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Aggregate polls
[edit]Poll numbers verified as of September 24, 2016[update].
Race | Poll model | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Leading by % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Two-way | 270 to Win | 46.0% | 42.7% | — | 3.3 | |
Election Projection | 46.5% | 44.4% | 2.1 | |||
HuffPost Pollster | 47.7% | 43.7% | 4.0 | |||
New York Times | 44.0% | 42.0% | 2.0 | |||
PurePolling | 44.7% | 42.8% | 1.9 | |||
Real Clear Politics | 45.9% | 43.8% | 2.1 | |||
TPM Polltracker | 46.2% | 45.6% | 0.6 | |||
Three-way | Election Projection | 42.0% | 40.9% | 8.3% | — | 1.1 |
FiveThirtyEight | 41.8% | 41.4% | 7.2% | 0.4 | ||
HuffPost Pollster | 41.8% | 40.1% | 7.9% | 1.7 | ||
New York Times | 43.0% | 41.0% | 8.0% | 2.0 | ||
TPM Polltracker | 42.9% | 41.5% | 6.0% | 1.4 | ||
Four-way | 270 to Win | 43.8% | 40.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 2.9 |
Election Projection | 42.7% | 40.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 2.1 | |
PurePolling | 41.3% | 39.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 1.4 | |
Real Clear Politics | 42.6% | 41.1% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 1.5 | |
TPM Polltracker | 42.8% | 41.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.2 |
Individual polls
[edit]Since convention nominations
[edit]Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton |
Democratic | Donald Trump |
Republican | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | <gref name="quinnsept2616"> | "CLINTON 44–TRUMP 43, TOO CLOSE TO CALL, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; DEMOCRAT HAS 9-POINT LEAD ON TONIGHT'S DEBATE" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. Real Clear Politics. September 26, 2016. | accessdate=September 26, 2016}} | </gref> | September 22–25, 2016 | 47% | 46% | 1 | 1,115 | ± 2.9% |
Monmouth University | <gref name=monunisep2616> | "Prez Race Narrows on Debate Eve". Monmouth University. September 26, 2016. | accessdate=September 26, 2016}} | </gref> | September 22–25, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 729 | ± 3.6% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's Winning? Daily track of Trump and Clinton's support". Los Angeles Times. USC / LA Times. | accessdate=26 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 19–25, 2016 | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2,726 | ± 4.5% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump in virtual tie heading into first debate". Team CVoter. UPI. September 26, 2016. | accessdate=September 26, 2016}} | </gref> | September 19–25, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,052 | ± 3.0% |
Morning Consult | <gref name="morningsept916"> | "Trump Edges Above Clinton Ahead of First Debate". Morning Consult. September 25, 2016. | accessdate=September 25, 2016}} | </gref> | September 22–24, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,712 | ± 2.0% |
Bloomberg/Selzer | <gref name="bloomsept2616"> | "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Selzer & Co. Bloomberg Politics. September 26, 2016. | accessdate=September 26, 2016}} | </gref> | September 21–24, 2016 | 46% | 46% | Tied | 1,002 | ± 3.1% |
ABC News/Washington Post | <gref name="ABC925"> | "Clinton and Trump in virtual dead heat before first debate". ABC News/Washington Post. September 25, 2016. | accessdate=September 25, 2016}} | </gref> | September 19–22, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 651 | ± 4.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipreuters23092016> | "Clinton leads Trump by 4 points ahead of first presidential debate: Reuters/Ipsos poll". Ipsos. Reuters. September 23, 2016. | accessdate=September 24, 2016}} | </gref> | September 16–22, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 4 | 1,559 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's Winning? Daily track of Trump and Clinton's support". Los Angeles Times. USC / LA Times. | accessdate=22 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 15–21, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,623 | ± 2.3% |
American Research Group | <gref> | "National Presidential Ballot". American Research Group. Huffington Post. September 21, 2016. | accessdate=September 23, 2016}} | </gref> | September 17–20, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 990 | ± 3.2% |
McClatchy/Marist | <gref name=McMsep232016> | "McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,298 National Adults". Marist. McClatchy. September 23, 2016. | accessdate= September 23, 2016}} | </gref> | September 15–20, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 758 | ± 3.6% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's Winning? Daily track of Trump and Clinton's support". Los Angeles Times. USC / LA Times. | accessdate=21 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 14–20, 2016 | 42% | 46% | 4 | 2,629 | ± 2.3% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=youeconsep2016> | "YouGov/Economist Poll: September 18-19, 2016". YouGov. The Economist. September 20, 2016. | accessdate= September 20, 2016}} | </gref> | September 18–19, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 936 | ± 4.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | <gref name=nbcwsjsep2116> | "16804 NBCWSJ September Poll". HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. September 21, 2016. | accessdate= September 22, 2016}} | </gref> | September 16–19, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 922 | ± 3.23% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreusept2116> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. September 21, 2016. | accessdate=September 21, 2016}} | </gref> | September 15–19, 2016 | 39% | 39% | Tied | 1,111 | ± 3.4% |
Associated Press/GFK | <gref name=apgfksept2216> | "THE AP-GfK POLL September, 2016" (PDF). GFK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Associated Press. September 22, 2016. | accessdate=September 23, 2016}} | </gref> | September 15–19, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,251 | ± 2.5% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's winning? Daily track of Clinton and Trump's support". LA Times. LA Times / USC Dornlife. | accessdate=21 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 13–19, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,524 | ± 2.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton holds 1.18% lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 21, 2016. | accessdate=September 22, 2016}} | </gref> | September 12–18, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,203 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcsmsept2016> | "NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. September 20, 2016. | accessdate=September 20, 2016}} | </gref> | September 12–18, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 13,230 | ± 1.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton reclaims slight lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 17, 2016. | accessdate=September 20, 2016}} | </gref> | September 10–16, 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,246 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump holds lead over Hillary Clinton for 11th day". Team CVoter. UPI. September 17, 2016. | accessdate=September 17, 2016}} | </gref> | September 9–15, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,229 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref> | "Race tightens in projected U.S. Electoral College vote: Reuters/Ipsos". Ipsos/Reuters. September 17, 2016. | accessdate=September 17, 2016}} | </gref> | September 9–15, 2016 | 42% | 38% | 4 | 1,579 | ±3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's Winning? Daily track of Clinton and Trump's support". Los Angeles Times. | accessdate=16 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 9–15, 2016 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2,497 | ± 2.8% |
Fox News | <gref name=foxsep15-2016> | "Fox News Poll Sept. 15, 2016". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. September 15, 2016. | accessdate=September 16, 2016}} | </gref> | September 11–14, 2016 | 45% | 46% | 1 | 867 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains steady 1 point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 16, 2016. | accessdate=September 16, 2016}} | </gref> | September 8–14, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,265 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. | accessdate=15 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 8–14, 2016 | 41% | 47% | 6 | 2,499 | ± 3.1% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=youeconsep1416> | "YouGov/Economist Poll: September 10-13, 2016". YouGov. The Economist. September 14, 2016. | accessdate= September 14, 2016}} | </gref> | September 10–13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,087 | ± 4.0% |
CBS News/New York Times | <gref name=cbssep1516> | "Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in tight race nationally - CBS/NYT poll". SSRS of Media, PA. CBS News/New York Times. September 15, 2016. | accessdate=September 15, 2016}} | </gref> | September 9–13, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2 | 1,433 | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac University | <gref name=quinnsep1416> | "Trump Cuts Clinton Lead In Half, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds, Most Americans Are Voting Against, Not For, A Candidate" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. September 14, 2016. | accessdate=September 14, 2016}} | </gref> | September 8–13, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 960 | ± 3.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton pull back into virtual tie". Team CVoter. UPI. September 15, 2016. | accessdate=September 15, 2016}} | </gref> | September 7–13, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,245 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. | accessdate=14 September 2016}} | </gref> | September 7–13, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5 | 2,550 | ± 2.7% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreusept1416> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. September 13, 2016. | accessdate=September 14, 2016}} | </gref> | September 8–12, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1,127 | ± 3.3% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains 3-point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 14, 2016. | accessdate=September 15, 2016}} | </gref> | September 6–12, 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,232 | ± 3.0% |
Pew Research | <gref name=pewsept1316> | "In Their Own Words:Why Voters Support - and Have Concerns About - Clinton and Trump" (PDF). Pew Research Center. September 21, 2016. | accessdate=September 22, 2016}} | </gref> | August 16 – September 12, 2016 | 52% | 44% | 8 | 3,941 | ± 2.6% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcsmsept1316> | "Poll: Clinton's Lead Narrows Among Independents, Voters Nationally". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. September 13, 2016. | accessdate=September 13, 2016}} | </gref> | September 5–11, 2016 | 48% | 44% | 4 | 16,220 | ± 1.1% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 3 points". Team CVoter. UPI. September 12, 2016. | accessdate=September 12, 2016}} | </gref> | September 5–11, 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3 | 1,260 | ± 3.0% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningconsep1116> | "Presidential Race a Near Toss-Up Among Likely Voters". Morning Consult. September 11, 2016. | accessdate=September 11, 2016}} | </gref> | September 6–8, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 1,710 | ± 2.0% |
ABC News/Washington Post | <gref name="ABC911"> | "Washington Post-ABC News national poll Sept. 5-8, 2016". ABC News/Washington Post. September 11, 2016. | accessdate=September 11, 2016}} | </gref> | September 5–8, 2016 | 51% | 43% | 8 | 642 | ± 4.5% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=September 9, 2016}} | </gref> | September 2–8, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,653 | ± 2.4% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 2 points". Team CVoter. UPI. September 11, 2016. | accessdate=September 11, 2016}} | </gref> | September 2–8, 2016 | 46% | 48% | 2 | 1,256 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter: Donald Trump maintains 1 point lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 10, 2016. | accessdate=September 10, 2016}} | </gref> | September 1–7, 2016 | 47% | 48% | 1 | 1,226 | ± 3.0% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=youeconsep0716> | "YouGov/Economist Poll: September 4-6, 2016". YouGov. The Economist. September 7, 2016. | accessdate= September 7, 2016}} | </gref> | September 4–6, 2016 | 44% | 42% | 2 | 1,077 | ± 4.7% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump pushes ahead of Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. September 8, 2016. | accessdate=September 9, 2016}} | </gref> | August 31 – September 6, 2016 | 47% | 47% | Tied | 1,262 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreu97> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. September 6, 2016. | accessdate=September 7, 2016}} | </gref> | September 1–5, 2016 | 40% | 38% | 2 | 1,084 | ± 3.5% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton has 2-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 7, 2016. | accessdate=September 8, 2016}} | </gref> | August 30 – September 5, 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,220 | ± 3.0% |
CNN/ORC | <gref name=cnnorcsept616> | "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 6, 2016. | accessdate=September 3, 2016}} | </gref> | September 1–4, 2016 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 786 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcsmsept616> | "Clinton Holds Steady Against Trump as Campaign Enters Final Weeks: Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. September 6, 2016. | accessdate=September 6, 2016}} | </gref> | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 32,226 | ± 1.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton holds lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 6, 2016. | accessdate=September 6, 2016}} | </gref> | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | 49% | 47% | 2 | 1,237 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton edges out Donald Trump with 3.85-point lead". Team CVoter. UPI. September 5, 2016. | accessdate=September 6, 2016}} | </gref> | August 28 – September 3, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,242 | ± 3.0% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningconsep0316> | "Trump's Immigration Stance Isn't Hurting Him". Morning Consult. September 3, 2016. | accessdate=September 3, 2016}} | </gref> | September 1–2, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 2 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreu92> | "Trump catches up to Clinton, latest Reuters/Ipsos poll finds". Reuters. September 2, 2016. | accessdate=September 2, 2016}} | </gref> | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 39% | 40% | 1 | 1,804 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | <gref name=ibdtippsep22016> | "Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump Are Tied In Latest IBD/TIPP Poll". TIPP. Investor's Business Daily. September 2, 2016. | x | </gref> | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | 44% | 43% | 1 | 861 | ± 3.4% |
Fox News | <gref name=foxaug31-2016> | "Fox News Poll Aug. 31, 2016". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. August 31, 2016. | accessdate=August 31, 2016}} | </gref> | August 28–30, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 1,011 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton has 2.8-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. September 1, 2016. | accessdate=September 2, 2016}} | </gref> | August 24–30, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,162 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreu831> | "Ipsos/Reuters Poll (August 31): Core Political Approval". Reuters. August 31, 2016. | accessdate=August 31, 2016}} | </gref> | August 25–29, 2016 | 40% | 39% | 1 | 1,404 | ± 3.0% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | <gref name=suffolksept116> | "Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points". Suffolk University. USA Today. September 1, 2016. | accessdate=September 2, 2016}} | </gref> | August 24–29, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains 2.7-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 30, 2016. | accessdate=September 1, 2016}} | </gref> | August 23–29, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,173 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 30, 2016}} | </gref> | August 23–29, 2016 | 42% | 45% | 3 | 2,500 | ± 2.5% |
Public Policy Polling | <gref name=ppp2016082628> | "Clinton National Lead Steady at 5 Points; Both Candidates Becoming More Unpopular" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 30, 2016. | accessdate=August 30, 2016}} | </gref> | August 26–28, 2016 | 48% | 43% | 5 | 881 | ± 3.3% |
Monmouth University | <gref name=monuniaug2916> | "Clinton Holds Lead Amid Record High Dislike of Both Nominees". Monmouth University. August 29, 2016. | accessdate=August 30, 2016}} | </gref> | August 25–28, 2016 | 49% | 42% | 7 | 689 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcsmaug3016> | "NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. August 30, 2016. | accessdate=August 30, 2016}} | </gref> | August 22–28, 2016 | 48% | 42% | 6 | 24,104 | ± 1.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains 3.1-point lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 30, 2016. | accessdate=August 30, 2016}} | </gref> | August 22–28, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,145 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UUPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton regains lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 29, 2016. | accessdate=August 29, 2016}} | </gref> | August 21–27, 2016 | 50% | 47% | 3 | 1,682 | ± 3.0% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningconaug2816> | "Trump Gains Ground on Clinton; Black Voters Still Wary". Morning Consult. August 28, 2016. | accessdate=August 28, 2016}} | </gref> | August 24–26, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 3 | 2,007 | ± 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreu826> | "Clinton leads Trump by 5 points in Reuters/Ipsos poll". Reuters. August 26, 2016. | accessdate=August 26, 2016}} | </gref> | August 22–25, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1,154 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreutersaug2416> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. August 24, 2016. | accessdate=August 26, 2016}} | </gref> | August 20–24, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1,049 | ± 2.9% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump maintains slim lead over Hillary Clinton". Team CVoter. UPI. August 26, 2016. | accessdate=August 27, 2016}} | </gref> | August 18–24, 2016 | 48% | 49% | 1 | 1,720 | ± 3.0% |
Quinnipiac University | <gref name=quinnaug2516> | "Clinton tops 50 percent, leads Trump by 10 points, Quinnipiac University National Poll finds" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. August 25, 2016. | accessdate=August 26, 2016}} | </gref> | August 18–24, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 1,496 | ± 2.5% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 23, 2016}} | </gref> | August 18–24, 2016 | 44% | 44% | Tied | 2,434 | ± 2.3% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=youeconaug2416> | "YouGov/Economist Poll: August 19-23, 2016". YouGov. August 24, 2016. | accessdate= August 24, 2016}} | </gref> | August 19–23, 2016 | 47% | 44% | 3 | 1,080 | ± 4.1% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton for first time in weeks". Team CVoter. UPI. August 25, 2016. | accessdate=August 26, 2016}} | </gref> | August 17–23, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,737 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=reuters823> | "Clinton leads Trump by 12 points in Reuters/Ipsos poll". Reuters. August 23, 2016. | accessdate=August 23, 2016}} | </gref> | August 18–22, 2016 | 45% | 33% | 12 | 1,115 | ± 3% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump remain within 1 percentage point". Team CVoter. UPI. August 24, 2016. | accessdate=August 24, 2016}} | </gref> | August 16–22, 2016 | 48% | 48% | Tied | 1,752 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump hold steady in virtual tie". Team CVoter. UPI. August 23, 2016. | accessdate=August 24, 2016}} | </gref> | August 15–21, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,795 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcsmaug2316> | "NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. August 23, 2016. | accessdate=August 23, 2016}} | </gref> | August 15–21, 2016 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 17,451 | ± 1.1% |
American Research Group | <gref> | "National Presidential Ballot" (PDF). American Research Group. August 22, 2016. | accessdate=August 22, 2016}} | </gref> | August 17–20, 2016 | 47% | 42% | 5 | 994 | ± 3.2% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningconaug2116> | "Trump's Campaign Shakeup Is Likely Too Little, Too Late". Morning Consult. August 21, 2016. | accessdate=August 21, 2016}} | </gref> | August 16–20, 2016 | 44% | 38% | 6 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump sticks to script, comes to within 1% of Hillary Clinton's lead". Team CVoter. UPI. August 22, 2016. | accessdate=August 22, 2016}} | </gref> | August 14–20, 2016 | 48% | 47% | 1 | 1,191 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Where the presidential race stands today". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 21, 2016}} | </gref> | August 14–20, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,385 | ± 2.8% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreutersaug1716> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos/Reuters. Real Clear Politics. August 17, 2016. | accessdate=August 19, 2016}} | </gref> | August 13–17, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 5 | 1,049 | ± 2.8% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump narrows". Team CVoter. UPI. August 19, 2016. | accessdate=August 20, 2016}} | </gref> | August 11–17, 2016 | 50% | 46% | 4 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton maintains steady lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 18, 2016. | accessdate=August 19, 2016}} | </gref> | August 9–16, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,069 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref> | "Clinton leads Trump by six points in latest Reuters/Ipsos poll". Reuters. August 16, 2016. | accessdate=August 17, 2016}} | </gref> | August 11–15, 2016 | 41% | 35% | 6 | 1,132 | ± 3% |
Normington, Petts & Associates | <gref name=npaaug1416> | "National Survey" (PDF). Normington, Petts & Associates. August 18, 2016. | accessdate=August 20, 2016}} | </gref> | August 9–15, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton gains as Donald Trump slides". Team CVoter. UPI. August 17, 2016. | accessdate=August 18, 2016}} | </gref> | August 9–15, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,035 | ± 3.0% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningaug1416> | "Poll: Trump Arrests Slide, but Favorability Reaches New Depths". Morning Consult. August 14, 2016. | accessdate=August 16, 2016}} | </gref> | August 11–14, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 7 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcaug1616> | "Poll: Clinton Maintains Big Lead as Voters Doubt Trump's Temperament". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. August 16, 2016. | accessdate=August 16, 2016}} | </gref> | August 8–14, 2016 | 50% | 41% | 9 | 15,179 | ± 1.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton builds on lead over Donald Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 16, 2016. | accessdate=August 17, 2016}} | </gref> | August 7–14, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 975 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 3.5 points". Team CVoter. UPI. August 15, 2016. | accessdate=August 15, 2016}} | </gref> | August 7–13, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 1,403 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton rebounds after 3 days of lost ground". Team CVoter. UPI. August 12, 2016. | accessdate=August 12, 2016}} | </gref> | August 3–10, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 1,077 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosreutersaug1016> | "Core Political Data" (PDF). Ipsos/Reuters. Real Clear Politics. August 10, 2016. | accessdate=August 12, 2016}} | </gref> | August 6–10, 2016 | 42% | 36% | 6 | 974 | ± 2.9% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=youeconaug1016> | "YouGov/Economist Poll: August 6-9, 2016". YouGov. August 10, 2016. | accessdate= August 10, 2016}} | </gref> | August 6–9, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7 | 1,300 | ± 4.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Trump cuts Clinton's lead to pre-convention levels". Team CVoter. UPI. August 11, 2016. | accessdate=August 11, 2016}} | </gref> | August 3–9, 2016 | 48% | 46% | 2 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
Bloomberg Politics | <gref name=bloombergaug> | "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Bloomberg Politics. August 10, 2016. | accessdate= August 10, 2016}} | </gref> | August 5–8, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 749 | ± 3.6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref> | "Clinton extends lead over Trump to 7 points: Reuters/Ipsos". Reuters. August 9, 2016. | x | </gref> | August 4–8, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 7 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Trump stabilizes standing for a second consecutive day". Team CVoter. UPI. August 10, 2016. | accessdate=August 11, 2016}} | </gref> | August 2–8, 2016 | 49% | 45% | 4 | 993 | ± 3.0% |
PSRAI | <gref name=psra081016 /> | x | x | x | August 4–7, 2016 | 45% | 39% | 6 | 798 | ± 3.9% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump stops the bleeding for a day". Team CVoter. UPI. August 9, 2016. | accessdate=August 9, 2016}} | </gref> | August 1–7, 2016 | 49% | 44% | 5 | 1,407 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcaug0916> | "NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. August 9, 2016. | accessdate=August 9, 2016}} | </gref> | August 1–7, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10 | 11,480 | ± 1.2% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter daily poll: Clinton maintains 7-point lead over Trump". Team CVoter. UPI. August 8, 2016. | x | </gref> | July 31 – August 6, 2016 | 50% | 43% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "Who's Winning? Daily track of Clinton and Trump's support". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. August 7, 2016. | x | </gref> | July 31 – August 6, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,146 | ± 2.8% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningaug0716> | "Clinton Consolidates Lead Over Trump After Rough Week for Republicans". Morning Consult. August 7, 2016. | accessdate=August 7, 2016}} | </gref> | August 4–5, 2016 | 46% | 37% | 9 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post | <gref name="ABC08"> | "Poll finds Clinton has widened lead ahead of Trump to 8 points". ABC News/Washington Post. August 6, 2016. | x | </gref> | August 1–4, 2016 | 51% | 44% | 7 | 1,002 | ± 3.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosaug4> | "Clinton's lead over Trump narrows to less than three points: Reuters/Ipsos". Ipsos. Reuters. Aug 5, 2016. | accessdate=Aug 5, 2016}} | </gref> | July 31 – August 4, 2016 | 42% | 39% | 3 | 1,154 | ± 3.0% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton continues gaining ground at Trump's expense". Team CVoter. UPI. August 5, 2016. | x | </gref> | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | 50% | 44% | 6 | 1,060 | ± 3.0% |
IBD/TIPP | <gref name=ibdtippaug52016> | "Trump Loses Ground Across The Board Against Clinton, IBD/TIPP Poll Finds". TIPP. Investor's Business Daily. August 5, 2016. | x | </gref> | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | 46% | 39% | 7 | 921 | ± 3.4% |
McClatchy/Marist | <gref name=mcclatchymaristaug42016> | "McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,132 National Adults". Marist. McClatchy. Aug 4, 2016. | accessdate=Aug 5, 2016}} | </gref> | August 1–3, 2016 | 48% | 33% | 15 | 983 | ± 3.1% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | <gref name=nbcwsjaug42016> | "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey". HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. August 4, 2016. | accessdate=August 5, 2016}} | </gref> | July 31 – August 3, 2016 | 47% | 38% | 9 | 800 | ± 3.46% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref name=ipsosaug3> | "Core Political Data". Ipsos. Ipsos. Aug 3, 2016. | accessdate=Aug 4, 2016}} | </gref> | July 30 – August 3, 2016 | 43% | 39% | 4 | 1,072 | ± 3.5% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 4, 2016}} | </gref> | July 28 – August 3, 2016 | 45% | 44% | 1 | 2,175 | ± 2.4% |
UPI/CVoter | <gref> | "UPI/CVoter Poll". Team CVoter. UPI. | accessdate=August 4, 2016}} | </gref> | July 27 – August 2, 2016 | 49% | 46% | 3 | 989 | ± 3.0% |
Fox News | <gref name=foxaug3-2016> | "Fox News Poll Aug. 3, 2016". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. August 3, 2016. | accessdate=August 4, 2016}} | </gref> | July 31 – August 2, 2016 | 49% | 39% | 10 | 1,022 | ± 3% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 3, 2016}} | </gref> | July 27 – August 2, 2016 | 44% | 45% | 1 | 2,186 | ± 2.2% |
YouGov/Economist | <gref name=aug1-2016> | "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). YouGov. The Economist. | accessdate=August 2, 2016}} | </gref> | July 31 – August 1, 2016 | 46% | 43% | 3 | 1,300 | ± 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | <gref> | "Clinton extends lead over Trump to 8 percentage points: Reuters/Ipsos". Reuters. | accessdate=August 2, 2016}} | </gref> | July 28 – August 1, 2016 | 43% | 35% | 8 | 1,289 | ± 3% |
USC/Los Angeles Times | <gref> | "The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll". Los Angeles Times. University of Southern California. | accessdate=August 2, 2016}} | </gref> | July 26 – August 1, 2016 | 43% | 45% | 2 | 2,171 | ± 2.5% |
CNN/ORC | <gref name=cnnorcaug1> | "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). SSRS of Media. CNN. ORC International. August 1, 2016. | accessdate=August 2, 2016}} | </gref> | July 29–31, 2016 | 52% | 43% | 9 | 1,003 | ± 3% |
CBS News | <gref name=cbsnewsaug1> | "Did Clinton get a post-convention bump?". SSRS of Media. CBS News. August 1, 2016. | accessdate=August 1, 2016}} | </gref> | July 29–31, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6 | 1,131 | ± 3% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | <gref name=nbcnewsaug2> | "NBC News/SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. August 2, 2016. | accessdate=August 2, 2016}} | </gref> | July 25–31, 2016 | 50% | 42% | 8 | 12,742 | ± 1.2% |
Morning Consult | <gref name=morningjuly31> | "Poll: Clinton Rides Convention Bump Past Trump". Morning Consult. July 31, 2016. | accessdate=July 31, 2016}} | </gref> | July 29–30, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 3 | 1,931 | ± 2% |
Public Policy Polling | <gref name=ppp2016072930> | "Clinton Image Improves Following Conventions; Leads Trump by 5" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. July 29, 2016. | accessdate=July 30, 2016}} | </gref> | July 29–30, 2016 | 50% | 45% | 5 | 1,276 | ± 2.7% |
Polls conducted in 2016
[edit]Polls in 2016
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample size |
Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters[1] | July 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | 5 | 1,290 | ± 2.4% |
Rasmussen Reports[2] | July 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters[3] | July 22–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 39% | 2 | 963 | ± 4.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times[4] | July 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 47% | 7 | 2,150 | ± 3% |
Economist/YouGov[5] | July 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,300 | ± 4.5% |
Morning Consult[6] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 2,502 | ± 2% |
CBS News[7] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 1,118 | ± 4% |
CNN/ORC[8] | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 48% | 3 | 882 | ± 3.5% |
University of Delaware[9] | July 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 818 | ± 4% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[10] | July 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 12,931 | ± 1.2% |
USC/Los Angeles Times[11] | July 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 45% | 4 | 2,083 | ± 3% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[12] | July 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 51% | 2 | 3,462 | ± 1.7% |
Echelon Insights[13] | July 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 912 | ± ?% |
Ipsos/Reuters[14] | July 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | 3 | 1,036 | ± 4.0% |
USC/Los Angeles Times[15] | July 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | 2,010 | ± % |
American Research Group[16] | July 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | 990 | ± 3.2% |
Ipsos/Reuters[17] | July 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | 4 | 1,522 | ± 2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports[18] | July 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[19] | July 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 900 | ± 3.27% |
Economist/YouGov[20] | July 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 925 | ± 4.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[21] | July 11–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 9,436 | ± 1.4% |
Morning Consult[22] | July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | 2 | 2,002 | ± 2% |
CNN/ORC[23] | July 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 42% | 7 | 872 | ± 3.5% |
icitizen[24] | July 12–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± % |
ABC News/Washington Post[25] | July 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 1,003 | ± 3.5% |
USC/Los Angeles Times[26] | July 8–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,608 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports[27] | July 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 44% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[28] | July 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
CBS News/New York Times[29] | July 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 40% | Tied | 1,358 | ± 3.0% |
The Economist/YouGov[30] | July 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | 1,300 | ± 4.2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[31] | July 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | 7,869 | ± 1.4% |
Morning Consult[32] | July 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
McClatchy-Marist[33] | July 5–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 1,053 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[34] | July 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 33% | 11 | 1,345 | ± 2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports[35] | July 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters[36] | July 1–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | 13 | 1,441 | ± 3.0% |
The Economist/YouGov[37] | July 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,300 | ± 3.9% |
Morning Consult[38] | June 30 – July 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[39] | June 27 – July 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 | 10,072 | ± 1.3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[40] | June 27 – July 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | 9.4 | 1,080 | ± 3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports[41] | June 28–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Suffolk University/USA Today[42] | June 26–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5.2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters[43] | June 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 32% | 10 | 1,247 | ± 2.8% |
IBD/TIPP[44] | June 24–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 837 | ± 3.5% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[45] | June 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 50% | Tied | 2,162 | ± 2.1% |
Public Policy Polling[46] | June 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 947 | ± 3.2% |
Fox News[47] | June 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | 6 | 1,017 | ± 3% |
Morning Consult[48] | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,998 | ± 2% |
Quinnipiac University[49] | June 21–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 1,610 | ± 2.4% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[50] | June 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | 5,818 | ± 1.8% |
Pew Research[51] | June 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 42% | 9 | 1,655 | ± 2.7% |
Ipsos/Reuters[52] | June 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 33% | 14 | 1,201 | ± 3.3% |
ABC News/Washington Post[53] | June 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[54] | June 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Ipsos/Reuters[55] | June 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 34% | 10 | 1,339 | ± 2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports[56] | June 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Economist/YouGov[57] | June 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | 4 | 1,011 | ± 4.2% |
American Research Group[58] | June 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 987 | ± 3.2% |
Morning Consult[59] | June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,891 | ± 2% |
CNN/ORC[60] | June 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 891 | ± 3.5% |
Monmouth University[61] | June 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 803 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[62] | June 13–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 16,135 | ± 1.1% |
Reuters/Ipsos[63] | June 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 35% | 10.7 | 1,133 | ± 3.4% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[64] | June 16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2,197 | ± 2.1% |
Rasmussen Reports[65] | June 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[66] | June 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 32% | 9 | 1,323 | ± 2.8% |
CNBC[67] | June 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | 5 | 801 | ± 3.5% |
CBS News[68] | June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | 6 | 1,048 | ± 3.0% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[69] | June 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 42% | 7 | 9,355 | ± 1.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 39% | 13 | ||||
Morning Consult[70] | June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | 5 | 1,362 | ± 3% |
Fox News[71] | June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 1,004 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[72] | June 4–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | 8 | 1,716 | ± 2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports[73] | June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Morning Consult[74] | June 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
YouGov/Economist[75] | June 2–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | 1,636 | ± 3.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | ||||
IBD/TIPP[76] | May 31 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 828 | ± 3.3% |
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[77] | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 9,240 | ± 1.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[78] | May 31 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 38% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters[79] | May 28 – June 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | 9 | 1,332 | ± 2.8% |
Morning Consult[80] | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 39% | 3 | 4,002 | ± 2% |
Quinnipiac University[81] | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | 1,561 | ± 2.5% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[82] | May 23–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 12,969 | ± 1.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 40% | 12 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[83] | May 21–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,576 | ± 2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports[84] | May 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | 1 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
YouGov/Economist[85] | May 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | 1 | 2,000 | ± 3.1% |
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
Morning Consult[86] | May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | 3 | 2,001 | ± 2% |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[87] | May 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 43% | 4 | 14,513 | ± 1% |
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
American Research Group[88] | May 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 46% | Tie | 2,001 | ± 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post[89] | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 829 | ± 3.5% |
Schoen Consulting[90] | May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[91] | May 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[92] | May 17–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Ipsos/Reuters[93] | May 14–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,677 | ± 2.7% |
Fox News[94] | May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
CBS News/New York Times[95] | May 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,300 | ± 3% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
McLaughlin[96] | May 11–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Morning Consult[97] | May 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 3,971 | ± 2% |
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[98] | May 9–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 45% | 3 | 12,507 | ± 1.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[99] | May 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | 4 | 1,611 | ± 2.8% |
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[100] | May 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 1,547 | ± 2.5% |
Ipsos/Reuters[101] | May 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | 1 | 1,289 | ± 3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[102] | May 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,222 | ± 3.2% |
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[103] | April 30 – May 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | 9 | 1,277 | ± 3.1% |
Morning Consult[104] | April 29 – May 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 1,976 | ± 2.0% |
CNN/ORC[105] | April 28 – May 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 41% | 13 | 1,001 | ± 3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports[106] | April 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports[107] | April 25–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Tied | 1,000 | ± 3.0% |
GWU/Battleground[108] | April 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[109] | April 10–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 39% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 51% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 12 | ||||
Fox News[110] | April 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,021 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | John Kasich | 49% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 39% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 43% | 4 | ||||
CBS News[111] | April 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,098 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 47% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | John Kasich | 41% | 5 | ||||
IBD/TIPP[112] | March 28 – April 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 35% | 12 | 902 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 45% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 42% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[113] | March 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 1,297 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 47% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 51% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 37% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | John Kasich | 41% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[114] | March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | 1,083 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Paul Ryan | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 17 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics[115] | March 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 36% | 18 | 815 | ± 5.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[116] | March 16–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 40% | 6 | 1,451 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 38% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | John Kasich | 45% | 1 | ||||
CBS News/New York Times[117] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1,058 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 47% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
CNN/ORC[118] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | 925 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 48% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 51% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Donald Trump | 38% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
Monmouth University[119] | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 38% | 10 | 848 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 45% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[120] | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 37% | 18 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[121] | March 3–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | 864 | ± 4% |
Rasmussen Reports[122] | February 29 – March 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | 5 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
CNN/ORC[123] | February 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 44% | 8 | 920 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 43% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 8 | ||||
Fox News[124] | February 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | 1,031 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | John Kasich | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
Suffolk University/USA Today[125] | February 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 49% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[126] | February 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | 1,342 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 47% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | John Kasich | 41% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[127] | February 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 1,125 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,236 | |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | ||||
CNN/ORC[128] | January 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | 1,002 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Morning Consult[129] | January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 4 | 4060 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 2 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[130] | January 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 41% | 10 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | ||||
Morning Consult[131] | January 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 3 | 2173 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 4 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[132] | January 10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 51% | 2 | 2416 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Carly Fiorina | 50% | Tied | ||||
Fox News[133] | January 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | 1006 | 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 9 |
Polls conducted in 2015
[edit]Polls in 2015
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports[134] | December 22–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 36% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
CNN/ORC[135] | December 17–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 47% | 2 | 927 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 2 | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters[136] | December 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 27% | 12 | 1627 | ± 2.8–3.7% |
Emerson College Polling Society[137] | December 17–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 754 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[138] | December 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 40% | 7 | 1140 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Fox News[139] | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | 1013 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[140] | December 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1267 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Ben Carson | 41% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Morning Consult[141] | December 11–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 8 | 4038 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 35% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 9 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[142] | December 10–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 44% | 6 | 851 | ± 3.5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[143] | December 6–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 40% | 10 | 1000 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[144] | December 7–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 1995 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 49% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
Morning Consult[145] | December 3–7, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2047 | ± 2.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Chris Christie | 40% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 2 | ||||
USA Today/Suffolk University[146] | December 2–6, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | 1000 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[147] | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ben Carson | 38% | 13 | 1007 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Carly Fiorina | 32% | 19 | ||||
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[148] | November 15 – December 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 41% | 11 | 2360 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 47% | 1 | ||||
CNN/ORC[149] | November 27 – December 1, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 1020 | ± 3.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 47% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[150] | November 23–30, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | 1453 | ± 2.6% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ben Carson | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[151] | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3.5% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Fox News[152] | November 16–19, 2015 | |||||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | 1016 | ± 3.0% | ||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[153] | November 16–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 2 | 1360 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 46% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[154] | October 29 – November 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 41% | 15 | 540 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ben Carson | 47% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[155] | October 29 – November 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ben Carson | 50% | 10 | 1144 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 46% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 51% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Morning Consult[156] | October 29 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 6 | 2350 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 10 | ||||
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA[157] | October 28 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 47% | 4 | 2712 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 50% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Ben Carson | 48% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[158] | October 25–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | 847 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 47% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[159] | October 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 49% | 2 | 2606 | ± 2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Carly Fiorina | 48% | 4 | ||||
Morning Consult[160] | October 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 1689 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 38% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 7 | ||||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[161] | October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 1005 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 11 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[162] | October 18–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 38% | 2 | 1000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 6 | ||||
Morning Consult[163] | October 15–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 9 | 2017 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ben Carson | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 34% | 11 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[164] | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 45% | 2 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 | ||||
Emerson College Polling Society[165] | October 15–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 783 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 48% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
CNN/ORC[166] | October 14–17, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 956 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 44% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ben Carson | 48% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Donald Trump | 43% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 52% | Ben Carson | 44% | 8 | ||||
Morning Consult[167] | October 8–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 41% | Tied | 2002 | ± 2% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Rand Paul | 37% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ben Carson | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Carly Fiorina | 36% | 5 | ||||
Fox News[168] | October 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 3 | 1004 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Ben Carson | 50% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Ben Carson | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[169] | October 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | 1338 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Ben Carson | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Ben Carson | 46% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 42% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | John Kasich | 39% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 43% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[170] | September 20–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 1 | 1000 | ± 3.10% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 46% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Carly Fiorina | 45% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 35% | 21 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Ben Carson | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 36% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[171] | September 17–24, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1574 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 49% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Ben Carson | 45% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 51% | Donald Trump | 40% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Jeb Bush | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ben Carson | 49% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Carly Fiorina | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
Fox News[172] | September 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | 4 | 1013 | ± 3% |
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[173] | August 26 – September 9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 6 | 1115 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 56% | Donald Trump | 38% | 18 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 54% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 13 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[174] | September 7–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | 1003 | ± 4% |
CNN/ORC[175] | September 4–8, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 49% | 2 | 1012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 48% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 51% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 52% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 54% | Donald Trump | 44% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Ben Carson | 50% | 3 | ||||
SurveyUSA[176] | September 2–3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 45% | 5 | 1000 | ± 3.3% |
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Donald Trump | 44% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Al Gore | 41% | Donald Trump | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[177] | August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 44% | Tied | 1254 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Carly Fiorina | 38% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | ||||
Fox News[178] | August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 7 | 1008 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | ||||
Morning Consult[179] | August 7–9, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 2029 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 7 | ||||
Gravis Marketing[180] | August 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 50% | Tied | 1535 | 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 51% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 50% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ben Carson | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Carly Fiorina | 46% | 8 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[181] | July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 964 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ben Carson | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Carly Fiorina | 35% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jim Gilmore | 32% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Lindsey Graham | 35% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Bobby Jindal | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | George Pataki | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 38% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 41% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[182] | July 23–28, 2015 | Joe Biden | 43% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | 1,644 | ± 2.4% |
Joe Biden | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Scott Walker | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Scott Walker | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Scott Walker | 42% | 5 | ||||
CNN/ORC[183] | July 22–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 46% | 5 | 898 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Scott Walker | 44% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 59% | Donald Trump | 38% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Scott Walker | 43% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[184] | July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,087 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Scott Walker | 40% | 1 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[185] | July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | 815 | ± 4.0% |
CNN/ORC[186] | June 26–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,017 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 35% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Scott Walker | 40% | 17 | ||||
Zogby Analytics[187] | June 23–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 9 | 1,341 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Rand Paul | 33% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Scott Walker | 33% | 10 | ||||
Fox News[188] | June 21–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Michael Bloomberg | 38% | 6 | 1,005 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Carly Fiorina | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Scott Walker | 41% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[189] | June 14–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Scott Walker | 37% | 14 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[190] | June 11–14, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,129 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ben Carson | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Carly Fiorina | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Lincoln Chafee | 27% | Scott Walker | 39% | 12 | ||||
Martin O'Malley | 31% | Scott Walker | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Jim Webb | 28% | Scott Walker | 39% | 11 | ||||
CNN/ORC[191] | May 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 8 | 1,025 | ± 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 47% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Scott Walker | 46% | 3 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[192] | May 28–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 836 | ± 4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[193] | May 19–26, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 1,711 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 32% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 38% | 8 | ||||
Fox News[194] | May 9–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 1 | 1,006 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Carly Fiorina | 37% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | John Kasich | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[195] | April 26–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Scott Walker | 40% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Jeb Bush | 48% | 8 | ||||
The Economist/YouGov[196] | April 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 34% | 12 | 854 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 34% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 14 | ||||
Fox News[197] | April 19–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 40% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[198] | April 16–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 7 | 1,353 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
CNN/ORC[199] | April 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 17 | 1,018 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ben Carson | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Mike Huckabee | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Scott Walker | 37% | 22 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[200] | April 9 & 12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
Fox News[201] | March 29–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 45% | Tied | 1,025 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[202] | March 26–31, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 989 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 37% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 42% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Scott Walker | 46% | 6 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 39% | Scott Walker | 43% | 4 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[203] | March 26–29, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | ? | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Scott Walker | 40% | 14 | ||||
CNN/ORC[204] | March 13–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 15 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 40% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 43% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Scott Walker | 40% | 15 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[205] | March 1–4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rick Perry | 42% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 44% | 4 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[206] | February 26 – March 2, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 3 | 1,286 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 39% | 9 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[207] | February 28 – March 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 36% | 9 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ben Carson | 36% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Scott Walker | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[208] | February 20–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 10 | 691 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ben Carson | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 40% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rick Perry | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Scott Walker | 40% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 6 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 41% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | ||||
Fox News[209] | January 25–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,009 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 44% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling[210] | January 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 4 | 861 | ± ? |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Scott Walker | 42% | 3 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[211] | January 12–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 843 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 15 | ||||
The Economist/YouGov[212] | January 10–12, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 32% | 11 | 1,000 | ± 4.8% |
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research[213] | January 5–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 12 | 950 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 |
Polls conducted in 2014
[edit]Polls in 2014
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[214] | December 18–21 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 13 | 1,011 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ben Carson | 35% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Chris Christie | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 15 | ||||
Fox News[215] | December 7–9 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 7 | 1,043 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 40% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 37% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 40% | 11 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[216] | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 13 | 923 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[217] | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 6 | 753 | ± 3.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 36% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Rand Paul | 37% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[218] | November 18–23 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 5 | 1,623 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 4 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[219] | September 24–29 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 11 | 884 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 43% | 9 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[220] | August 4–7 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 806 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 42% | 6 | ||||
Fox News[221] | July 20–22 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 13 | 1,057 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 40% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
CNN/ORC[222] | July 18–20 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 13 | 899 | ± 3% |
Quinnipiac University[223] | June 24–30 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 7 | 1,446 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 41% | 7 | ||||
Rasmussen[224] | June 14–17 & 20–21 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ben Carson | 38% | 7 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 33% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rick Perry | 36% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[225] | June 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 9 | 723 | |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 38% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 38% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Saint Leo University[226] | May 28 – June 4 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 35% | 18 | 802 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 34% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 34% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Paul Ryan | 33% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Marco Rubio | 31% | 22 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[227] | May 29 – June 1 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 43% | 10 | 1,002 | ± 3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[228] | June 2 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | 735 | ± 3.6% |
ABC News/Washington Post[229] | April 24–27 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 855 | ± 3.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University[230] | April 21–27 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 16 | 1,051 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 36% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 37% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 8 | ||||
Fox News[231] | April 13–15 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 9 | 1,012 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 42% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 42% | 9 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[232] | April 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 16 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 42% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 40% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[233] | March 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 3 | 1,152 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 5 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 11 | ||||
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[234] | March 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Chris Christie | 39% | 13 | 678 | ± >3.1% |
Rasmussen[235] | March 4–5 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 14 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Fox News[236] | March 2–4 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 13 | 1,002 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 38% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 16 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[237] | February 4–9 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 20 | 970 | ± 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Chris Christie | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 62% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 27 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rand Paul | 38% | 20 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
CNN/ORC[238] | January 31 – February 2 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 20 | 900 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rand Paul | 39% | 18 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[239] | January 23–26 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 2 | 845 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Rand Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 34% | Chris Christie | 43% | 9 | ||||
ABC News/Washington Post[240] | January 20–23 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Chris Christie | 41% | 12 | 873 | ± 3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[241] | January 15–19 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 11 | 1,933 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 38% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 39% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/Marist Poll[242] | January 12–14 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Chris Christie | 37% | 13 | 1,039 | ± 3% |
Polls conducted in 2013
[edit]Polls in 2013
Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate |
% | Republican candidate |
% | Leading by % | Sample Size |
Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/ORC[243] | December 16–19 | Hillary Clinton | 58% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 21 | 950 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 48% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Rand Paul | 41% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Rick Perry | 39% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 19 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 19 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[244] | December 12–15 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 5 | 1,316 | ± 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 49% | 14 | ||||
Howard Dean | 29% | Chris Christie | 51% | 22 | ||||
John Kerry | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Elizabeth Warren | 33% | Chris Christie | 49% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[245] | December 3–9 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 2,692 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Rand Paul | 41% | 7 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[246] | December 3–5 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 12 | 1,173 | ± 2.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Chris Christie | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 22 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Rand Paul | 40% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Rick Perry | 37% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[247] | November 6–11 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Chris Christie | 43% | 1 | 2,545 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 40% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
NBC News[248] | November 7–10 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 34% | 10 | 1,003 | ± 3.6% |
Rasmussen[249] | November 7–8 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 41% | 2 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Polling[250] | October 29–31 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 9 | 649 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Chris Christie | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 37% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 1 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Chris Christie | 45% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Rand Paul | 38% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[251] | September 23–29 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Chris Christie | 36% | 13 | 1,497 | ± 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 54% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Rand Paul | 36% | 17 | ||||
Rasmussen[252] | September 16–17 | Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | 1,000 | ± 3% |
Monmouth University[253] | July 25–30 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 37% | 10 | 850 | ± 3.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 39% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 36% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[254] | July 19–21 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 3 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Chris Christie | 42% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Rand Paul | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 41% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Chris Christie | 45% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Rand Paul | 43% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Marco Rubio | 42% | Tied | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Paul Ryan | 46% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[255] | July 15–18 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 491 | ± 4.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rick Perry | 36% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 12 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 37% | 16 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[256] | June 28 – July 8 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 40% | 6 | 2,014 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Rand Paul | 38% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 35% | Chris Christie | 46% | 11 | ||||
Joe Biden | 42% | Rand Paul | 42% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac University[257] | May 22–28 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 8 | 1,419 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 38% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 39% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[258] | May 6–9 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Chris Christie | 44% | 3 | 1,099 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Rand Paul | 41% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 10 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Rand Paul | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[259] | March 27–30 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 42% | 4 | 1,247 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Rand Paul | 43% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 49% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 47% | Rand Paul | 43% | 4 | ||||
Joe Biden | 46% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 3 | ||||
McClatchy-Marist[260] | March 25–27 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 16 | 519 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Rand Paul | 41% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Jeb Bush | 41% | 8 | ||||
Joe Biden | 43% | Chris Christie | 46% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 50% | Rand Paul | 41% | 9 | ||||
Joe Biden | 53% | Marco Rubio | 39% | 14 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[261] | February 27 – March 4 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 37% | 8 | 1,944 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 16 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 12 | ||||
Joe Biden | 40% | Chris Christie | 43% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 7 | ||||
Joe Biden | 45% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 3 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 28% | Chris Christie | 45% | 17 | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Marco Rubio | 37% | Tie | ||||
Andrew Cuomo | 37% | Paul Ryan | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[262] | January 31 – February 3 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 6 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Chris Christie | 41% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Paul Ryan | 44% | 6 | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | ||||
Joe Biden | 44% | Chris Christie | 44% | Tie | ||||
Joe Biden | 48% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 5 | ||||
Joe Biden | 49% | Paul Ryan | 45% | 4 | ||||
Purple Strategies[263] | December 8–10, 2012 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Paul Ryan | 36% | 17 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% |
Three-way race
[edit]May 3: Trump became the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party June 19th: actual nominee of the Republican Party July 26: HRC actual June 6, 2016: the Associated Press declared Clinton the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party
Three-way race
[edit]Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian candidate | % | Lead margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Google Consumer Surveys<gref> | "Google Consumer Surveys/2016 US Election Poll". Google Data Studio. | accessdate=22 September 2016}}</ref> | Sample size: 20,864 Margin of error: ±0.73% |
September 14–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 |
Fox News<gref name=foxaug3-2016/> | Sample size: 1,022 Margin of error: ±3% |
July 31 – August 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 9 |
three way race
[edit]Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian candidate | % | Lead margin | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Google Consumer Surveys | [264] | "Google Consumer Surveys/2016 US Election Poll". Google Data Studio. | accessdate=22 September 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 20,864 | Margin of error: ±0.73% | September 14–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 |
Fox News | [265] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,022 | Margin of error: ±3% | July 31 – August 2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 9 |
Penn Schoen Berland | [264] | "PSB's online dial test poll shows +8 convention bounce for Clinton wiping out Trump bounce, and further movement after viewing speech clips" (PDF). Penn Schoen Berland Research. August 3, 2016. | accessdate=August 4, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,000 | Margin of error: ±3% | July 29 – August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 5 |
CBS News | [266] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,131 | Margin of error: ±3% | July 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
Morning Consult | [267] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,931 | Margin of error: ±2% | July 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 5 |
Morning Consult | [6] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 2,502 | Margin of error: ±2% | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 4 |
CBS News | [7] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,118 adults | Margin of error ±4% | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 1 |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | [19] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 900 | Margin of error: ±3.27% | July 13–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
Morning Consult | [22] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 2,002 | Margin of error: ±2% | July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
CBS News/New York Times | [29] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,358 | Margin of error: ±3% | July 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Tied |
Morning Consult | [32] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 2,001 | Margin of error: ±2% | July 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 2 |
Rasmussen Reports | [264] | "Libertarian Johnson Doesn't Change Presidential Outcome So Far". Rasmussen Reports. July 8, 2016. | accessdate=July 8, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,000 | Margin of error: ±3% | July 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 2 |
Morning Consult | [38] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 2,001 | Margin of error: ±2% | June 30 – July 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 1 |
Fox News | [47] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,017 | Margin of error: ±3% | June 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 5 |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | [264] | "Clinton and Congressional Democrats Widen Lead Over Opponents". Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Democracy Corps. July 8, 2016. | accessdate=July 9, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 900 | Margin of error: ±3.27% | June 23–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 11 |
The Economist/YouGov | [264] | "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). YouGov. | accessdate=June 29, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,300 | Margin of error: ±3.9% | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 5 |
Morning Consult | [48] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 4001 | Margin of error: ±2% | June 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 3 |
Pew Research | [51] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,655 | Margin of error: ±2.7% | June 15–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 9 |
Morning Consult | [264] | "Poll: Security Concerns, Support for Trump Rise After Orlando". Morning Consult. | accessdate=June 21, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 3891 | Margin of error: ±2% | June 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Tied |
CBS News | [264] | "After Claiming the Nomination, Clinton Maintains her Lead". Scribd. | accessdate =June 16, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 1048 | Margin of error: ± 3.0% | June 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 32% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 7 |
Bloomberg Politics | [264] | "Clinton Has 12-Point Edge Over Trump in Bloomberg National Poll". Bloomberg Politics. | accessdate=June 14, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 750 | Margin of error: ± 3.6% | June 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 12 |
Morning Consult | [264] | "Poll: Most Voters Don't View Clinton's Nomination as Historic". Morning Consult. June 15, 2016. | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1004 | Margin of error: ± 3% | June 8–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 6 |
Fox News | [264] | "Fox News Poll: National Release 6-9-16". Fox News. June 9, 2016. | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1004 | Margin of error: ± 3% | June 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 12% | 3 |
Rasmussen Report | [73] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1000 | Margin of error: ± 3% | June 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 1 |
Morning Consult | [268] | Easley, Cameron (June 7, 2016). "Poll: Johnson Benefits From Unpopularity of Trump, Clinton". Morning Consult. | accessdate=June 7, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 2001 | Margin of error: ± 2% | June 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) | 10% | 2 |
Morning Consult | [268] | Easley, Cameron (June 7, 2016). "Poll: Johnson Benefits From Unpopularity of Trump, Clinton". Morning Consult. | accessdate=June 7, 2016}} | </ref> | sample size: 2001 | Margin of error: ± 2% | June 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) | 10% | 1 |
Morning Consult | [86] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 2001 | Margin of error: ± 2% | May 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
Fox News | [94] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 1,021 | Margin of error: ± 3.0% | May 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 10% | 3 |
Monmouth University | [119] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | sample size: 848 | Margin of error ±3.4% | March 17–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 11% | 8 |
continued
[edit]Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Third candidate | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ABC News/Washington Post[89]
Sample size: 823 |
May 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 35% | Mitt Romney | 22% | 2 |
Public Policy Polling[114]
Sample size: 1,083 |
March 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 10% | 5 |
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Deez Nuts | 8% | 6 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Rick Perry | 12% | 9 | ||
Quinnipiac University[269]
Sample size: 1,342 |
February 10–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | Tied |
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 6 | ||
Suffolk University/USA Today[270]
Sample size: 1,000 |
February 11–15, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 30% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 16% | 7 |
Quinnipiac University[127]
Sample size: 1,125 |
February 2–4, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 |
Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ted Cruz | 36% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | 1 | ||
Public Policy Polling[271]
Sample size: 1,236 |
February 2–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Donald Trump | 39% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 3 | ||
Luntz Global[272]
Sample size: 900 |
January 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 33% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 29% | 4 |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | Ted Cruz | 35% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 35% | Marco Rubio | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | 3 | ||
Morning Consult[273]
Sample size: 1,439 |
January 21–24, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 12% | 1 |
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ted Cruz | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 8 | ||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 29% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 7 | ||
Morning Consult[274]
Sample size: 4,060 |
January 14–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 34% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | 4 |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Marco Rubio | 33% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 5 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 1 | ||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[275] | November 29 – December 3, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 45.4% | Ted Cruz | 19.9% | Donald Trump | 26.1% | 19.3 |
Hillary Clinton | 44.8% | Carly Fiorina | 14.9% | Donald Trump | 29.6% | 15.2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44.0% | Ben Carson | 20.1% | Donald Trump | 25.7% | 18.3 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Marco Rubio | 21.8% | Donald Trump | 25.9% | 17.4 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.3% | Jeb Bush | 19.6% | Donald Trump | 29.5% | 13.8 | ||
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[161] Margin of error ±6.0% |
October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42.7% | Jeb Bush | 22.8% | Donald Trump | 24.2% | 18.5 |
Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Carly Fiorina | 22.6% | Donald Trump | 23.8% | 19.9 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.1% | Ben Carson | 27.9% | Donald Trump | 20.2% | 15.2 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 43.7% | Marco Rubio | 24.6% | Donald Trump | 22.9% | 19.1 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 44.9% | Ted Cruz | 18.6% | Donald Trump | 24.1% | 20.8 | ||
Public Policy Polling[177] Margin of error: ±2.8% Sample size: 1254 |
August 28–30, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 23% | Donald Trump | 27% | 15 |
Fox News[178] Sample size: 1008 |
August 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Carly Fiorina | 24% | Donald Trump | 25% | 17 |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 30% | Donald Trump | 22% | 12 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 23% | 13 | ||
McClatchy-Marist[181] Margin of error: ±2.8% Sample size: 964 |
July 22–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Jeb Bush | 29% | Donald Trump | 20% | 15 |
Public Policy Polling[184] Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 1,087 |
July 20–21, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 25% | Donald Trump | 23% | 18 |
ABC News/Washington Post[185] Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 815 |
July 16–19, 2015 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Jeb Bush | 30% | Donald Trump | 20% | 17 |
Four-way race
[edit]Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian candidate | % | Green candidate | % | Lead margin | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | [276] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,115 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.9% | September 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 |
Monmouth University | [277] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 729 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.6% | September 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
Morning Consult | [278] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,712 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.0% | September 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 1 |
YouGov/Economist | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"YouGov/Economist Poll: September 22-24, 2016". YouGov. The Economist. September 26, 2016. | accessdate=September 26, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 948 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.8% | September 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 |
Bloomberg/Selzer | [279] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,002 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.1% | September 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
ABC News/Washington Post | [280] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 651 likely voters | Margin of error ±4.5% | September 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"On the eve of the first presidential debate, the race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton is in a statistical dead heat" (PDF). Franklin Pierce university. Boston Herald. September 25, 2016. | accessdate=September 25, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,017 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.1% | September 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [281] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,559 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.0% | September 16–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - September 20-21, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. September 22, 2016. | accessdate=September 22, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | September 20–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Exclusive — Breitbart/Gravis Poll: Hillary Clinton Holds National Lead over Donald Trump". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart New Network. September 23, 2016. | accessdate=September 24, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,560 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.5% | September 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
McClatchy/Marist | [282] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 758 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.6% | September 15–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 |
YouGov/Economist | [283] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 936 registered voters | Margin of error ±4.0% | September 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | [284] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 922 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.23% | September 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 |
iCitizen | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"National Poll Results – September 2016". iCitizen. September 21, 2016. | accessdate= September 23, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 registered voters | Margin of error ±3% | September 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [285] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,111 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.4% | September 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Associated Press/GFK | [286] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,251 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.5% | September 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [287] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 13,230 likely voters | Margin of error ±1.2% | September 12–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 |
Morning Consult | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Clinton Maintains Lead Over Trump Despite Health Scare". Morning Consult. September 18, 2016. | accessdate=September 19, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,639 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.0% | September 15–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
Saint Leo University | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Politics / Issues, Law Enforcement, Immigration, National Anthem" (PDF). Saint Leo University. September 20, 2016. | accessdate=20 September 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,005 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.0% | September 12–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 |
Fox News | [288] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 867 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | September 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - September 12-13, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. September 15, 2016. | accessdate=September 15, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | September 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Emerson College | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Emerson Poll: Trump Leads Clinton Nationally; Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri Remain Red; Colorado is Leaning Trump; Pneumonia Diagnosis Appears to Be Hurting Clinton" (PDF). Emerson College. September 15, 2016. | accessdate= September 16, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 800 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.4% | September 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
YouGov/Economist | [289] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,087 registered voters | Margin of error ±4.0% | September 10–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
CBS News/New York Times | [290] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,433 registered voters | Margin of error ±3.0% | September 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | Tied |
Quinnipiac University | [291] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 960 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.2% | September 8–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [292] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,127 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.3% | September 8–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied |
Pew Research | [293] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 3,941 registered voters | Margin of error ±2.6% | August 16 – September 12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [294] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 16,220 registered voters | Margin of error ±1.1% | September 5–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Breitbart/Gravis Poll: Clinton at 43% Leads Trump at 40%". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. September 11, 2016. | accessdate=September 12, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,348 adults | Margin of error ±2.0% | September 7–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 1% | 3 |
Morning Consult | [295] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,710 likely voters | Margin of error ±2% | September 6–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
ABC News/Washington Post | [296] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 642 likely voters | Margin of error ±4.5% | September 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - White House Watch - September 6-7, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. September 8, 2016. | accessdate=September 8, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | September 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
YouGov/Economist | [297] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,077 registered voters | Margin of error ±4.7% | September 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 5% | 2 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [298] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,084 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.5% | September 1–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
CNN/ORC | [299] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 786 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.5% | September 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Our most recent national poll shows Hillary Clinton still holding a small, but not statistically significant, lead over Donald Trump" (PDF). Franklin Pierce university. Boston Herald. September 5, 2016. | accessdate=September 5, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,025 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.1% | August 31 – September 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [300] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 32,226 registered voters | Margin of error ±1.0% | August 29 – September 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 |
Morning Consult | [301] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,001 registered voters | Margin of error ±2% | September 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
George Washington University | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"GW Battleground(LVIX)FINAL" (PDF). The Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners. George Washington University. September 7, 2016. | accessdate=September 7, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.1% | August 28 – September 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [302] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,804 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | Tied |
IBD/TPP | [303] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 861 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.4% | August 26 – September 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 3% | Tied |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - August 29-30, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. September 1, 2016. | accessdate=September 1, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | August 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 1 |
Fox News | [304] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,011 registered voters | Margin of error ±3% | August 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
YouGov/Economist | [305] | "YouGov/Economist Poll: August 27-29, 2016" (PDF). YouGov. The Economist. August 31, 2016. | accessdate=August 31, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,119 adults | Margin of error ±4% | August 27–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [306] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,404 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.0% | August 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 2 |
Suffolk University/USA Today | [307] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.0% | August 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 |
Public Policy Polling | [308] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 881 likely voters | Margin of error ±3.3% | August 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 |
Monmouth University | [309] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 689 registered voters | Margin of error ±3.5% | August 25–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 7 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [310] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 24,104 adults | Margin of error ±1.0% | August 22–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 5% | 4 |
Morning Consult | [311] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,007 registered voters | Margin of error ±2% | August 24–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [312] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,154 likely voters | Margin of error ±3% | August 22–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 3 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - August 23-24, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. August 25, 2016. | accessdate=August 25, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3% | August 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [313] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,049 respondents | Margin of error ±2.9% | August 20–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 |
Quinnipiac University | [314] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,498 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.5% | August 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 7 |
Gravis Marketing | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Current National Polling". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. August 26, 2016. | accessdate=August 26, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,493 likely voters | Margin of error ±2.5% | August 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 1% | 1 |
YouGov/Economist | [315] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,080 adults | Margin of error ±4.1% | August 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [316] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,115 respondents | Margin of error ±3% | August 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 8 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [317] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 17,451 adults | Margin of error ±1.1% | August 15–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 5% | 5 |
Morning Consult | [318] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,001 adults | Margin of error ±2% | August 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [319] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,049 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | August 13–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"White House Watch: Clinton 41%, Trump 39%, Johnson 9%, Stein 3%". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. August 16, 2016. | accessdate=August 18, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3% | August 15–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
YouGov/Economist | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"YouGov/Economist Poll: August 14-16, 2016". YouGov. The Economist. August 17, 2016. | accessdate=August 17, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,076 adults | Margin of error ±4.1% | August 11–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 6 |
Pew Research | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Voters' general election preferences". Pew Research Center. August 18, 2016. | accessdate=August 19, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,567 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | August 9–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 |
Normington, Petts & Associates | [320] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3.1% | August 9–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 8 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [321] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 15,179 adults | Margin of error ±1.2% | August 8–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 |
Zogby Analytics | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Clinton and Trump in Statistical Tie; Trump Has Closed the Gap Among Older Millennials". Zogby Analytics. August 16, 2016. | accessdate=August 17, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,277 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | August 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 5% | 2 |
Morning Consult | [322] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,001 adults | Margin of error ±2% | August 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [323] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 974 adults | Margin of error ±2.9% | August 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - August 9-10, 2016". Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Rasmussen Reports. August 11, 2016. | accessdate=August 11, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3% | August 9–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 |
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Breitbart/Gravis Poll: Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump 42% to 37% Nationally in 4-Way with Johnson 9%, Stein 3%". Gravis Marketing. Breitbart. August 14, 2016. | accessdate=August 15, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,832 adults | Margin of error ±1.8% | August 9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
YouGov/Economist | [324] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±4.2% | August 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 |
Bloomberg Politics | [325] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 749 adults | Margin of error ±3.6% | August 5–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 4 |
Princeton Survey | [326] | "Clinton Has Post-Convention Lead Over Trump With Strong Showing in Suburbs" (PDF). Princeton Survey Research Associates International. August 10, 2016. | accessdate=August 13, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3.9% | August 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 2% | Jill Stein | 1% | 6 |
Monmouth University | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Clinton Opens Post-Convention Lead". Monmouth University. August 8, 2016. | accessdate=August 9, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 803 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | August 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [327] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 11,480 adults | Margin of error ±1.2% | August 1–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 |
Morning Consult | [328] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 2,001 adults | Margin of error ±2% | August 4–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 8 |
ABC News/Washington Post | [329] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,002 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | August 1–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 8 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [330] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,154 adults | Margin of error ±3.0% | July 31 – August 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
IBD/TPP | [331] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 851 adults | Margin of error ±3.4% | July 29 – August 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 12% | Jill Stein | 5% | 4 |
McClatchy/Marist | [332] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 983 adults | Margin of error ±3.1% | August 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 6% | 14 |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | [333] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 800 adults | Margin of error ±3.46% | July 31 – August 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 9 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [334] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,072 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 30 – August 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
Rasmussen Reports | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Questions - Election 2016: White House Watch - August 1-2, 2016". Rasmussen Reports. August 4, 2016. | accessdate=August 4, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3% | August 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 |
The Economist/YouGov | [335] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±4% | July 31 – August 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 |
CNN/ORC | [336] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 894 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 29–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 8 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [337] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 12,742 adults | Margin of error ±1.2% | July 25–31, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 5 |
Public Policy Polling | [338] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,276 adults | Margin of error ±2.7% | July 29–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 |
RABA Research | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"NATIONAL SURVEY RESULTS" (PDF). Raba Research. Raba Research. | accessdate=July 29, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 956 adults | Margin of error ±3.2% | July 29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 15 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [1] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,788 adults | Margin of error ±2.4% | July 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | Tied |
YouGov/Economist | [5] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±4.5% | July 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
CNN/ORC | [8] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 882 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 22–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 44% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
University of Delaware | [9] | "National survey shows Clinton at 46% and Trump at 42% as the Republican National Convention ends and the Democratic National Convention begins" (PDF). University of Delaware Center for Political Communication. July 25, 2016. | accessdate=July 29, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 818 registered voters | Margin of error ±4% | July 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 42% | Gary Johnson | 1% | Jill Stein | 1% | 4 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [10] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 12,931 adults | Margin of error ±1.2% | July 18–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 2 |
RABA Research | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"NATIONAL SURVEY RESULTS" (PDF). Raba Research. Raba Research. | accessdate=July 24, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 909 adults | Margin of error ±3.3% | July 22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
Echelon Insights | [13] | "Echelon Insights" (PDF). Echelon Insights. | accessdate=July 24, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 912 adults | Margin of error ±?% | July 21–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 39% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 2% | 1 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [17] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,522 adults | Margin of error ±2.9% | July 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 |
YouGov/Economist | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"YouGov/Economist Poll: July 15-17, 2016". YouGov. July 18, 2016. | accessdate=July 19, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±4.2% | July 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [21] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 9,436 adults | Margin of error ±1.4% | July 11–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 1 |
Monmouth University | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Trump Closes in on Clinton". Monmouth University. July 18, 2016. | accessdate=July 18, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 688 adults | Margin of error ±3.7% | July 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 43% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 1% | 2 |
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll: The results". Franklin Pierce university. Boston Herald. July 18, 2016. | accessdate=July 18, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,007 adults | Margin of error ±3.1% | July 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 |
CNN/ORC | [23] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 872 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 13–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 13% | Jill Stein | 5% | 5 |
icitizen | [24] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±% | July 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 |
ABC News/Washington Post | [25] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,003 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 11–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 5% | 4 |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | [28] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3.1% | July 9–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 6% | 6 |
The Economist/YouGov | [30] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±4.2% | July 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 3 |
AP-GfK | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"The AP-GfK Poll July 2016" (PDF). GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Associated Press. | accessdate=July 15, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 837 adults | Margin of error ±3.3% | July 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [31] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 7,869 adults | Margin of error ±1.4% | July 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 11% | Jill Stein | 6% | 2 |
Raba Research | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"National Survey Results" (PDF). Raba Research. | accessdate=July 13, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 781 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | July 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 2% | 12 |
McClatchy/Marist | [33] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,249 adults | Margin of error ±3% | July 5–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 5% | 5 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [34] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,345 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | July 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 33% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 9 |
The Economist/YouGov | [37] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,300 adults | Margin of error ±3.9% | July 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 3% | 5 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [39] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 10,072 adults | Margin of error ±1.3% | June 27 – July 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 3 |
Suffolk University/USA Today | [42] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3% | June 26–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 35% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 3% | 4 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [43] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,247 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | June 25–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 31% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 4% | 11 |
IBD/TIPP | [44] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 837 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | June 24–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 1 |
Public Policy Polling | [46] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 947 adults | Margin of error ±3.2% | June 27–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 2% | 4 |
Quinnipiac University | [49] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,610 adults | Margin of error ±2.4% | June 21–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 8% | Jill Stein | 4% | 2 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [50] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 5,818 adults | Margin of error ±1.8% | June 20–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 6 |
ABC News/Washington Post | [53] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 836 adults | Margin of error ±4% | June 20–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 7% | Jill Stein | 3% | 10 |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal | [54] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,000 adults | Margin of error ±3.1% | June 19–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 10% | Jill Stein | 6% | 1 |
Ipsos/Reuters | [55] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,339 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | June 18–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 5% | 9 |
CNN/ORC | [60] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 891 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | June 16–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 7% | 4 |
Monmouth University | [61] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 803 adults | Margin of error ±3.5% | June 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 6 |
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | [62] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 16,135 adults | Margin of error ±1.1% | June 13–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 4 |
Ipsos/Reuters | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"All Adult Americans" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. June 9, 2016. | accessdate=June 10, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,323 adults | Margin of error ±2.8% | June 11–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 29% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 10 |
NBC/Survey Monkey | [69] | "xxx". | accessdate=December 31, 2013}} | </ref> | Sample size: 10,604 adults | Margin of error ±1.3% | June 6–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 5% | 4 |
SurveyUSA | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22930". SurveyUSA. June 9, 2016. | accessdate=June 10, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,408 RV | Margin of error ±2.7% | June 8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 4% | 3 |
Zogby | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Clinton beats Trump but Sanders does better among Women, Millennials and Independents when Facing Trump". IBOPE Zogby International. June 7, 2016. | accessdate=June 9, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 837 RV | Margin of error ±3.5% | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 34% | Gary Johnson | 6% | Jill Stein | 2% | 6 |
NBC News | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Poll: Clinton Holds Four-Point National Lead Over Trump — or Does She?". NBC News. June 7, 2016. | accessdate=June 9, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 9,240 RV | Margin of error ±1.4% | May 30 – June 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 40% | Gary Johnson | 9% | Jill Stein | 4% | 1 |
Quinnipiac University | Cite error: The opening <ref> tag is malformed or has a bad name (see the help page). |
"Battle of the Sexes Leaves Clinton with Edge over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; She leads on Brains, Morals, but he's up on Leadership" (PDF). Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. June 1, 2016. | accessdate=June 2, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,561 RV | Margin of error ±2.5% | May 24–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 5% | Jill Stein | 3% | 2 |
Public Policy Polling | [339] | "GOP Quickly Unifies Around Trump; Clinton Still Has Modest Lead". Public Policy Polling. May 10, 2016. | accessdate=May 13, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,222 RV | Margin of error ±3.2% | May 6–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 38% | Gary Johnson | 4% | Jill Stein | 2% | 5 |
Public Policy Polling | [339] | "GOP Quickly Unifies Around Trump; Clinton Still Has Modest Lead". Public Policy Polling. May 10, 2016. | accessdate=May 13, 2016}} | </ref> | Sample size: 1,222 RV | Margin of error ±3.2% | May 6–9, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | Gary Johnson | 3% | Jill Stein | 1% | 10 |
Notes
[edit]References
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{{cite web}}
:|archive-date=
/|archive-url=
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