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Opinion polling for the 2021 Czech parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Opinion polling for the 2021 Czech parliamentary election started immediately after the 2017 parliamentary election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Sanep, TNS Kantar, STEM and CVVM.

Graphical summary

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Percentage

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Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In case of a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if this date is unknown, the date of publication is given in its place. There is an electoral threshold of 5% for political parties.

2021

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Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO SPOLU Piráti+STAN SPD KSČM ČSSD TSSsČR Z APB VB PSH Oth. Lead Govt.
+ sup.[a]
Opp.
ODS KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 Piráti STAN S T
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 27.1 27.8 15.6 9.6 3.6 4.7 2.8 1.0 0.2 1.3 4.7 1.6 0.7 31.8 53.0
STEM/MARK Exit Poll 27.8 26.4 15.0 10.0 3.9 5.0 2.8 1.0 1.3 4.7 2.9 1.4 32.8 51.4
STEM 24–30 Sep 1247 27.3 21.4 17.4 12.3 6.5 4.4 1.8 1.6 5.7 1.7 5.9 31.7 57.6
Sanep 23–30 Sep 1,897 61.9 26.1 20.7 18.3 10.2 5.0 6.1 2.6 1.0 3.1 2.5 4.0 0.4 5.4 32.2 54.3
Phoenix Research Sep 1085 58.0 24.6 23.4 15.1 11.4 4.4 5.6 5.1 2.2 5.1 3.1 1.2 30.2 54.3
Median 23–29 Sep 25.2 20.9 19.4 10.1 4.4 5.6 4.5 2.1 1.6 3.9 2.3 4.2 30.8 54.8
Kantar CZ 13–22 Sep 1200 24.5 23.0 20.5 11.5 5.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 30.0 60.0
STEM 2–13 Sep 1008 27.7 20.0 17.9 11.9 6.8 6.7 2.0 1.5 1.4 3.6 0.5 7.7 34.3 56.6
Ipsos 8–12 Sep 27.4 24.7 17.3 9.6 4.1 4.1 3.5 1.7 5.5 2.0 2.7 31.5 55.7
Phoenix Research 1–10 Sep 1,066 25.4 17.1 15.6 11.5 3.3 6.0 4.6 3.0 6.0 7.5 8.3 31.4 47.5
Sanep 2–9 Sep 1,967 25.7 20.0 17.8 10.2 5.1 5.9 2.6 1.2 3.1 2.4 4.9 1.0 5.7 31.6 53.1
Median Sep 28.8 21.7 19.8 10.7 3.5 4.9 4.7 2.5 4.0 0.0 7.1 33.7 55.7
STEM 31 Aug–8 Sep 1014 32.4 20.0 18.0 11.8 5.4 4.4 3.5 1.3 2.2 1.1 12.4 36.8 55.2
Data Collect 30 Aug–8 Sep 1200 25.0 22.0 21.0 9.0 5.5 4.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 3.0 29.0 57.5
Median 1 Aug–2 Sep 1,058 27.0 21.0 20.5 9.0 6.0 4.5 3.0 2.5 <1.0 4.0 <2.5 6.0 30.5 54.5
Médea Research August 27.6 22.3 19.3 8.7 5.1 5.1 2.6 1.4 1.7 0.9 4.9 0.4[b] 5.3 32.7 55.8
Kantar CZ 2 – 13 Aug 1200 61.5 26.5 11.5 4.5 5.0 12.0 10.5 9.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 5.5 2.5 14.5 30.0 70.0
27.5 21.0 21.0 10.0 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 6.5 31.0 69.0
STEM 9 – 12 Aug 1013 31.1 21.7 18.7 11.2 5.8 4.6 3.1 0.2 3.3 0.4 9.4 34.7 57.4
Phoenix Research 1–10 Aug 1,066 58.9 24.4 18.0 18.0 11.5 4.2 5.1 3.1 1.1 2.5 6.0 2.6 6.4 29.5 51.7
Median 1–31 Jul 1078 26.0 21.5 20.0 7.0 6.0 4.5 3.0 2.5 6.5 3.0 4.5 30.5 54.5
Sanep 8–14 Jul 1,876 23.6 20.3 23.4 9.6 5.2 5.1 3.5 1.4 2.0 4.9 1.0 0.2 28.7 58.5
CVVM 26 Jun–11 Jul 621 63.0 23.5 21.5 21.0 9.0 8.0 6.5 2.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 30.0 57.0
Phoenix Research 1–10 Jul 1,028 56.9 22.1 16.8 21.1 12.1 3.8 5.0 3.1 1.0 2.1 5.3 3.5 1.3 27.4 53.8
Median 1–30 Jun 1033 26.0 20.0 21.5 8.0 5.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 6.0 2.5 4.5 31.0 61.0
STEM 21 – 29 Jun 1010 60.0 27.0 10.9 3.2 3.0 15.5 8.7 11.1 5.6 5.4 0.8 1.6 1.6 5.0 0.6 11.5 32.4 67.0
26.7 17.4 24.1 10.9 5.5 5.5 2.6 1.6 5.1 0.6 2.6 32.2 67.2
Kantar CZ 7 - 18 Jun 1200 77.0 20.0 11.5 3.0 7.5 14.0 13.0 12.0 4.0 3.5 6.0 5.5 6.0 23.5 71.0
21.5 23.5 24.0 12.5 4.5 3.5 6.0 4.5 0.5 25.0 70.5
Sanep 10 - 15 Jun 1926 22.3 20.1 24.7 10.7 5.1 5.3 3.4 1.3 1.5 4.5 1.1 2.4 27.6 60.6
CVVM 29 May–13 Jun 643 24.5 19.5 22.5 9.5 7.5 7.5 3.5 1.5 2.5 1.5 2.0 32.0 57.5
Data Collect 31 May–11 Jun 910 75.0 20.0 12.5 3.0 4.5 16.5 11.0 10.5 5.0 4.5 3.5 4.0 5.0 3.5 24.5 63.0
882 20.5 19.5 25.5 10.5 5.5 5.0 3.0 5.0 5.5 4.0 24.5 61.0
Phoenix Research 1–10 Jun 1,099 57.7 20.2 15.9 24.2 12.1 4.5 5.1 3.0 1.2 1.7 4.2 3.0 4.0 25.3 56.7
Ipsos 2-6 Jun 1,040 64.0 23.5 23.1 22.4 9.6 4.7 4.7 3.4 1.9 5.6 1.0 0.4 28.2 59.8
Median 1–31 May 1072 23.0 19.5 24.0 9.0 6.0 7.0 3.5 2.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 30.0 58.0
Kantar CZ 10 - 28 May 1200 75.0 19.0 11.5 4.0 6.5 16.5 11.5 10.0 5.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 4.5 4.0 2.5 27.0 60.0
20.0 21.5 26.0 10.0 5.5 3.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 4.5 28.5 57.5
Ipsos 19 - 24 May TBA 64.0 22.1 23.1 23.7 10.2 5.8 4.1 3.4 4.3 3.4 0.6 32.0 57.0
Data Collect 3-7 & 17–21 May 875 74.0 18.2 11.9 3.3 5.7 17.3 12.6 12.2 6.0 2.9 3.7 6.3 0.9 27.1 63.0
19.4 20.7 27.0 13.0 6.2 3.6 2.3 3.8 4.0 7.3 29.2 60.0
Sanep 13 - 19 May 1834 22.4 18.5 26.3 10.8 4.9 5.7 3.8 1.2 1.5 3.5 1.4 4.0 28.1 55.6
Phoenix Research 1–10 May 1017 59.5 21.2 15.4 24.3 12.0 4.3 5.0 3.2 1.2 1.5 3.0 3.2 3.1 26.2 56.0
Median 1 Apr - 4 May 1007 67.0 21.0 17.0 27.5 11.5 6.0 6.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 6.5 33.5 56.0
Kantar CZ 12–30 Apr 1200 20.0 11.5 3.5 6.5 19.0 11.0 11.0 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 23.5 67.5
21.0 21.5 27.0 12.0 5.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 3.5 5.5 25.0 65.5
Sanep 15–21 Apr 1981 61.2 23.9 17.7 26.4 10.5 5.7 5.1 5.0 1.4 3.0 1.3 2.5 29.0 63.3
13 Apr Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia terminated its support of the government[1]
STEM 7–13 Apr 1049 23.8 8.7 3.5 4.1 18.6 11.0 12.9 5.1 6.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 2.4 0.5 5.2 35.5 58.8
24.0 16.6 27.9 12.8 5.2 7.0 1.9 1.4 2.4 0.7 3.9 36.2 57.3
Ipsos 8–12 Apr 1,009 22.2 21.7 27.9 10.0 5.4 4.5 3.6 2.4 2.2 5.3 32.0 59.2
Phoenix Research 1–10 Apr 1022 58.5 22.1 15.7 24.1 11.2 5.1 5.7 3.5 4.6 2.0 32.9 54.5
Data Collect 25 Mar – 1 Apr 881 20.8 10.0 4.7 5.5 17.2 14.3 12.6 2.7 3.0 3.3 6.1 3.6 26.5 55.0
919 22.1 18.2 28.5 13.4 2.8 3.7 5.1 6.2 6.4 28.6 51.8
Kantar CZ 25 Mar – 1 Apr 1200 79.0 22.0 9.0 4.0 6.5 20.0 12.0 11.5 5.0 3.0 2.0 6.5 2.0 30.0 63.0
23.5 19.0 30.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 6.5 31.5 61.0
Median 1 - 29 Mar 1,013 67.0 24.5 17.5 27.5 10.0 7.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 36.0 55.0
23 Mar Civic Democratic Alliance, Agrarian Democratic Party, Order of Nation and Democratic Green Party form an electoral alliance[2]
Sanep 18 Mar–23 Mar 1869 60.7 26.2 17.9 26.1 10.3 6.3 5.3 2.8 1.3 3.8 0.1 37.8 58.4
Ipsos 12 - 16 Mar 1,036 65.0 25.3 20.9 26.9 9.5 4.0 4.0 1.9 3.1 1.5 2.8 1.6 33.3 57.3
Phoenix Research 1 Mar–10 Mar 1058 57.2 23.2 16.1 23.0 10.3 5.3 5.8 3.4 3.3 0.2 34.3 52.8
5 Mar Trikolóra, Svobodní and SsČR form an electoral alliance[3]
Kantar CZ 15 Feb–5 Mar 1200 74.0 20.5 9.5 4.5 5.5 22.0 13.0 10.5 5.0 4.5 5.0 1.5 30.0 65.0
22.0 17.5 34.0 11.0 5.5 4.5 5.5 12.0 32.0 62.5
Median 1 Feb–2 Mar 1,048 64.5 26.5 18.5 25.0 10.0 8.0 4.5 2.5 1.5 3.5 1.5 39.0 53.5
Sanep 18–23 Feb 15,635 61.2 26.8 18.6 24.9 9.4 5.3 5.9 2.6 1.2 5.3 1.9 38.0 52.9
Ipsos 15–19 Feb 1,000 65.0 25.4 20.5 24.9 9.4 4.8 5.5 1.8 3.4 1.6 2.7 0.5 35.7 54.8
Phoenix Research 1–11 Feb 1,062 59.8 24.4 19.5 20.3 10.1 3.4 5.8 3.6 4.4 4.1 30.2 49.9
Kantar CZ 18 Jan–5 Feb 1200 73.0 26.0 10.5 4.5 4.5 21.0 9.5 10.5 5.0 3.5 5.0 5.0 34.5 60.5
26.5 19.5 29.5 10.5 5.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 35.5 59.5
Kantar CZ Oct–Jan 2744 25.5 11.5 4.5 5.5 20.0 10.5 10.0 4.5 3.5 1.5 3.0 5.5 33.5 62.0
Median 1–29 Jan 1062 63.5 26.5 18.5 25.0 9.0 7.0 7.0 2.0 1.5 3.5 1.5 40.5 52.5
Sanep 21–26 Jan 1,843 61.1 27.1 18.3 23.6 8.8 5.0 6.2 2.5 0.8 7.7 3.5 38.3 50.7
Ipsos 15–19 Jan 1018 64.0 27.2 21.7 23.2 8.4 6.0 5.8 1.9 3.6 1.2 0.8 4.0 39.0 53.3
Phoenix Research 1–10 Jan 1,038 68.1 25.5 20.3 19.3 9.0 4.1 5.6 3.9 12.3 5.2 35.2 48.6
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 60.8 29.6 11.3 5.8 5.3 10.8 5.2 10.6 7.8 7.3 1.6 1.5 0.2 0.1 3.2 18.3 44.7 49.0

2020

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO SPOLU PaS SPD KSČM ČSSD S Z T Oth. Lead Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
ODS KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 Piráti STAN
Sanep 11–16 Dec 13,251 61.2 27.7 20.1 17.5 8.0 8.1 5.0 6.7 1.0 2.8 3.1 7.6 39.4 53.7
Kantar CZ 13 Nov–4 Dec 1200 73.0 25.0 11.5 4.5 5.0 20.0 10.5 10.5 3.5 4.5 1.0 4.0 5.0 33.0 51.5
25.0 19.5 20.0 10.5 10.5 3.5 4.5 1.0 5.5 5.0 33.0 50.0
Median 1 Nov–30 Nov 1003 62.5 28.5 10.5 4.5 5.0 14.0 10.5 8.5 6.0 7.0 1.5 2.5 1.5 14.5 41.5 53.0
23 Nov Piráti and STAN form an electoral alliance[4]
Sanep 12 Nov–17 Nov 14,634 60.1 27.9 20.5 16.0 7.9 7.4 5.5 7.3 0.9 3.6 3.0 7.4 40.7 51.8
27 Oct ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 form an electoral alliance SPOLU[5]
Sanep 19–25 Oct 19,963 60.2 26.7 22.9 24.5 7.6 5.0 8.5 4.8 2.2 40.2 55.0
Kantar CZ 19 Oct–6 Nov 1200 71.0 27.5 10.5 4.0 5.5 21.0 11.0 9.0 4.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 6.5 35.0 61.0
Median 1 Oct–29 Oct 1072 65.5 28.5 13.0 5.0 6.5 13.5 7.5 7.5 7.0 6.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 15.0 42.0 54.0
Kantar CZ 21 Sep–9 Oct 1200 76.0 24.5 13.5 6.0 5.5 19.0 9.5 8.0 4.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 5.5 33.0 61.5
Sanep 10–15 Sep 12,521 59.9 28.2 12.4 4.8 4.5 14.6 5.4 6.3 5.6 10.1 1.0 4.2 2.9 13.6 43.9 41.7
CVVM 5–20 Sep 656 31.5 12.5 3.5 4.0 16.0 4.5 4.5 9.5 10.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 15.5 51.5 48.5
STEM 31 Aug – 13 Sep 1027 56.0 28.4 10.6 5.4 5.3 12.8 7.5 8.8 7.3 7.3 1.0 1.1 3.4 0.9 15.6 43.0 50.4
Kantar CZ 24 Aug–11 Sep 1200 75.0 27.5 15.0 4.0 5.0 19.5 6.5 8.0 4.5 5.5 2.5 2.0 8.0 37.5 58
Median 1 Aug–27 Aug 1037 63.0 29.5 11.0 5.5 6.5 12.5 5.0 7.5 7.0 9.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 17.0 46.0 48.0
Sanep 23–29 Jul 11,936 56.9 29.3 13.5 4.4 4.9 14.8 5.3 5.5 6.0 8.2 1.0 4.3 2.8 14.5 43.5 42.9
CVVM 18 Jul–27 Jul 972 61.0 29.0 12.0 6.5 3.5 14.5 5.5 6.0 7.5 9.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 14.5 46.0 44.5
Kantar CZ 15 Jun–3 Jul 2,603 74.0 32.0 13.0 4.5 5.5 18.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 5.0 3.0 2.0 14.0 43.5 52.5
CVVM 20 Jun–2 Jul 697 61.0 29.0 14.0 4.5 4.5 13.5 5.0 4.0 7.5 13.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 15.0 49.5 45.5
Sanep 4–10 Jun 14,358 57.1 28.1 13.4 4.3 4.7 12.9 4.9 7.0 5.6 7.3 0.9 5.0 5.9 14.7 41.0 35.3
Kantar CZ 18 May–5 Jun 1,200 73.0 31.5 13.5 4.0 5.0 17.0 5.5 8.0 5.0 5.5 2.0 3.0 14.5 42.0 53.0
STEM 22 May–1 Jun 1,086 56.0 33.7 11.4 6.1 3.3 12.8 4.2 6.5 7.3 8.9 0.7 1.4 3.5 0.2 11.9 49.9 36.8
Sanep 7–13 May 15,936 58.1 29.6 13.4 4.5 5.0 11.2 4.9 6.7 5.9 7.0 0.8 5.2 5.8 16.2 42.5 41.5
g82[6] 15–30 Apr 35.0 10.0 4.0 6.0 17.0 4.0 7.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 18.0 45.0 40.0
CVVM 29 Feb–11 Mar 1,012 62.0 33.0 14.5 7.0 4.5 12.5 4.5 4.5 7.0 8.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 18.5 48.5 34.0
Kantar CZ 10–28 Feb 1,200 73.0 31.0 13.0 5.0 5.5 15.5 6.5 6.5 4.5 5.5 3.0 4.0 15.5 36.5 52.0
Median 1 Jan–13 Feb 1,111 62.5 30.0 14.0 5.0 4.5 11.5 6.0 7.5 8.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 16.0 45.0 44.0
CVVM 1–13 Feb 1,020 62.0 33.0 14.0 6.0 3.5 13.0 3.5 5.0 8.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 19.0 50.0 38.0
Kantar CZ 13–31 Jan 1,200 59.0 30.0 12.5 5.0 5.5 16.5 5.0 7.5 6.5 5.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 13.5 41.5 52.0
25 Jan Marian Jurečka becomes leader of KDU-ČSL
CVVM 11–22 Jan 1,028 65.0 32.0 15.0 5.5 5.0 13.5 5.5 4.0 7.5 8.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 17.0 48.0 44.5
Sanep 9–15 Jan 16,834 57.8 28.9 10.8 5.8 5.2 8.5 4.1 8.1 6.7 4.7 1.0 7.4 8.8 18.1 40.3 34.4
Phoenix Research 1–12 Jan 1,002 52.5 25.3 9.0 5.8 2.5 14.0 5.1 7.5 4.0 6.2 6.1 14.5 11.3 35.5 50.0
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 60.8 29.6 11.3 5.8 5.3 10.8 5.2 10.6 7.8 7.3 1.6 1.5 3.2 18.3 44.7 49.0

2019

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 STAN S Z T Oth. Lead Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
STEM 29 Nov–10 Dec 1,083 54.0 33.6 12.3 12.3 5.6 8.2 6.4 6.4 5.8 5.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.6 21.3 48.2 47.9
CVVM 30 Nov–11 Dec 713 62.0 29.5 12.5 14.0 5.5 8.0 10.0 6.5 3.5 4.0 1.0 1.5 3.5 1.5 15.5 47.5 48.5
Median 29 Oct–30 Nov 1,126 63.0 30.5 12.5 12.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 18.0 45.5 49.0
Kantar CZ 9 Nov–29 Nov 1,200 56.0 28.5 14.5 13.5 6.5 5.0 6.0 4.5 5.5 6.5 6.5 3.0 14.0 39.5 53.0
Sanep 21 Nov–27 Nov 1,926 54.2 29.2 10.8 8.9 7.8 6.4 5.2 5.5 4.5 4.0 1.0 7.0 9.6 18.4 40.8 59.1
STEM 14 Nov–26 Nov 1,111 60.0 34.9 10.5 10.9 9.1 7.1 6.4 5.5 3.7 7.2 1.0 1.9 1.6 24.0 48.4 49.8
24 Nov Markéta Adamová becomes leader of TOP 09[7]
CVVM 2 Nov–15 Nov 685 61.0 30.0 14.0 13.5 5.5 9.0 9.0 5.5 3.5 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.5 0.5 16.0 48.0 51.5
Phoenix Research 1 Nov–18 Nov 1,089 58.7 26.6 8.8 10.5 7.1 4.7 5.7 5.6 3.4 4.5 5.1 18.0 16.1 37.0 45.0
Kantar CZ 12 Oct–1 Nov 1,200 73.0 31.5 12.5 17.0 4.5 7.0 4.5 5.0 6.0 5.0 3.5 3.5 14.5 43.0 53.5
STEM 11 Oct–25 Oct 991 60.0 33.1 10.5 12.2 7.5 8.4 6.5 5.6 4.4 4.3 1.4 4.2 1.9 21.9 48.0 47.5
CVVM 4 Oct–20 Oct 991 60.0 33.5 13.5 14.0 4.5 8.5 10.0 5.0 4.0 2.5 1.0 3.0 0.5 19.5 52.0 47.5
Median 30 Sep–28 Oct 1,153 64.5 30.5 11.5 12.5 8.0 7.0 7.5 4.5 6.0 6.0 2.0 1.5 3.0 18.0 45.0 52.0
Kantar CZ 16 Sep–5 Oct 1,200 72.0 30.0 14.5 15.5 6.0 6.5 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 3.5 3.5 14.5 41.5 55.0
CVVM 7 Sep–17 Sep 1,018 59.0 30.0 12.0 13.0 8.5 8.5 9.5 4.5 4.0 4.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 17.0 48.0 52.0
Median 28 Aug – 29 Sep 1,012 64.0 31.0 12.5 13.5 7.5 6.5 7.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 2.0 1.5 2.0 17.5 44.5 53.5
Phoenix Research 20 Aug–18 Sep 1,055 58.5 30.5 11.0 19.0 6.0 5.0 7.5 5.5 5.0 3.5 4.0 3.0 11.5 43.0 54.0
Kantar CZ 10–30 Aug 1,200 70.5 30.0 14.5 17.0 8.0 4.5 6.0 5.0 4.5 5.0 2.0 3.5 13.0 40.5 59.5
Median 27 Jul–26 Aug 1,081 63.5 29.5 13.0 14.5 8.5 6.0 6.5 5.0 5.5 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 15.0 42.0 51.5
Median 1–26 Jul 1,041 62.0 28.5 12.5 14.0 9.0 6.5 8.0 6.0 4.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 14.5 43.0 52.0
STEM 14–30 Jun 1,004 56.0 32.5 13.1 15.6 7.9 7.8 6.4 5.5 3.7 3.8 0.5 1.9 1.3 16.9 46.7 49.6
Median 1–30 Jun 1,045 62.0 29.0 14.5 13.0 9.0 7.5 7.5 5.5 4.5 5.0 1.0 2.5 1.0 14.5 44.0 51.5
Kantar TNS 17–26 Jun 1,200 73.0 25.5 13.0 18.5 8.5 5.5 6.5 4.5 5.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 37.5 55.5
25 Jun Tricolour Citizens' Movement (THO) founded after Václav Klaus Jr. was expelled from ODS.[8]
CVVM 8–17 Jun 1,003 60.0 29.0 15.0 17.0 6.5 9.0 7.5 5.0 3.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 12.0 45.5 51.0
Kantar CZ 11–31 May 1,200 73.0 27.5 12.5 17.5 10.5 6.5 6.0 4.5 4.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 40.0 56.0
24–25 May 2019 European Parliament election in the Czech Republic
Median 24 Apr–25 May 1,003 63.0 30.5 14.5 12.0 10.0 6.0 8.5 5.5 4.5 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 16.0 45.0 51.5
CVVM 4–14 May 1,001 63.0 28.0 17.0 13.5 5.0 11.0 9.5 4.5 3.0 4.5 2.0 2.0 11.0 47.5 47.5
Kantar CZ 12 Apr–3 May 878 72 30 13.5 16.0 8.5 6.0 6.5 5.5 4.0 6.0 4.0 14.0 42.5 53.5
Median 23 Mar–24 Apr 1,011 61.0 29.5 14.5 14.0 7.5 6.5 9.0 4.5 4.0 5.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 15.0 45.0 50.0
STEM 5–17 Apr 1,074 34.0 13.2 11.1 9.8 9.5 7.8 4.9 3.7 3.3 1.0 1.0 0.7 20.8 51.3 46.0
CVVM 30 Mar–10 Apr 1,032 59.0 32.0 14.0 12.5 6.0 11.0 12.5 4.0 3.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 18.0 55.5 44.0
13 Apr Vít Rakušan becomes leader of STAN[7]
Sanep 11–17 Apr 1,658 60.8 32.1 12.0 17.1 9.8 7.1 6.3 5.0 3.5 3.7 3.4 17.9 45.5 51.1
29 Mar Marek Výborný becomes leader of KDU-ČSL[9]
Kantar CZ 16 Mar–5 Apr 870 73.0 33.0 13.5 19.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 5.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 14.0 45.5 50.5
Median 24 Feb–24 Mar 1,038 64.0 30.5 14.0 14.0 8.5 8.0 8.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 16.5 46.5 46.5
Sanep 14–20 Mar 1,861 58.3 31.5 12.1 17.3 9.7 6.4 6.3 5.1 3.5 4.0 4.1 14.2 44.2 55.8
15 Mar Three former SPD deputies form JAP[10]
CVVM 12–13 Mar 1,096 64.0 32.0 14.0 12.5 4.5 8.5 12.5 5.5 4.0 3.5 1.0 2.0 18.0 53.0 44.0
Sanep 14–20 Feb 1.721 60.8 32.1 15.2 16.5 7.2 6.1 5.6 5.3 4.0 4.3 3.7 15.6 43.8 52,5
Kantar TNS 9 Feb–1 Mar 1,200 31.0 12.5 17.5 9.5 6.0 6.5 4.5 4.0 5.0 3.5 13.5 44.5 49.0
CVVM 2–13 Feb 783 63.0 30.5 14.5 14.5 4.5 10.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 20.0 51.5 46.0
Median 24 Jan–24 Feb 1.018 63.0 33.5 13.0 13.0 7.0 7.5 8.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 20.0 49.0 48.0
Phoenix Research 15 Jan–12 Feb 74.0 31.6 17.0 18.6 8.8 5.9 11.0 5.5 5.1 6.8 2.0 2.2 19.5 13.0 48.5 61.8
Stem 25 Jan–6 Feb 31.9 11.0 15.7 7.7 8.5 8.3 6.0 3.6 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 16.2 47.0 47.0
Kantar TNS 12 Jan–2 Feb 1,200 74.0 32.0 13.5 16.5 7.0 6.5 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.0 4.0 15.5 43.5 52.5
Median 10 Dec–24 Jan 1,129 63.5 30.0 15.5 13.5 8.0 7.5 9.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 14.5 46.5 50.5
Sanep 17–21 Jan 1,853 62.5 32.9 15.5 16.3 6.8 5.9 5.7 5.1 4.2 4.1 3.5 16.6 45.6 49.2
CVVM 5–19 Jan 759 62.0 31.0 13.0 15.0 4.0 9.5 12.5 5.0 3.0 3.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 16.0 53.0 47.0
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 60.8 29.6 11.3 10.8 10.6 7.8 7.3 5.8 5.3 5.2 1.6 1.5 3.2 18.3 44.7 49.0

2018 and 2017

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 STAN S Z Oth. Lead Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
Sanep 20–26 Dec 2018 1,726 62.7 31.2 16.3 16.1 6.5 5.8 5.5 5.4 4.7 5.0 3.5 14.9 42.5 54.0
CVVM 1–13 Dec 2018 1,050 61.0 33.5 14.5 14.0 4.0 10.0 9.5 4.0 4.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 19.0 52.0 45.0
Median 10 Nov–9 Dec 2018 1,056 60.5 29.5 13.5 13.0 10.0 7.0 7.5 5.5 5.0 6.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 16.0 44.0 53.0
Phoenix Research 20 Nov–8 Dec 2018 1,018 53.9 29.7 14.2 14.1 6.3 4.9 6.1 5.1 3.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 12.7 15.5 40.9 46.2
STEM 19–30 Nov 2018 1,034 55.0 35.7 12.4 13.1 6.9 7.6 6.6 5.1 4.9 4.6 1.5 0.8 0.8 22.6 49.9 49.3
Sanep 22–28 Nov 2018 1,857 60.5 30.1 16.8 15.5 7.2 6.1 5.0 5.2 4.8 5.3 4.0 13.3 41.2 54.8
Kantar TNS 3–25 Nov 2018 1,200 32.5 16.0 19.0 5.5 6.0 5.0 4.5 4.0 5.5 2.0 13.5 43.5 54.5
12–13 Nov 2018 2018 Czech political crisis begins[11]
CVVM [c] 3–15 Nov 2018 1,104 60.0 29.5 14.5 14.0 7.5 10.0 9.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 2.5 15.0 48.5 48.0
Phoenix Research 20 Oct–7 Nov 2018 1,018 51.5 24.9 14.7 13.2 7.8 5.5 5.0 5.1 3.1 4.0 0.5 0.5 15.7 10.2 35.4 47.9
CVVM 13–26 Oct 2018 1,001 61.0 30.0 19.0 11.0 5.0 8.5 9.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 11.0 47.5 49.0
Kantar TNS 6–26 Oct 2018 1,200 27.0 14.0 16.0 7.5 6.5 5.5 6.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 3.5 11.0 39.0 55.5
Median 25 Sep – 25 Oct 2018 1,097 64.5 28.5 12.0 12.0 9.0 8.5 9.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 14.5 46.5 49.0
STEM 9–24 Oct 2018 1,011 57.0 33.4 12.9 12.6 9.6 7.4 6.7 6.4 2.1 5.3 0.5 1.1 1.5 20.5 47.5 49.9
Sanep 22 Oct 2018 1,200 61.3 27.6 15.9 14.7 9.7 6.5 4.9 5.6 5.9 5.4 3.8 11.7 39.0 57.2
12–13 Oct 2018 2nd round of 2018 Senate election
Phoenix Research 1–10 Oct 2018 1,062 53.0 24.5 15.0 13.8 7.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 3.1 4.1 1.0 1.0 14.6 9.5 34.9 48.5
5–6 Oct 2018 2018 municipal elections and 1st round of 2018 Senate election
TNS Kantar 1–21 Sep 2018 1,200 29.5 13.0 15.5 9.0 5.5 7.0 5.0 4.0 5.5 2.0 4.0 14.0 42.0 52.0
CVVM 8–20 Sep 2018 1,037 63.0 30.0 14.0 13.0 5.0 10.5 12.0 4.5 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 52.5 44.5
Sanep 6–12 Sep 2018 1,836 62.4 28.1 13.1 13.9 12.7 7.2 6.4 5.1 5.2 5.0 1.5 14.8 41.7 55.0
Median 25 Jul–28 Aug 2018 63.0 31.0 14.0 10.5 8.0 9.0 8.5 5.5 5.5 3.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 17.0 48.5 47.0
TNS Kantar 4–26 Aug 2018 1,200 71.0 28.0 13.0 15.0 8.0 8.0 6.5 5.5 5.0 6.5 4.5 13.0 42.5 53.0
Sanep 9–15 Aug 2018 15,159 61.5 29.1 13.5 13.1 12.7 7.0 7.5 5.2 3.5 5.1 3.3 15.6 43.6 53.1
Median 27 Jun–23 Jul 2018 1,235 62.5 30.0 14.0 11.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 5.5 5.0 4.0 1.5 2.5 0.5 16.0 47.0 48.5
CVVM 16–29 Jun 2018 1,046 62.0 31.0 14.0 10.0 6.5 10.5 11.0 6.0 4.5 4.5 1.0 1.0 17.0 52.5 45.5
27 Jun 2018 Andrej Babiš' Second Cabinet formed.
STEM 13–27 Jun 2018 1,007 58.0 32.0 15.5 10.2 8.6 9.1 7.9 6.3 4.9 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.3 16.5 49.0 48.2
Median 25 May – 26 Jun 2018 1,141 61.5 31.5 12.5 11.5 8.5 8.0 9.0 4.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 19.0 48.5 47.0
Phoenix Research 18–24 Jun 2018 1,016 25.5 11.1 12.1 8.6 9.6 5.4 4.3 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.4 4.3 13.4 40.5 41.7
TNS Kantar 2–22 Jun 2018 1,200 28.5 15.5 12.5 9.5 8.0 7.0 5.0 3.5 5.5 2.0 3.5 13.0 43.5 51.5
Sanep 7–13 Jun 2018 18,912 62.4 28.2 13.5 14.2 12.4 7.1 6.8 5.3 4.0 5.0 3.5 14.0 42.1 54.7
TNS Kantar 12 May–1 Jun 2018 1,200 74.0 27.0 16.0 14.5 9.0 7.5 7.0 4.0 5.0 5.5 4.5 11.0 41.5 54.0
CVVM 12–24 May 2018 1,008 63.0 29.0 13.0 11.0 7.5 10.5 13.0 5.5 3.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 52.5 44.5
Sanep 17–23 May 2018 18,867 61.8 28.9 13.8 13.9 12.2 6.8 6.7 5.5 4.0 5.1 3.1 15.0 42.4 54.5
Median 10 Apr–5 May 2018 1,224 60.0 30.5 14.0 11.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 16.5 47.0 50.0
Median 15 Nov–3 May 2018 5,781 30.5 13.0 12.0 9.5 8.5 7.5 5.5 5.5 5.0 4.0 17.5 46.5 50.5
STEM 19-29 Apr 2018 1,046 58.0 32.9 13.7 13.5 9.0 8.5 7.0 5.4 3.9 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 19.2 48.4 49.4
TNS Kantar 7-27 Apr 2018 887 30.5 14.5 14.5 8.0 8.0 6.5 5.5 4.0 5.5 3.0 16.0 45.0 52.0
Sanep 19-25 Apr 2018 2,319 61.3 28.6 13.6 13.2 12.1 6.7 7.2 5.3 4.1 5.4 3.8 15.0 42.5 54.4
CVVM 7-19 Apr 2018 1,115 58.0 29.0 13.5 12.5 7.5 10.0 11.5 6.5 4.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 15.5 50.5 47.5
TNS Kantar 10-29 Mar 2018 847 73.0 29.5 14.0 13.5 7.5 6.5 8.5 5.0 4.5 6.0 2.0 3.0 15.5 44.5 50.5
Sanep 22-28 Mar 2018 2,473 62.7 30.7 12.3 12.8 11.7 7.1 6.9 5.4 4.2 5.2 3.7 17.9 44.7 51.6
Médea Research 6–21 Mar 2018 1,003 32.2 10.2 16.7 7.1 5.6 9.0 4.7 4.2 6.5 2.1 1.1 15.5 46.8 49.4
CVVM 3–15 Mar 2018 1,061 64.0 30.5 12.5 12.5 6.5 11.0 11.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 18.0 52.5 45.0
TNS Kantar 3–23 Feb 2018 1,200 73.7 33.0 12.0 12.5 8.5 6.5 7.5 5.0 4.5 4.5 6.0 20.5 47.0 47.0
Sanep 15–21 Feb 2018 2,329 61.8 32.1 10.8 12.1 11.3 6.9 7.5 5.8 4.5 5.4 3.6 20.0 46.5 49.9
18 Feb 2018 Jan Hamáček becomes leader of ČSSD
CVVM 3–15 Feb 2018 812 64.0 33.5 10.5 13.0 6.5 10.0 12.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.5 20.5 55.5 40.0
STEM 1–8 Feb 2018 1,028 62.0 32.5 11.0 13.3 9.5 8.7 7.1 5.2 4.6 4.0 1.5 1.1 1.5 19.2 48.3 47.6
CVVM 15–24 Jan 2018 1,068 66.0 30.5 12 12.5 7.5 8 12.5 5 4 3 1.5 1.5 2 18 51.0 44.0
CVVM 2–17 Dec 2017 715 61.0 35.5 11.5 11.5 6.5 7.5 10 6.5 4.5 4 2.5 24 53.0 44.5
13 Dec 2017 Andrej Babiš' First Cabinet formed.
STEM 1–11 Dec 2017 1,027 62.0 33.0 9.6 12.2 8.7 8.8 8.0 5.4 4.4 5.2 0.9 3.8 20.8 49.8 45.5
26 Nov 2017 Jiří Pospíšil becomes leader of TOP 09
TNS Kantar 4–24 Nov 2017 1,200 74.2 30 12 14 9.5 7 5.5 4.5 5 5.5 3.0 4 16 42.5 50.5
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 60.8 29.6 11.3 10.8 10.6 7.8 7.3 5.8 5.3 5.2 1.6 1.5 3.2 18.3 44.7 49.0
  1. ^ Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia until 13 April 2021.[1]
  2. ^ 0.2%
  3. ^ The researcher claims that the poll does not reflect consequences of the crisis, as 96 % of answers were given before its outbreak.

Seats

[edit]

2021

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 STAN S Z Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
Kantar CZ February - March 2021 54 21 49 26 10 0 0 13 27 64 136

2017–2020

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
ANO ODS Piráti SPD KSČM ČSSD KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 STAN S Z Govt.
+ sup.
Opp.
Kantar CZ April–June 2020 86 27 42 12 7 8 0 10 8 101 99
Sanep 14–20 Mar 2019 71 27 39 22 15 14 12 0 0 0 0 100 100
Sanep 17–23 Jan 2019 75 35 37 15 13 13 12 0 0 0 0 101 99
STEM 9–24 Oct 2018 83 27 26 20 15 12 12 0 5 0 0 110 90
Sanep 22 Oct 2018 61 35 32 21 14 0 12 13 12 0 0 75 125
Sanep 9–15 Aug 2018 63 29 28 27 15 16 11 0 11 0 0 94 106
STEM 13–27 Jun 2018 83 37 22 18 16 16 8 0 0 0 0 115 85
TNS Kantar 2-22 Jun 2018 76 36 27 20 13 15 6 0 7 0 0 104 96
Sanep 12 May-1 Jun 2018 61 29 31 27 15 15 11 0 11 0 0 91 109
TNS Kantar 12 May-1 June 2018 73 36 33 18 14 13 0 6 7 0 0 100 100
CVVM 12–24 May 2018 71 31 25 13 21 31 8 0 0 0 0 123 77
Sanep 17–23 May 2018 62 30 30 26 15 14 12 0 11 0 0 91 109
STEM 19-29 Apr 2018 85 32 29 17 16 14 7 0 0 0 0 115 85
TNS Kantar 7-27 Apr 2018 79 34 34 15 15 11 6 0 6 0 0 105 95
Sanep 19-25 Apr 2018 62 30 29 26 14 16 11 0 12 0 0 92 108
CVVM 7–19 Apr 2018 71 31 29 13 20 25 11 0 0 0 0 116 84
TNS Kantar 10–29 Mar 2018 73 34 33 15 11 18 7 0 9 0 0 102 98
Sanep 22–28 Mar 2018 67 27 28 25 15 15 12 0 11 0 0 97 103
TNS Kantar 3–23 Feb 2018 87 29 32 20 14 15 7 0 0 0 0 116 84
Sanep 15–21 Feb 2018 70 24 26 24 15 16 13 0 12 0 0 101 99
2017 election 20–21 Oct 2017 78 25 22 22 15 15 10 7 6 0 0 108 92

Other surveys

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Turnout ANO SPOLU Piráti+STAN SPD KSČM ČSSD TSSsČR Z VB PSH Oth. Lead Govt.
+ sup.[a]
Opp.
ODS KDU–
ČSL
TOP 09 Piráti STAN S T
Charles University[12] 9 Oct 2021 21 25.5 22 9.3 3.2 3.7 3.8 5.3 6.2 3.5 24.7 56.8
STEM (two positive votes and one negative vote available) 2-13 Sep 2021 1,008 18.7 21.0 2.4 14.3 -1.0 18.3 7.9 8.0 1.9 8.7 11.4 2.3 36.0 70.7
STEM two votes available) 2-13 Sep 2021 1,008 35.1 29.3 25.9 19.7 10.8 19.8 9.1 8.8 2.1 5.7 11.7 5.9 65.7 98.5
Student election[13] 21 Sept 2021 8.5 29.4 30.4 4.0 2.3 2.4 1.9 7.1 3.3 2.0 8.7 1.0 12.7 70.8

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c "S podporou je konec. Komunisté vypověděli dohodu o toleranci vlády, hlasování o nedůvěře ale vyvolávat nebudou". Hospodářské noviny. 13 April 2021. Retrieved 13 April 2021.
  2. ^ "Další koalice. Do voleb jde Aliance pro budoucnost". TÝDEN.cz (in Czech). 23 March 2021. Retrieved 24 March 2021.
  3. ^ "Trikolóra, Soukromníci a Svobodní půjdou do voleb spolu. Jsme otevřeni i pro další subjekty, řekl Klaus mladší". Czech Television. Retrieved 4 March 2021.
  4. ^ "Předvolební námluvy začaly, Piráti odsouhlasili koalici se STAN". Novinky.cz. Retrieved 26 November 2020.
  5. ^ "Blok proti Babišovi. ODS, lidovci a TOP 09 chtějí jít do voleb společně". Novinky.cz. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
  6. ^ Prima, F. T. V. "Nejaktuálnější zprávy z domova i ze světa". cnn.iprima.cz. Retrieved 22 August 2023.
  7. ^ a b "TOP 09 povede Pekarová Adamová. Přání mít Pospíšila místopředsedou jí však nesplnili". Aktualne.cz. 24 November 2019. Retrieved 24 November 2019.
  8. ^ "Trikolóra hnutí občanů: Václav Klaus mladší o nové straně". Blesk.cz. 10 June 2019. Retrieved 6 November 2019.
  9. ^ "Novým předsedou KDU-ČSL se stal Výborný, jeho pravou rukou senátorka Jelínková". Aktualne.cz. 29 March 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  10. ^ "Tři poslanci opouštějí SPD. Vadí jim porušování předpisů i rasisté ve straně". Lidovky.cz. 15 March 2019. Retrieved 7 April 2019.
  11. ^ "TOP 09 vyzvala Babiše k demisi, ve hře je hlasování o možném pádu vlády". iDNES.cz. 13 November 2018. Retrieved 13 November 2018.
  12. ^ "Experimentální průzkum: Volby by drtivě vyhrály koalice". Novinky.cz. Retrieved 9 October 2021.
  13. ^ "Babiš u mladých pohořel. Studentské volby drtivě vyhrály koalice". Novinky.cz. Retrieved 16 October 2021.
[edit]