa los talones al PSOE y Podemos vuelve a subir". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 28 November 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. Demoscopia Servicios poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 28 November 2015.
- ^ "Ciudadanos gana terreno y Podemos vuelve a caer justo antes de la campaña". ABC (in Spanish). 30 November 2015.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Elecciones Generales 2015. 27 de noviembre de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 27 November 2015.
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- ^ a b "#EleccionesGenerales: triple empate por ahora". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 29 November 2015. Archived from the original on 1 December 2017. Retrieved 21 November 2017.
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- ^ a b "Índices de Opinión Pública. Intención de voto y valoración de líderes políticos". Simple Lógica (in Spanish). 27 November 2015.
- ^ a b c d "Preelectoral elecciones generales 2015 (Estudio nº 3117. Octubre-Noviembre 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 December 2015.
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- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. GAD3 poll (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 November 2015.
- ^ "El PP gana claramente pese al castigo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 22 November 2015.
- ^ a b "Encuesta tracking de IBES a elecciones generales 2015". IBES (in Spanish). 8 November 2015.
- ^ "Barómetro Político Semanal de TNS Demoscopia". TNS (in Spanish). 9 November 2015.
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- ^ "Barómetro electoral y social. Mes de noviembre de 2015" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 20 November 2015.
- ^ a b "PP y Ciudadanos sumarían mayoría suficiente para gobernar". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 7 November 2015.
- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. Demoscopia Servicios poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 7 November 2015.
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- ^ "SPAIN, November 2015. TNS Demoscopia poll". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 November 2015.
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- ^ "El PP solo gobernaría con la ayuda de Ciudadanos, tercera fuerza política". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 2 November 2015.
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- ^ a b "Sondeo de intención de voto en las elecciones generales". El País (in Spanish). 20 September 2015.
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- ^ a b "La suma PP y Ciudadanos, a cinco escaños de la mayoría absoluta". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 12 September 2015.
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